BUSINESS CYCLES Trend and cycle of the business cycle Phases of the cycle Pro‐cyclical‚ counter‐cyclical‚ and a‐cyclical variables Lead‚ lagged‚ and contemporary variables Stylized facts and cyclical behavior of key macroeconomic variables 2 BUSINESS CYCLES Over time GDP grows but not in a linear way GDP 2006 constant prices (in logs) 6.5 6.3 6.1 5.9 5.7 5.5 5.3 5.1 4.9 4.7 4.5 3 BUSINESS CYCLES Time Series Components 1. 2. 3. 4. Trend (long‐run) Cycle (short‐run)
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Mexico’s Business Cycle The term business cycle or economic cycle refers to the fluctuations of economic activity around its long-term growth trend. It involves shifts over time between periods of relatively rapid growth of output-recovery and prosperity‚ and periods of relative stagnation or decline- contraction or recession. These fluctuations are often measured using real gdp. Despite being termed cycles‚ these fluctuations in economic growth and decline do not follow a purely mechanical
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into one primarily industrial and urban. The 1989 US-Canada Free Trade Agreement (FTA) and the 1994 North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) (which includes Mexico) touched off a dramatic increase in trade and economic integration with the US. Canada enjoys a substantial trade surplus with the US‚ which absorbs about three-fourths of Canadian exports each year. Canada is the US ’s largest foreign supplier of energy‚ including oil‚ gas‚ uranium‚ and electric power. Given its great natural resources
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ECO2021 The Business Cycle The business cycle‚ it is also called economic cycle‚ are periodically and unstable levels in the economy that an economy has in different periods of time. Even though it was considered to be predictable and stable‚ it is now considered as unpredictable‚ and unstable that could vary in any time. The Business cycle will guide the businesses‚ industries‚ and companies to act in a specific way‚ depending in which of the 4 phases the business cycle is. Since business cycle could
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Introduction In general the economy tends to experience different trends. These trends can be grouped as the business/trade cycle and may contain a boom‚ recession‚ depression and recovery. A business/trade cycle (see figure 1) is the periodic but irregular up-and-down movements in economic activity‚ measured by fluctuations in real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and other macroeconomic variables. Samuelson and Nordhaus (1998)‚ defined it as ‘a swing in total national input‚ income and employment
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| Name and Surname: | N7265212 | Luowa Bu | FACULTY OF BUSINESS Assignment Cover Sheet Campus | GP | School | Economics and finance | Unit Name | Economics 2 | Unit Code | efb223 | Due date | Friday‚ 27 January 2012 by 11.00 pm | Tutor’s Name | Alen-Igor Radonjic | Tutorial Day/Time | Summer School 2011 | Essay Topic | "Discuss how the eurocrisis highlights the need for coordination between fiscal and monetary policy." | DECLARATIONI declare that: (1) this essay is a entirely
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STAGES OF A BUSINESS CYCLE RECESSION A recession—also sometimes referred to as a trough—is a period of reduced economic activity in which levels of buying‚ selling‚ production‚ and employment typically diminish. This is the most unwelcome stage of the business cycle for business owners and consumers alike. A particularly severe recession is known as a depression. RECOVERY Also known as an upturn‚ the recovery stage of the business cycle is the point at which the economy "troughs" out and starts
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services are inextricably linked‚ constantly and freely interacting with one another to transact the resources of the economy. Producers charge consumers a price that is instantaneously updated by the perpetual intermingling of supply and demand‚ which in turn is dictated by the instant and unfettered flow of information. Consumer preferences remain stable or‚ at least‚ are easily and accurately predicted by producers. As a result of these elements working in concert‚ all market participants are
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Chapter 10 (Business Cycles) Business Cycles (business Flucuations) The ups and downs in economy wide economic activities are called business cycles or busyiness fluctuations. When business fluctuations are positive they are called expansion‚ the opposite of expansion is contraction which is slow down in the pace of national economic activities. Phases of the business cycle over a several year period 1. A peak is when business activity reaches a temporary maximum with full employment and near
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The Monetary and Fiscal Policies‚ although controlled by two different organizations‚ are the ways that our economy is kept under control. Fiscal Policy is defined as the use of government spending and revenue collection to influence the economy. Monetary policy however is the regulation of the money supply and interest rates by a central bank‚ such as the Federal Reserve Board in the U.S.‚ in order to control inflation and stabilize currency. Although these two policies are meant to help stabilize
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