CHAPTER 22 estimating risk and return on assets 1. WHAT IS RISK? Risk is the variability of an asset’s future returns. When only one return is possible‚ there is no risk. When more than one return is possible‚ the asset is risky. The greater the variability‚ the greater the risk. 2. RISK – RETURN RELATIONSHIP Investment risk is related to the probability of actually earning less than the expected return – the greater the chance of low or negative returns‚ the riskier the investment
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Common Risk Factors in the Retu rns on Stocks and Bonds Eugene F. Fama Kenneth R. French Journal of Financial Economics 1993 Presenter: 周立軒 Brief Saying… • This paper identifies Five common risk factors in the return on stocks and bonds – Two stock market factors‚ two bond market factors ‚ one market factor. – The five factors seems to explain all returns in stoc k market and bond market • Except the Low-Grade Bonds Agenda • • • • • Introduction The Steps of the Experiment Data & Variables Main
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Chapter 2. Question 4. How would you measure risk of being a victim? I would measure the risk of being a victim by incorporating the NCVS summary findings for 2009. This survey gives me a broad range of information to use to minimize the risk of being a victim of a crime. It gives us great information such as the following: 1. Gender: men are a little more being victimized then women. 2. Reporting: almost half of the crimes were only reported to police. 3. Race: the highest with 27% for 1000 persons
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Risk and Return: Portfolio Theory and Asset Pricing Models Portfolio Theory Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) Efficient frontier Capital Market Line (CML) Security Market Line (SML) Beta calculation Arbitrage pricing theory Fama-French 3-factor model Portfolio Theory • Suppose Asset A has an expected return of 10 percent and a standard deviation of 20 percent. Asset B has an expected return of 16 percent and a standard deviation of 40 percent. If the correlation between A and B is 0.6
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such as stocks and bonds‚ held as a collective unit by an investor. b. the expected return on a risky asset. c. the expected return on a collection of risky assets. d. the variance of returns for a risky asset. e. the standard deviation of returns for a collection of risky assets. PORTFOLIO WEIGHTS 2. The percentage of a portfolio’s total value invested in a particular asset is called that asset’s: a. portfolio return. b. portfolio weight. c. portfolio risk.
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the context of a portfolio‚ the risk of an asset is divided into two parts: diversifiable risk (unsystematic risk) and market risk (systematic risk). Diversifiable risk arises from company-specific factors and hence can be washed away through diversification. Market risk stems from general market movements and hence cannot be diversified away. For a diversified investor what matters is the market risk and not the diversifiable risk. (4)In general‚ investors are risk-averse. So‚ they want to be compensated
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a 58. You want your portfolio beta to be 1.20. Currently‚ your portfolio consists of $100 invested in stock A with a beta of 1.4 and $300 in stock B with a beta of .6. You have another $400 to invest and want to divide it between an asset with a beta of 1.6 and a risk-free asset. How much should you invest in the risk-free asset? a. $0 b. $140 c. $200 d. $320 e. $400 ANALYZING A PORTFOLIO d 59. You have a $1‚000 portfolio which is invested in stocks A and B plus a risk-free
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JOURNAL OF APPLIED MATHEMATICS AND DECISION SCIENCES‚ 8(4)‚ 201–218 Copyright c 2004‚ Lawrence Erlbaum Associates‚ Inc. The Relationship Between Stock Markets Of Major Developed Countries And Asian Emerging Markets WING-KEUNG WONG† Department of Economics‚ National University of Singapore JACK PENM Faculty of Economics and Commerce‚ Australian National University RICHARD DEANE TERRELL National Graduate School of Management‚ Australian National University KAREN YANN CHING LIM Department of Economics
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The Risk - Return Relationship Another fundamental relationship in the study of finance is the relationship between expected return and the expected level of associated risk. The nature of the relationship is that as the level of expected risk increases‚ the level of expected return also increases. The opposite is true as well. Lower levels of expected risk are associated with lower expected returns. This RISK-RETURN RELATIONSHIP is characterized as being a direct relationship or a positive
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Risk and Return Assignment Questions 1. Suppose a stock begins the year with a price of $25 per share and ends with a price of $35 per share. During the year it paid a $2 dividend per share. What are its dividend yield‚ its capital gain‚ and its total return for the year? 2. An investor receives the following dollar returns a stock investment of $25: $1.00 of dividends Share price rise of $2.00 Calculate the investor’s total return. 3. Below are the probabilities for the economy’s five
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