Preview

Determinants of Gdp Growth in Pakistan

Powerful Essays
Open Document
Open Document
5487 Words
Grammar
Grammar
Plagiarism
Plagiarism
Writing
Writing
Score
Score
Determinants of Gdp Growth in Pakistan
Determinants of Economic Growth in Pakistan
1. Introduction The economic growth is a complex phenomenon, which involves several factors. One of the major areas of research in economics has been to identify these factors. There is ample literature on the subject matter. These factors differ from country to country. Due to the different socioeconomic conditions the factors of economic growth may be different in the cases of developing and developed countries. The growth of developing countries is not stable. If these factors can be identified, it can help to accelerate growth by focusing on the major leading sources of growth. Economy of Pakistan has registered a growth rate of 5.32%, 6.30%, 3.96%, and 3.34% during 1970-1980, 1981-1990, 1991-2000, and 2001-2003 respectively. Overall average for the said period is 5.03%[1]. This trend is both important and significant for Pakistan. It is because this almost five percent growth rate is accompanied by growth in the capital stock which approximates around 17 to 18 percent of the GDP[2]. This accumulation of resources shows a trend, that incremental capital-output ratio (COR) is low in Pakistan than a number of East Asian, South Asian and Latin American countries.[3] Existence of this situation justifies a detailed study of the factors, which are responsible for the moderate growth rate with low capital accumulation. The study is organized as follows: Section two throws light on the theoretical illustration of the relations between economic growth and factors to be explored in this study. Section three presents a brief review of literature. Section four contains empirical methodology and data. Empirical results are discussed in section five. Section six concludes the study.

2. Theoretical Foundations 1. Growth of Gross Capital Formation and Economic Growth.
Capital formation is a process of addition to capital stock through successive doses of investment. This has direct impact on



