Preview

Concentration Test: Johansen's Fisher Panel Cointegration Test

Good Essays
Open Document
Open Document
1090 Words
Grammar
Grammar
Plagiarism
Plagiarism
Writing
Writing
Score
Score
Concentration Test: Johansen's Fisher Panel Cointegration Test
According to the cointegration analysis established in the mid-80s, the non-stationarity of the underlying time series does not always imply the non-stationarity of the linear combinations of these series. Hence, it is a prerequisite to ensure that all variables are integrated of order one in levels before employing the panel cointegration tests.
Table 3 presents the results performed by Im, Pesaran and Shin unit root test of all variables for the four panels of economies tested in both levels and in first difference. Panel A, B, C and D represents all income economies, high-income economies, upper-middle-income economies and lower-middle-income economies respectively.It can be inferred from Table 3 that for Panel A and B, real gross domestic
…show more content…
The Johansen procedure detect the number of cointegrating variable by two likelihood tests namely the trace test and maximum eigenvalue test. This paper adopted the Johansen’s Fisher panel cointegration test because it is developed from Johansen’s time-series cointegration test which allows the use of a mixture of I(1) and I(0) variables in the test (Johansen,1995). Thus, this could imply that when conducting the panel cointegration test, using a set of panel data variables which consists of different orders of integration, would not produce biased results.Table 4 reports both the trace test and maximum eigenvalue test statistics of the Johansen’s Fisher panel cointegration analysis for the four panels of different economies. Except for the Fisher trace test and maximum eigenvalue test statistics of Panel D which does not reject the null hypothesis of no cointegration at the 1% significance level, other statistics in Panel A, B and C significantly confirm there is one variable cointegrating with GDP in the long …show more content…
Yet, real gross fixed capital formation and labor force participation rate have relatively larger effect on the countries’ economic growth instead of nuclear energy consumption.Table 6 reports the result of Granger causality test for each panel data set. From Panel A, which includes all countries that utilized nuclear energy, real GDP have a positive and significant effect to real GFCF in short-run; long-run unidirectional relationship from nuclear energy consumption to real GDP and real GFCF. For Panel B, which is high-income economy, it appears that there is a unidirectional causality from nuclear energy consumption to real GDP in short-run and a long-run unidirectional causality between nuclear energy consumption and real GDP, real GFCF and labor force participation rate. Besides, from Panel C, which is the upper-middle countries, shows that real GDP, real GFCF and labor force participation rate have unidirectional causality effect to nuclear energy consumption in short-run. For Panel D, which is the lower-middle income countries, Granger causality test shows that there is a bi-directional causality between real GDP and real GFCF in short-run; while labor force participation rate have a long-run unidirectional causality effect to real GDP and real GFCF. However, nuclear energy consumption does not have significant effect to GDP in the

You May Also Find These Documents Helpful

  • Powerful Essays

    Coffee Commodity Chain

    • 10338 Words
    • 42 Pages

    Enders, W., and Granger, C. W. J. 1998. Unit-root tests and asymmetric adjustment with an…

    • 10338 Words
    • 42 Pages
    Powerful Essays
  • Good Essays

    Syllabus

    • 1314 Words
    • 9 Pages

    First semester of university-parallel sequence. Introduction to economic Macro-analysis, emphasizing gross national product, national income, consumption, investment, taxation, government and international trade.…

    • 1314 Words
    • 9 Pages
    Good Essays
  • Good Essays

    While there is no doubting that solar and wind will create jobs and bring in its own income, ultimately nuclear power will be more beneficial for the United States. In order to bring wind generated energy production up the tax payer will pay a heavy price, to raise the wind energy production level from just 1.5% to 4% over the next ten years it will cost at least $29 billion in federal subsidies (Alexander). Nuclear power is better suited for the economy as it is a cheaply produced source of energy, yet the United States is not capitalizing on it. This lack of nuclear energy investment on the United States is resulting in other countries to capture the benefits of this cheap energy source; China, Russia and Japan are all cashing in on nuclear power for its cheap energy. The benefit of cheap energy is that energy intensive industries have an incentive to set up sites using nuclear energy for the lessened power bill they have to pay. If other countries continue to produce cheap energy American industries may want to consider moving to these countries with lower energy costs. If businesses move over seas the United States losses jobs to other countries and we are no better…

    • 641 Words
    • 3 Pages
    Good Essays
  • Better Essays

    Purchasing Power Parity

    • 2170 Words
    • 9 Pages

    Ramirez, M, & Khan, Shahryar. (1999). A cointegration analysis of purchasing power parity: 1973-96 . Manuscript submitted for publication, Retrieved from http://www.iaes.org/journal/iaer/aug_99/ramirez/…

    • 2170 Words
    • 9 Pages
    Better Essays
  • Good Essays

    Dick

    • 539 Words
    • 3 Pages

    Cointegration consists of matching the degree of nonstationarity of the variables in an equation in a way that makes the error term and residuals of the equation stationary and rids the equation of any spurious regression results. Even though individual variables might be nonstationary, it is possible for linear combination of nonstationary variables to be stationary.If a long-run equilibrium relationshop exists between a set of variables, those variable are said to be cointegreated…

