P(S) The symbol for the probability of success P(F) The symbol for the probability of failure p The numerical probability of a success q The numerical probability of a failure P(S) = p and P(F) = 1 - p = q n The number of trials X The number of successes The probability of a success in a binomial experiment can be computed with the following formula. Binomial Probability Formula In a binomial experiment
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Conditional Probability How to handle Dependent Events Life is full of random events! You need to get a "feel" for them to be a smart and successful person. Independent Events Events can be "Independent"‚ meaning each event is not affected by any other events. Example: Tossing a coin. Each toss of a coin is a perfect isolated thing. What it did in the past will not affect the current toss. The chance is simply 1-in-2‚ or 50%‚ just like ANY toss of the coin. So each toss is an Independent
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Date _________________________ Multiplication Rule of Probability - Independent Practice Worksheet Complete all the problems. 1. Holly is going to draw two cards from a standard deck without replacement. What is the probability that the first card is a king and the second card is an ace? 2. Thomas has a box with 4 black color bottles and 8 gray color bottles. Two bottles are drawn without replacement from the box. What is the probability that both of the bottles are gray? 3. A jar contains
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skills can be used anytime and anywhere. For instance‚ the mathematical usage of probability can aid people in smart decision making‚ and can help people understand their odds. Statistically‚ probability refers to the relative possibility that an event will occur‚ as expressed by the ratio of the number of actual occurrences to the total number of possible occurrences (SOURCE). A rather obvious activity where probability applies is to is gambling. Casino games‚ such as Texas Hold Em’‚ can be played
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Types of Sampling In applications: Probability Sampling: Simple Random Sampling‚ Stratified Random Sampling‚ Multi-Stage Sampling * What is each and how is it done? * How do we decide which to use? * How do we analyze the results differently depending on the type of sampling? Non-probability Sampling: Why don’t we use non-probability sampling schemes? Two reasons: * We can’t use the mathematics of probability to analyze the results. * In general‚ we can’t count on a non-probability
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Population and Sampling MTH/231 Fahad M. Gohar Statistical data dates back to as early as Ancient Greek time‚ where it was introduced by John Graunt‚ William Petty and Pascal in the 16th century. It was then re-introduced by Gottfriend Achenwall in the 17th century. This was a very exciting time for scientists‚ astronomers and physicists alike as it raised the confidence and knowing that the laws of nature were not of divine intervention. As the years went on‚ new mathematical
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Mathematical Systems Probability Solutions by Bracket A First Course in Probability Chapter 4—Problems 4. Five men and 5 women are ranked according to their scores on an examination. Assume that no two scores are alike and all 10! possible rankings are equally likely. Let X denote the highest ranking achieved by a woman (for instance‚ X = 1 if the top-ranked person is female). Find P X = i ‚ i = 1‚ 2‚ 3‚ . . . ‚ 8‚ 9‚ 10. Let Ei be the event that the the ith scorer is female. Then the
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1. A quality control engineer knows that 10% of the microprocessor chips produced by a machine are defective. Out of a large shipment‚ five chips are chosen at random. What is the probability that none of them is defective? What is the probability that at least one is defective? 2. An automated manufacturing process produces a component with an average width of 7.55 centimeters‚ with a standard deviation of 0.02 centimeter. All components deviating by more than 0.05 centimeter from the mean must
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BBA (Fall - 2014) Business Statistics Theory of Probability Ahmad Jalil Ansari Business Head Enterprise Solution Division Random Process In a random process we know that what outcomes or events could happen; but we do not know which particular outcome or event will happen. For example tossing of coin‚ rolling of dice‚ roulette wheel‚ changes in valuation in shares‚ demand of particular product etc. Probability It is the numeric value representing the chance‚ likelihood‚ or possibility
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random. What is the probability that at least one pair of shoes is obtained? 2. At a camera factory‚ an inspector checks 20 cameras and finds that three of them need adjustment before they can be shipped. Another employee carelessly mixes the cameras up so that no one knows which is which. Thus‚ the inspector must recheck the cameras one at a time until he locates all the bad ones. (a) What is the probability that no more than 17 cameras need to be rechecked? (b) What is the probability that exactly 17
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