Traffic Accidents
Vehicle Accident Analysis
BUDT 733, Prof. Schmueli
Amelie Brandenberg Jason Dell Donna Donella Rama Reddy
Outline
Issue - Vehicular Accident Injuries Project Objective Data source and variables Research questions Methods of analysis
– – – –
Exploratory analysis Descriptive statistics Logistic regression Discriminant analysis
Results Recommendations
Factors in Vehicular Accidents
Physical environment Person – driver, passenger Vehicle related Other
Data Source
The Bureau of Transportation Statistics (part of the U.S. Dept. of Transportation) gathers data on the estimated 6.4 million vehicle accidents reported each year. Data are accessible at http://www.transtat.bts.gov. The most recent sample of 55,000 records relates to 2001 vehicle accidents. From this data, we selected a random sample of 10,000 records for this project.
Objective
Objective
– Evaluate the role of physical environment in
vehicle accidents that result in injuries, specifically
Profile variables of physical environment that increase the probability of injuries in vehicular accidents Predict the probability of injuries in accidents based on the selected variables of physical environment
Hypothesis
– Variables of physical environment have major influence on the
probability of injury in vehicular accidents
Clients for this Study
Federal Agencies and Dept. of Transportation State and County Governments Automobile Industry Insurance Industry – Health, Auto Businesses in road safety Commuters
Data - List of Variables
Hour of accident - 0-24 hrs Alcohol Road alignment Manner of collision Traffic lanes - one /two/more Traffic conditions Road surface Population density Weekday Interstate Highway Relative to Roadway Work zone Relation to Junction Number of travel lanes Region - NE/MW/south/west Month Road surface conditions Traffic Flow Pedestrian/cyclist Light condition Speed limit Weather
Sample Data
CASENUM 110215646 110215716 110215725 110215728
BUDT 733, Prof. Schmueli
Amelie Brandenberg Jason Dell Donna Donella Rama Reddy
Outline
Issue - Vehicular Accident Injuries Project Objective Data source and variables Research questions Methods of analysis
– – – –
Exploratory analysis Descriptive statistics Logistic regression Discriminant analysis
Results Recommendations
Factors in Vehicular Accidents
Physical environment Person – driver, passenger Vehicle related Other
Data Source
The Bureau of Transportation Statistics (part of the U.S. Dept. of Transportation) gathers data on the estimated 6.4 million vehicle accidents reported each year. Data are accessible at http://www.transtat.bts.gov. The most recent sample of 55,000 records relates to 2001 vehicle accidents. From this data, we selected a random sample of 10,000 records for this project.
Objective
Objective
– Evaluate the role of physical environment in
vehicle accidents that result in injuries, specifically
Profile variables of physical environment that increase the probability of injuries in vehicular accidents Predict the probability of injuries in accidents based on the selected variables of physical environment
Hypothesis
– Variables of physical environment have major influence on the
probability of injury in vehicular accidents
Clients for this Study
Federal Agencies and Dept. of Transportation State and County Governments Automobile Industry Insurance Industry – Health, Auto Businesses in road safety Commuters
Data - List of Variables
Hour of accident - 0-24 hrs Alcohol Road alignment Manner of collision Traffic lanes - one /two/more Traffic conditions Road surface Population density Weekday Interstate Highway Relative to Roadway Work zone Relation to Junction Number of travel lanes Region - NE/MW/south/west Month Road surface conditions Traffic Flow Pedestrian/cyclist Light condition Speed limit Weather
Sample Data
CASENUM 110215646 110215716 110215725 110215728