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Could Russia Have Defeated Japan in the Russo-Japanese War?

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Could Russia Have Defeated Japan in the Russo-Japanese War?
Could Russia have defeated Japan in the Russo-Japanese War?
If not, why not? If so, why and how?

by
Terra McIntyre

Introduction This essay will examine Russia 's advantages and disadvantages pre-war, war and post-war that could have changed the course of history and enabled Russia to defeat Japan in the Russo-Japanese War. Russia, despite major advantages in resources, military personnel, naval forces, and strategic depth, lost the Russo-Japanese War to Japan, a rising power whose military strength and power were grossly underestimated. Why? What could Russia have done differently to defeat Japan in the war? Summarizing and analyzing the advantages and disadvantages of Russia’s poor leadership, lack of strategic planning against Japan, and logistical differences will help clarify what it did wrong and what it could have done to defeat Japan in 1904.

Diplomatic and economic factors before and during the war In 1854, Japan had reopened her doors to the United States, the United Kingdom, and Russian after 200 years of isolation from all Western powers, except the Netherlands (Koda 12). Of these powers, Britain and Russia had the strongest impact on the national security policy of the Japanese government. By the 1890s, given the growing competition among European Powers in Asia, Japan had begun to implement policies to increase the nation’s military and economic modernization. They recognized that failure to do so would lead to the “nation’s dominance or dismemberment” by foreigners (Francis 1). Between 1888 and 1904, the Russian Empire’s economy was booming. As the financial heath of the government improved, it can be expected that the Minister of War would be allowed to share in this bounty. The Ministry was able to fund two discrete rearmament programs: the acquisition of magazine rifles and the introduction of the first quick-firing field artillery piece (Fuller 363). Both programs helped enhance and put Russia at an advantage



Bibliography: Fuller, William C., Sr. Strategy and Power in Russia, 1600-1914. New York: Free Press, 1992. Mahan, Alfred Thayer. “Retrospect upon the War between Japan and Russia,” in Naval Administration and Warfare. Boston: Little Brown, 1918. Warner, Denis and Peggy. The Tide at Sunrise: A History of the Russo-Japanese War, 1904-1905. New York: Charterhouse, 1974.

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