Crops and Food Grains
Kharif crop progress
October 03, 2012
The kharif crops are sown and harvested during the monsoon season which runs from June to September and is critical for overall food production for the entire year. This report tracks the area under cultivation for different kharif crops and gives a fair estimate of production for the year 2012-13.
Assumptions:
The production estimates for 2012 kharif crops are based on the linear regression model in which production is the dependent variable while area sown and deviation of the southwest rainfall from normal are independent variables.
The production estimate for 2010 and 2011 is based on the final yield levels achieved in the respective year and on the net area sown for the same period.
The area sown reported as on September 21, 2012 released by Ministry of Agriculture.
Table 1: Country view kharif crop (2012-13)
Deviation of rainfall from normal
Crop Name
Cereals
Pulses
Food grains
Oilseeds
Cotton
Sugarcane
Normal
Area
60.97
10.98
71.94
17.89
10.86
4.72
-8%
Area sown (million hectares)
Net area
%
Net area
% change sown (21achieved sown (21compared
09-12)
of normal
09-11)
to 2011
53.97
88.5%
58.18
-7.2%
9.98
90.9%
10.83
-7.8%
63.95
88.9%
69.01
-7.3%
17.44
97.5%
17.82
-2.1%
11.49
105.8%
12.02
-4.4%
5.29
112.0%
5.10
3.7%
Production (million tonnes)
Net area sown (2309-10)
55.87
12.03
67.90
17.30
10.99
4.94
2012 Range
2011
2010
99.84 - 111.04
4.50 - 5.57
108.86 - 120.44
17.07 - 19.77
4.19 - 5.49
362.02 - 380.08
122.83
5.97
128.45
20.52
5.97
358.09
105.86
6.95
113.49
20.81
5.53
342.35
Summary:
As per the sowing information available, we have managed to achieve 89% of the total normal sowing area for food grains and compared to
2011-12, it has lagged nearly by 7%, resulting in lower kharif food grains production estimates for 2012-13. According to the first advance estimates, released by Ministry of
October 03, 2012
The kharif crops are sown and harvested during the monsoon season which runs from June to September and is critical for overall food production for the entire year. This report tracks the area under cultivation for different kharif crops and gives a fair estimate of production for the year 2012-13.
Assumptions:
The production estimates for 2012 kharif crops are based on the linear regression model in which production is the dependent variable while area sown and deviation of the southwest rainfall from normal are independent variables.
The production estimate for 2010 and 2011 is based on the final yield levels achieved in the respective year and on the net area sown for the same period.
The area sown reported as on September 21, 2012 released by Ministry of Agriculture.
Table 1: Country view kharif crop (2012-13)
Deviation of rainfall from normal
Crop Name
Cereals
Pulses
Food grains
Oilseeds
Cotton
Sugarcane
Normal
Area
60.97
10.98
71.94
17.89
10.86
4.72
-8%
Area sown (million hectares)
Net area
%
Net area
% change sown (21achieved sown (21compared
09-12)
of normal
09-11)
to 2011
53.97
88.5%
58.18
-7.2%
9.98
90.9%
10.83
-7.8%
63.95
88.9%
69.01
-7.3%
17.44
97.5%
17.82
-2.1%
11.49
105.8%
12.02
-4.4%
5.29
112.0%
5.10
3.7%
Production (million tonnes)
Net area sown (2309-10)
55.87
12.03
67.90
17.30
10.99
4.94
2012 Range
2011
2010
99.84 - 111.04
4.50 - 5.57
108.86 - 120.44
17.07 - 19.77
4.19 - 5.49
362.02 - 380.08
122.83
5.97
128.45
20.52
5.97
358.09
105.86
6.95
113.49
20.81
5.53
342.35
Summary:
As per the sowing information available, we have managed to achieve 89% of the total normal sowing area for food grains and compared to
2011-12, it has lagged nearly by 7%, resulting in lower kharif food grains production estimates for 2012-13. According to the first advance estimates, released by Ministry of