Forecasting Trends in Time Series Author(s): Everette S. Gardner‚ Jr. and Ed. McKenzie Reviewed work(s): Source: Management Science‚ Vol. 31‚ No. 10 (Oct.‚ 1985)‚ pp. 1237-1246 Published by: INFORMS Stable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/2631713 . Accessed: 20/12/2012 02:05 Your use of the JSTOR archive indicates your acceptance of the Terms & Conditions of Use‚ available at . http://www.jstor.org/page/info/about/policies/terms.jsp . JSTOR is a not-for-profit service that helps scholars‚ researchers
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Solutions 7 V- Recommendations 9 I- Introduction This case study presents two companies‚ Marks & Spencer and Zara‚ which are active in the apparel industry‚ and examines supply chains and the product-process linkages of both companies. Marks & Spencer‚ originally named Penny Bazaars‚ was founded by Michael Marks in 1884 in Northern England as a clothing sales company. Ten years after its startup‚ Thomas Spencer joined Michael Marks and became co-owner of the company. From 1894‚ the
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ScienceAsia 27 (2001) : 271-278 Demand Forecasting and Production Planning for Highly Seasonal Demand Situations: Case Study of a Pressure Container Factory Pisal Yenradeea‚*‚ Anulark Pinnoib and Amnaj Charoenthavornyingb a Industrial Engineering Program‚ Sirindhorn International Institute of Technology‚ Thammasat University‚ Patumtani 12121‚ Thailand. b Industrial Systems Engineering Program‚ School of Advanced Technologies‚ Asian Institute of Technology‚ P.O. Box 4‚ Klong Luang‚ Patumtani
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Zara has thrived by employing a vertical supply chain. This chain has developed a strategy that has led Zara to create a fashion empire. In 2008‚ Zara had over 1520 stores and produced €6‚8 billion in sales. The supply chain is depicted in figure 1. The chain starts at the headquarters were the designers produce nearly 30‚00 different designs per year. Typical competeitors produce about 2000-4000. Zara employs a quick response system (discussed later) in wich informnation about trends‚ store
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FORECASTING Managers are always trying to reduce uncertainty and make better estimates of what will happen in the future; this is the main purpose of forecasting. Some firms use subjective methods‚ seat-of-the pants methods‚ intuition‚ and experience. There are also several quantitative techniques‚ moving averages‚ exponential smoothing‚ trend projections‚ and least squares regression analysis. Eight steps to forecasting: * Determine the use of the forecast—what objective are we trying to
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Zara International was a retail shop originated in La Coruna‚ Spain in 1975. It was clothing and accessories shop and imitated the latest fashion trends and sold them at a lower cost. It became Zara International after entering Portugal in 1988 and then the United States and France in the 1990s. The distributor for this brand is Inditex and is considered the most successful retail chain in the world. Zara has a business strategy that is very different from the retailers nowadays. If a customer orders
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Forecasting: ABC Flower Shop Patrick Moran MGMT415-1104A-03: Global Operations Management American Inter-Continental University October 29‚ 2011 Abstract In this paper‚ we will discuss a quantifiable method of forecasting called moving averages. Forecasting entails comparing historical values to predicted values for the future. 3-day and 5-day moving average calculations using Excel will be explained as well as a graph based on the forecasted values will also be shown. Finally‚ a method
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Zara’s Case Study Company Profile Zara is one of the largest international fashion companies with 1671 stores around the globe. It is a part of Inditex holding. Inditex is one of the world’s largest fashion retailers‚ welcoming shoppers at its eight store formats -Zara‚ Pull & Bear‚ Massimo Dutti‚ Bershka‚ Stradivarius‚ Oysho‚ Zara Home and Uterqüe - boasting 5.693 stores in 85 markets [www.inditex.com]‚ [www.zara.com]. In 1975 the first Zara shop was founded in Spain. In 1976-1984 In-Spain
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Chapter 5 120 – Sales forecast‚ quotas • sales forecast: the future market potential for a specific product • quota: sales goals for different sales territories and individual people 121 – contingency‚ sales and operational planning • contingency: events that are conceivable but less likely than those based directly on the forecast • sales and operational planning (S&OP): an organized process that uses sales inputs to forecast business for upcoming periods of varying length 123 – SIC‚ NAICS
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PROBLEMS Carter Corporation’s sales are expected to increase from $5 million in 2006 to $6 million in 2007 or by 20 percent. Its assets totaled $3 million at the end of 2006. Carter is at full capacity‚ so its assets must grow at the same rate as projected sales. At the end of 2006‚ current liabilities were $1 million‚ consisting of $250‚000 of accounts payable‚ $500‚000 of notes payable‚ and $250‚000 of accruals. The after-tax profit margin is forecasted
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