Department of Finance Fisher College of Business The Ohio State University Prof. George Pinteris Handout on Crystal Ball This handout supplements the lecture notes on Monte Carlo simulation techniques. In this handout‚ I will discuss how to use Crystal Ball to fit a distribution to historical data and how to produce tornado and sensitivity charts that allow the analyst to evaluate the impact of the model’s driver(s) on the model’s variable(s) of interest (such as firm value or NPV in the
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1.10 #4: Divergent Title: Divergent Author: Veronica Roth Text Type: Novel Personal Response: This story follows 16 year old Beatrice (Tris) who lives with her family is a dystopian version of Chicago. Society has been divided into five factions‚ each faction is meant to uphold a quality of humanity. The five factions are Abnegation (The selfless)‚ Amity (the peaceful)‚ Candor (the honest)‚ Dauntless (The fearless) and Erudite (The intelligent). When they are 16 the young adults must take
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topic during grade XI. Pretest was conducted before simulating module and posttest after simulation. From the simulation got mean of pretest 37.34 and posttest 46.41. Through analyzing using paired t test got tcalculation 3.157 with df 31 where ttable 1.695‚ then pretest- posttest said to be statistically different on 95% of significance. Enhancement of posttest compared to pretest was 24.29% .After simulation‚ students assessed the draft and result showed that module have been very good in aspect
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client for execution of a project. Mr. Clark‚ Director‚ Central Region Appshop Inc had to make a decision on either accepting any one of the prices suggested by the client or participate in the bidding process. The case involves using Monte Carlo Simulation and Triangle Distribution to figure out the best possible option for Appshop Inc. Executive Summary Appshop Inc was a privately held‚ independent full-service Oracle consulting‚ applications and outsourcing company with revenues of $ 25 million
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REAL TIME DISCRETE EVENT SIMULATION OF A PCB PRODUCTION SYSTEM FOR OPERATIONAL SUPPORT This is a summary of the paper titled “Real Time Simulation of a PCB Production System for Operational Support” by Mats Jackson and Christer Johansson in the 1997 Winter Simulation Conference. I picked this paper because it deals with how Discrete Event Simulation (DES) is used to assist a crucial methodology in the current market – “Agile” manufacturing. Nowadays‚ the customers want better products available
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Course MBA – 2nd Semester Subject Operations Research Assignment MB0048 – Set 1 Q.1. (a) what is linear programming problem? (b) A toy company manufactures two types of dolls‚ a basic version doll- A and a deluxe version doll-B. Each doll of type B takes twice as long to produce as one of type A‚ and the company would have time to make maximum of 1000 per day. The supply of plastic is sufficient to produce 1000 dolls per day (both A & B combined). The deluxe version requires
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ntroduction to Monte Carlo simulation This article was adapted from Microsoft Office Excel 2007 Data Analysis and Business Modeling by Wayne L. Winston. Visit Microsoft Learning to learn more about this book. This classroom-style book was developed from a series of presentations by Wayne Winston‚ a well known statistician and business professor who specializes in creative‚ practical applications of Excel. So be prepared — you may need to put your thinking cap on. In this article * Overview
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The Benefits of Video Games In this modern world where technology is very advanced‚ video games have become one of the most favored means for people who seek fun and entertainment. However‚ despite of their popularity‚ many parents are concerned of the harmful effects that it can bring to their children. In most cases‚ video games cause addiction to children‚ and this is especially true when parental control is weak. Due to this addiction‚ many children may have problems with their behavior or
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This assessment requires you to reflect on the team experience that you have now been part of (climbing Everest). As suggested you should use the notes or diary that you kept while doing the team simulation and also make reference to relevant theories or materials read so far on the course. Guidelines for Content Individual Reflections - Word Count: 1‚000 1) Introduction to Team and Team Roles 2) Discuss two or more of the following • team synergy and information sharing • goal conflict
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Business‚ The George Washington University‚ Washington‚ DC 20052‚ USA. E-mail: kwak@gwu.edu A b stra ct Monte Carlo simulation is a useful technique for modeling and analyzing real-world systems and situations. This paper is a conceptual paper that explores the applications of Monte Carlo simulation for managing project risks and uncertainties. The benefits of Monte Carlo simulation are using quantified data‚ allowing project managers to better justify and communicate their arguments when senior
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