Mathematical Studies Project Probability of Blackjack Content Page Page Statement of task 2 Introduction 3 - 4 Data collection 5 - 6 The four Blackjack strategies 7 - 15 Conclusion 16 Bibliography 17
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Introduction The word Probability derives from probity‚ a measure of the authority of a witness in a legal case in Europe‚ and often correlated with the witness ’s nobility. In a sense‚ this differs much from the modern meaning of probability‚ which‚ in contrast‚ is used as a measure of the weight of empirical evidence‚ and is arrived at from inductive reasoning and statistical inference. A short history of Probability Theory............ The branch of mathematics known as probability theory was inspired
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Conditional Probability How to handle Dependent Events Life is full of random events! You need to get a "feel" for them to be a smart and successful person. Independent Events Events can be "Independent"‚ meaning each event is not affected by any other events. Example: Tossing a coin. Each toss of a coin is a perfect isolated thing. What it did in the past will not affect the current toss. The chance is simply 1-in-2‚ or 50%‚ just like ANY toss of the coin. So each toss is an Independent
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P(S) The symbol for the probability of success P(F) The symbol for the probability of failure p The numerical probability of a success q The numerical probability of a failure P(S) = p and P(F) = 1 - p = q n The number of trials X The number of successes The probability of a success in a binomial experiment can be computed with the following formula. Binomial Probability Formula In a binomial experiment
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Basic Probability Notes Probability— the relative frequency or likelihood that a specific event will occur. If the event is A‚ then the probability that A will occur is denoted P(A). Example: Flip a coin. What is the probability of heads? This is denoted P(heads). Properties of Probability 1. The probability of an event E always lies in the range of 0 to 1; i.e.‚ 0 ≤ P( E ) ≤ 1. Impossible event—an event that absolutely cannot occur; probability is zero. Example: Suppose you roll a normal die
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is the probability that both outcomes are heads? Explain. Ans. P(H) = 1/2 Probability of 2 heads = 1/2 x 1/2 = 1/4 Q.2 Suppose that 25% of the population in a given area is exposed to a television commercial on Ford automobiles‚ and 34% is exposed to Ford’s radio advertisements. Also‚ it is known that 10 % of the population is exposed to both means of advertising. If a person is randomly chose out of the entire population on this area‚ what is the probability that he
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Probability Paper David E. Nelson QNT/561 February 14‚ 2013 Professor Minh Bui Probability Paper My friends suggested that we take a hiking trip through South America this year. The reason for such a trip was to celebrate 16 years of close friendship. The four of us had known each other since we were in middle school and have since become inseparable. Even though we all lead very different lives and have even started our own families‚ we always manage to find time to spend with each other
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the use of statistics and the study of probability. He gives us historical background on the development of probability studies tied to games of chance; basic ideas of probability that are part of our mental arsenal and can be used in all kinds of unexpected situations; implications on statistics. First of all‚ he talks about that probabilities take their place in every part of our life‚ how can we put statistics in our life‚ how can we calculate the probability‚ which is born in the study of games
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Probability distribution Definition with example: The total set of all the probabilities of a random variable to attain all the possible values. Let me give an example. We toss a coin 3 times and try to find what the probability of obtaining head is? Here the event of getting head is known as the random variable. Now what are the possible values of the random variable‚ i.e. what is the possible number of times that head might occur? It is 0 (head never occurs)‚ 1 (head occurs once out of 2 tosses)
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PROBABILITY and MENDELIAN GENETICS LAB Hypothesis: If we toss the coin(s) for many times‚ then we will have more chances to reach the prediction that we expect based on the principle of probability. Results: As for part 1: probability of the occurrence of a single event‚ the deviation of heads and tails of 20 tosses is zero‚ which means that the possibility of heads and tails is ten to ten‚ which means equally chances. The deviation of heads and tails of 30 tosses is 4‚ which means that the
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