    • 539 Words
    • 3 Pages
    Good Essays
  • Better Essays

    Purchasing Power Parity

    • 2605 Words
    • 11 Pages

    There has been a long standing controversy among the economist about the validity of PPP (Purchasing Power Parity) in the long run. The parity reveals that prices in two different economies should be identical to each other when they expressed in terms of the same currency. It is a central building block in the monetary models of exchange rate determination. One of the most common practices, to test the validity of PPP is through unit root test of real exchange rate. In this paper unit root test has been done based on the data on Bangladesh and its major trading partner India, to see whether exchange rate has unit root or not. It has been found out that the PPP holds i.e. real exchange is not trend stationary in the long run, at a certain significance level. So the null hypothesis that real exchange root has unit root has been rejected. This paper should be seen as an exploratory study on this subject.…

    • 2605 Words
    • 11 Pages
    Better Essays
  • Satisfactory Essays

    In this project different economics variables will be compared with each other to see if any correlations between them exist to perhaps explain certain trends and changes in the variables. The three focused on in this report are GDP growth, Government Debt and Budget surplus/deficit.…

    • 350 Words
    • 2 Pages
    Satisfactory Essays
  • Good Essays

    The Augmented Dickey Fuller (ADF) test is used to determine the order of integration. The results for the ADF test are presented in Table 1 below. The null hypothesis for the ADF test was that the series has a unit root and is therefore nonstationary. However, the model does not provide enough evidence to reject the Null hypothesis for all the markets analyzed. All the variables are nonstationary in the levels but are stationary in their first differences. Therefore all the variables are integrated of order…

    • 813 Words
    • 4 Pages
    Good Essays
  • Powerful Essays

    Eco Text Book

    • 89098 Words
    • 357 Pages

    Unit Structure : 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 Objectives Introduction of Foreign Trade Multiplier Income determination in a multiplier in a closed economy Foreign Trade multiplier in an open economy Foreign Repercussion Introduction of the concepts External and Internal balance and Role of Monetary and Fiscal Policy 1.6 Expenditure Changing policies 1.7 Expenditure Switching policy 1.8 Introduction of Policy Mix 1.9 A case for Monetary and Fiscal Policy Mix 1.10 Meade‟s Model 1.11 Mundell‟s Model 1.12 Mundell-Flemming Model 1.13 Summary 1.14 Questions…

    • 89098 Words
    • 357 Pages
    Powerful Essays
  • Powerful Essays

    Open Economy Business Cycle

    • 12707 Words
    • 51 Pages

    Baxter, M., Crucini, M.J., 1993. Explaining saving-investment correlations. American Economic Review 83, 416–436. Baxter, M., Crucini, M., 1995. Business cycles and the asset structure of foreign trade. International Economic Review 36, 821–854. Berndt, E.R., Wood, D.O., 1975. Technology, prices, and the derived demand for energy. The review of Economics and Statistics 57, 259–268. Bidarkota, P.V., Crucini, M.J., 2000. Commodity prices and the terms of trade. Review of International Economics 8, 647–666. Blankenau, W., Kose, M.A., Yi, K., 2001. Can world real interest rates explain business cycles in a small open economy? Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 25, 867–889. Cochrane, J.H., 1994. Shocks. Carnegie Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy 41, 295–364. Correia, I., Neves, J.C., Rebelo, S., 1995. Business cycles in a small open economy. European Economic Review 39, 1089–1113. Deaton, A., Laroque, G., 1992. On the behavior of commodity prices. Review of Economic Studies 59, 1–23. Deaton, A., Miller, R., 1996. International commodity prices, macroeconomic performance and politics in Sub-Saharan Africa. Journal of African Economies 5 (Supp.), 99–191. Dotsey, M., Mao, C., 1992. How well do approximation methods work? Journal of Monetary Economics 29, 25–58. Fiorito, R., Kollintzas, T., 1994. Stylized facts of business cycles in the G7 from a Real Business Cycles perspective. European Economic Review 38, 235–269. Frenkel, J.A., Razin, A., Yuen, C., 1996. Fiscal Policies and Growth in the World Economy. The MIT Press, Cambridge. Greenwood, J., Hercowitz, Z., Huffman, G., 1988. Investment, capacity utilization and the real business cycle. American Economic Review 78, 402–416.…

