Financial Management Read ‘Ocean Carriers’ and answer the following questions: Ocean Carriers uses a 9% discount rate. 1. Do you expect daily spot rate to increase or decrease next year? - The expected daily hire rates drives the daily spot rates higher. So we are expecting the higher daily spot rates under higher expected daily hire rates. 2. What factors drive average daily hire rates? - Demand in iron ore shipments‚ - World economy‚ strong economy in western countries will raise
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REPORT ON CAPESIZE PURCHASE FOR OCEAN CARRIERS Introduction The purpose of this report is to evaluate whether Ocean Carriers Inc. should immediately commission a new capesize carrier that would cost $39 million‚ and would be completed two years hence‚ in order to finalize a lease of the ship for a three-year period with a potential charterer in very good faith. The contrasting tax regulations between the two countries where the company locates its office‚ and the different cost-benefit circumstances
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installments‚ we realize an effective 5% ((37‚095‚400 – 39‚000‚000)/ 39‚000‚000) deduction from the price of the ship if Linn sets aside the present value amount today. 3. Ms. Linn should not make the investment on the ship to secure the lease agreement. The present value of future revenue streams over 15 years total $23‚980‚255. By netting the present value of the investment‚ Linn will incur a loss of over $13 million today. The reason is because of the diminishing marginal return over 15 years
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Ocean Carriers Objectives • Forecast pro-forma cash flows for a project • Estimate project values using Net Present Value (NPV) • Conduct sensitivity analysis for the forecast inputs Setting • January 2001 • Customer offering attractive terms on 3-year lease for a capesize carrier • Would require purchase of new carrier since existing fleet does not fulfill customer needs • Should it be purchased? Industry Dynamics • Revenue Drivers • Outlook in the: –
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BUSINESS MODEL 4 3. KEY FINANCIAL ISSUES 4 3.1 Operational Costs: 5 3.2 Market Demand: 5 3.3 Charter Rates: 6 4. ALTERNATIVE INVESTMENTS & RISK MITIGATION STRATEGIES 6 4.1 SWOT Analysis 6 4.2 Alternative 1: Resale of Ship after 15 years of Operation 7 4.3 Alternative 2: Leasing or buying a Second hand Ship and renovate it 7 4.4 Alternative 3: Partnering 8 4.5 Alternative 5: Actively take part in Spot Market trading 8 5. RECOMMENDATIONS 8 5.1 Conclusion 11 6. ANNEXURE 11 7. GLOSSARY 11
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OCEAN CARRIERS CASE 1) Should Ls Linn purchase the $39M capsize? Make two different assumptions. First‚ assume that Ocean Carriers is a U.S. firm subject to a 35% statutory (and effective) marginal tax rate. Second‚ assume that Ocean Carriers is domiciled in Hong Kong for tax purposes‚ where ship owners are not required to pay any tax on profits made overseas and are also exempted from paying any tax on profit made on cargo uplifted from Hong Kong‚ i.e.‚ assume a zero tax rate. The
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Ocean Carriers Case Expectations for Daily Spot Hire Rates Next Year Iron ore and coal imports will most probably decrease the upcoming year With the increasing supply of vessels should result in a market surplus By creating this surplus‚ prices will be driven down‚ since we will have limited demand and suppliers competing Average daily rates‚ based on historical numbers‚ have a direct relationship with the number of shipments. What Factors Drive Average Daily Hire Rates? u
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November 9‚ 2004 Mary Linn Vice President of Finance Ocean Carriers Re: 180‚000 DWT Vessel Proposal Dear Mary: Our analysis of the proposal for the construction of a new 180‚000 DWT vessel has brought us to the conclusion that the project should not be undertaken. Our recommendation and decision is based on a discounted cash flow analysis of expected future cash flows from the vessel that produced a net loss for the project of $7‚201‚639. Included in this recommendation are a number
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Ocean Carriers Project Analysis Introduction Ocean Carriers receives a lease for a ship over three years starting in 2003. However‚ the company currently does not hold qualified ships that can meet customers’ demand. Our report is not only to assist Ms. Linn to decide whether or not to purchase a new ship but also give a reasonable suggestion on how long to hold on the ship regarding the NPV and long term prospective of dry bulk industry. Upon business operating in U.S or H.K‚ we consider four scenarios
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FIN 555 CASE 1 Q3 Ms.Linn should not purchase the capsize carrier because the NPV is negative. a. Incremental earning forecast 1. Operating Revenue From the following Exhibit‚ We can see that from year 2003 to year 2007‚ from year 2008 to year 2012‚ and from year 2013 to year 2017‚ 8 days‚ 12 days and 16days is separately used to repair. The annual operating revenue = expected daily hire rate * (365- numbers of days for repair) 2. Operating Cost The annual operating cost
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