References: Andres J. and I. Hernando (1997), “Does inflation harm Economic Growth? Evidence for the OECD”, Banco de Espana Working Paper 9706. Balassa, B. (1978), “Exports and economic growth: Further evidence”, Journal of Development Economics, Vo1ume 5, pp. 181-189. Balassa, B. (1985), “Exports, policy choices, and economic growth in developing countries after the 1973 oil shock”, Journal of Development Economics, Volume 4, No. 1, pp. 23-35. Barro, R. (1995), “Inflation and Economic Growth”, NBER Working Paper, 5326. Barro, R. (1996), “Inflation and growth”, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review, vol. 78, pp. 153-169. Belke, Ansgar and Leo Kaas (2004), “Exchange Rate Movements and Employment Growth: An OCA Assessment of the CEE Economies”, Empirica 31, pp.247-280. Bencivenga, V.R, and B.D. Smith (1991), “Financial Intermediation and Endogenous Growth”, Review of Economic Studies, Vol.58, No.2, pp. 195-209. Bhatia, Rattan J. (1960), “Inflation, Deflation, and Economic Development,” Staff papers, International Monetary Fund, Vol. 8, pp. 1011-14. Borensztein, E., J. De Gregorio, and J.W. Lee (1998), “How Does Foreign Direct Investment Affect Economic Growth?”, Journal of International Economics, Vol.45, No.1, pp.115-35. Bosworth, Barry, Susan Collins and Yu-chin Chen (1995), “Accounting for Differences in Economic Growth”, unpublished manuscript, the Brookings Institution. Bruno, M. and Easterly, W. (1998), “Inflation Crisis and Long-Run Growth”, JME 41, 3-26. Bullard, J., Keating, J., 1995, “The Long-run Relationship between Inflation and Output in Post-war Economies,” Journal of Monetary Economics, 36, 477-496. Christoffersen, Peter F., and Peter Doyale, (1998), “From Inflation to Growth: Eight Years of Transition,” IMF Working Paper 98/99 (Washington: International Monetary Fund). De Gregorio, Jose (1993), "Inflation, Taxation and Long-Run Growth", Journal of Monetary Economics 31, 271-98. Dollar, David (1992), “Outward-oriented Developing Countries Really Do Grow MoreRapidly: Evidence from 195 LDCs”, Economic Development and Cultural Change, 523-544 Demetriades, P Dornbusch, R., S. Fischer and C. Kearney. (1996), “Macroeconomics”, The Mc-Graw-Hill Companies, Inc., Sydney. Dorrance, Graeme S. (1963), “The Effect of Inflation on Economic Development,” Staff Papers, International Monetary Fund, Vol. 10, pp. 1-47. Dorrance, Graeme S. (1966), “Inflation and Growth”, Staff Papers, International Monetary Fund, Vol. 13, pp.82-102. E.M. Ekanayake (1999), “Exports and Economic Growth in Asian Developing Countries: Cointegration and Error-Correction Models”, Journal of Economic Development Volume 24, Number 2. Feder, G. (1983), “On Exports and Economic Growth”, Journal of Development Economics, Vol. 12, pp. 59-73. Fisher, Stanley, (1993), “The Role of Macroeconomic Factors in Growth”, Journal of Monetary Economics, Vol. 32, pp. 485-512. Fosu, A. K. (1990), “Exports and Economic Growth: The African Case:, World Development, Volume 18, No. 6 (June), pp. 831-835. Friedman, M. (1968), “The Role of Monetary Policy”, American Economic Review, 58: 1-17. Fry, Maxwell J. (1995), “Money, Interest, and Banking in Economic Development”, Baltimore John Hopkins I. Press. Ghosh, Atish, Anne-Marie Gulde, Jonathan D. Ostry and Holger C. Wolf, (1997), “Does the Nominal Exchange Rate Regime Matter?”, NBER Working Paper 5874. Goldsmith, R. W. (1969), “Financial Structure and Development” New Haven, C.T.: Yale University Press. Hassan, M. A. and A. H. Khan (1994), “Impact of Devaluation on Pakistan’s External Trade: An Econometric Approach”, Pakistan Development Review, 33, 4, 1205-1215. Hausmann, Ricardo et al. (1995), “Overcoming Volatility in Latin America”, in Report on Economic and Social Progress in Latin America, Washington, D.C.: Interamerican Development Bank. Hausmann, Ricardo, Lant Pritchett and Dani Rodrik (2004), “Growth Accelerations”, NBER Working Paper no.10566. J. Konings (2000), “Effects of direct foreign investment on domestic firms: Evidence from firm level panel data in emerging economies”, WDI working paper, no 344. Johanson, Harry G. (1967), “Is Inflation a Retarding Factor in Economic Growth?”, in Fiscal and Monetary Problems in Developing States, Proceedings of the Third Rehoroth Conference, ed.by David Krivine (New York: Praeger, 1967), pp. 121-30. Kavoussi, R. M. (1984), “Export expansion and economic growth: Further empirical evidence”, Journal of Development Economics, Volume 14, No. 1/2, pp. 241-250. Keesing, D. B. (1967), “Outward-looking Policies and Economic Development”, Economic Journal 77 (306): 303-320. Keesing, D. B. (1979), “Trade policy for developing countries”, World Bank Staff Working Paper 353 Khan, A Khan, M.S. and Senhadji, A.S. (2001), “Threshold Effects in the Relationship between Inflation and Growth”, IMF Staff Paper 48, 1-21. Khan, S. R. and S. Aftab (1995), “Devaluation and the Balance of Trade in Pakistan” Paper presented at the Eleventh Annual General Meeting and Conference of Pakistan Society of Development Economists, April 18-21, Islamabad. Khan, Safdar Ullah (2006). “Macro Determinants of Total Factor Productivity in Pakistan,” SBP Research Bulletin Volume.2, Number. 2, 2006. King, R. G. and R. Levine (1993), “Finance and Growth: Schumpeter Might be Right”, Quarterly Journal of Economics 108, 717–737. Kugler, P. and Dridi, J. (1993), “Growth and Exports in LDCs: A Multivariate Time Series Study”, Rivista Internazionale di Scienza Economiche e commerciali, 40(9): 759- 67. Kul, L. B. and Khan, M. (1999), “A Quantitive Reassessment of the Finance Growth Nexus: Evidence from a Multivariate VAR”, Journal of Development Economics, Vol.60, pp.381-405 L L. Lizal and J. Svejnar (2001), “Investment, credit rationing, and the soft budget constraint: Evidence from Czech panel data”, WDI working paper, no 364. Levine, R., Norman Loayza, and Thorsten Beck (2000), “Financial Intermediation and Growth: Causality and Causes”, Journal of Monetary Economics 46, 31–77. Levine, R. and Zervos, S. J. (1993), “A Sensitivity Analysis of Cross-country Growth Regressions”, AER 82(4), 942-963. Levine, R. and Zervos, S. J. (1996), “Stock Market Development and Long-Run Growth”, The World Bank Economic Review, Vol.10, No.2,pp.323-39. Levine, R., Zervos, S., (1998), “Stock Markets, Banks and Economic Growth”, American Economic Review, Vol.88, No.3 (Jun., 1998), 537-558. Limam, Y. R. and Miller, S. M. (2004), “Explaining Economic Growth: Factor accumulation, Total Factor Productivity Growth, and Production Efficiency Improvement,” University of Connecticut Working Paper, 20.

You May Also Find These Documents Helpful