    • 12707 Words
    • 51 Pages
    Powerful Essays
  • Good Essays

    Islamic Azad University Abstract This paper provides new evidence on the long-run relationship between exports and imports of the Iranian economy by employing bounds testing approach to level relationships. In Iran, there have been many unusual policy changes and/or external shocks to the economy; this has resulted in the occurrence of a multitude of structural breaks in macroeconomic variables. By taking these breaks into account, results of the present study reveal that there is a long-run equilibrium relationship between imports and exports over the sample period, 1960–2007. This result confirms the finding of Arize (Imports and exports in 50 countries: Tests of cointegration and structural breaks, 2002) by employing bounds tests to level relationships and suggests that current account deficits in Iran are sustainable. JEL C22, F10, F32 Keywords Current account; bounds test; Iran Correspondence Hassan Heidari, Department of Economics, Urmia University, Urmia, Iran; e-mail: h.heidari@urmia.ac.ir. Salih Turan Katircioglu, Department of Banking and Finance, Eastern Mediterranean University, North Cyprus, Turkey; e-mail: salihk@emu.edu.tr. Narmin Davoudi, Islamic Azad University, Mahabad Branch, Faculty of Management, Mahabad, Iran; e-mail: ndavudi@hotmail.com.…

    • 6315 Words
    • 26 Pages
    Good Essays
  • Powerful Essays

    ABSTRACT This study is based on examining the relationship between income and consumption series of India covering the period of 1980-2009. Data about certain indicators were obtained from the official web site of World Bank. In first step of data analysis appropriate ARMA model was determined using correlogram and information criteria as well, and applied to the consumption data only. These models (ARMA and ARIMA models) are built up from the white noise process. We use the estimated autocorrelation and partial autocorrelation functions of the series to help us select the particular model that we will estimate to help us forecast the series. Second step of data analysis was comprised of co-integration and Error Correction model. It was found that per capita Gross Domestic Product and final household consumption per capita of India are not cointegrated. It was observed that both the series are integrated at order two I (2). But second condition of co-integration was not satisfied, the residuals were not found stationary. Hence it might be possible to conclude that there is no long run relationship between consumption and GDP series of India. As we know that the series are not co-integrated so we cannot apply Error correction model, but for the sake of understanding more specifically we also applied Error Correction Model. The adjustment co-efficient was not up to the standard it was around zero, it suggest that there is no need to make adjustments. Keywords: Gross Domestic Product, Consumption, ARMA, Co-Integration, Error Correction Model 1…

    • 4036 Words
    • 17 Pages
    Powerful Essays
  • Powerful Essays

    Die Welt altert Eine demographische Länderanalyse und wie Unternehmen damit umgehen Seminararbeit zum Thema „Strategische Personalplanung und Demographiemanagement“ Sommersemester 2009 Inhaltsverzeichnis Inhaltsverzeichnis 2 Abbildungsverzeichnis 3 1 Einleitung 5 1.1 Problemstellung 5 1.2 Zielsetzung 5 1.3 Untersuchungsobjekt 5 1.4 Vorgehensweise und Aufbau 6 1.5 Methodik 6 2 Demographische Analysen 7 2.1 Demographische Länderanalyse 7 2.1.1 Deutschland 7 2.1.2 China 9 2.1.3 USA 10 2.1.4 Indien 12 2.2 Demographischer Ländervergleich 13 2.2.1 Gesamtbevölkerung 13 2.2.2 Medianalter 13 2.2.3 Altersstruktur 14 2.2.4 Fertilitätsrate 19 2.2.5 Lebenserwartung 20 2.3 Zwischenfazit 20 3 Betriebliche Handlungsansätze in Bezug auf den demographischen Wandel 22 3.1 Betriebliche Handlungsansätze im Allgemeinen 22 3.1.1 Gesundheitsförderung und präventive Gesundheitspolitik 22 3.1.2 Altersgerechte Arbeitsplatzgestaltung 23 3.1.3 Lebensarbeitszeitgestaltung 24 3.1.4 Lebenslanges Lernen 24 3.1.5 Intergenerativer Wissenstransfer 25 3.2 Betriebliche Handlungsansätze in Deutschland 26 3.3 Betriebliche Handlungsansätze in China 29 3.4 Betriebliche Handlungsansätze in den USA 30 3.5 Betriebliche Handlungsansätze in Indien 33 4 Fazit 35 Anhang 36 Literaturverzeichnis 38 Eidesstattliche Erklärung 42 Abbildungsverzeichnis Abbildung 1: Bevölkerungspyramiden für Deutschland 2004 und 2020 8 Quelle: Euromonitor International 2004, S. 333 Abbildung 2: Bevölkerungspyramiden für Westeuropa 2004 und 2020 9…

    • 9291 Words
    • 38 Pages
    Powerful Essays
  • Powerful Essays

    testing for multiple buubles

    • 15864 Words
    • 124 Pages

    Busetti, F., and A. M. R. Taylor, 2004, Tests of stationarity against a change in persistence,…

    • 15864 Words
    • 124 Pages
    Powerful Essays
  • Powerful Essays

    Qualitative Research 4.2

    • 1998 Words
    • 8 Pages

    First and foremost, panel data provides an extensive range of issues and the ability to handle more complicated problems than pure time-series or pure cross-sectional data. Additionally, panel data is useful for complicated and change-dynamics models due to the enormousness in data point, which is considered to be more convenient than pure cross-section or pure time-series…

    • 1998 Words
    • 8 Pages
    Powerful Essays