It was three o’ clock on a hot afternoon in Hong Kong in mid-2000. Larry Yung‚ Chairman of Citic Pacific Limited (“CPL”)‚ was having a board meeting with his property development team. From his window on the 33rd floor of Citic Tower‚ he could see the impressive Victoria Harbour and an undeveloped prime waterfront site. This piece of reclaimed land had been purchased by a company six months earlier at a public auction. Now‚ the owner wanted to dispose of it‚ and hence it was made available to CPL
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CITIC TOWER II: THE REAL OPTION Suffolk University – FIN- 881 Fall 2014 Name: Abdelrhman El Refaiy Larry Young the Chairman of Citic Pacific Limited has to make a decision to develop a new project under the name Citic Tower II. The development project that will take place in Hong Kong is expected to leave the company with $60 MM in losses as per NPV analysis. Citic’s property development team has set rigid assumptions to build their NPV model that estimated net positive cash inflows at $1.54 billion
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Larry Yung‚ Chairman of Citic Pacific Limited‚ has a decision to make. He must decide if he should invest in property and build the “Citic Tower II”. Under the current conditions‚ the current net present value is negative‚ which is one of the factors that Larry is using to decide. Another concern is that the commercial real estate market is very cyclical in the area. Also‚ with the current economic conditions‚ there is not really a guarantee that the “Citic Tower II” will survive in the area‚ which
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CITIC TOWER II: THE REAL OPTION CASE STUDY SUMMARY Scenario * Undeveloped prime waterfront property on Victoria Harbor was bought 6 months ago at public auction * Owner now wants to sell the land and is available to Citic Pacific Limited on a first-choice basis through an intermediary * Larry Yung (Chairman) thought they could acquire the site and turn it into another Grade-A office building “Citic Tower II” * Asking price of the land was $1 billion * Net present value of property
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Real Option Memo To: Dave Jacobs From: James Jones Date: November 26‚ 2012 Re: College Education Intro and type of flexibility with this option The option I’m going to discuss in this memo is whether I should continue on with my college career year after year‚ or just to abandon receiving a higher education and make my part time job a full time job. From the 7S framework‚ my real option would be the Disinvest/Shrink then the scope down option (abandon). Sources of uncertainty There
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Practice Questions-“Real Options” Some questions may require you to use financial calculator or Excel. (In the final exam‚ for students without financial calculator‚ writing down the formula will be enough. However‚ those formulas must be correct to get full credit. Therefore‚ it is a good practice to check whether you are correct by using Excel for these practice questions) 1. How are real options different from financial options? 2. Consider the following project data: (1) A
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ahead with the Citic Tower II project or not. The following alternatives can be used to address the problem: NPV: Net present value (NPV) is defined as the total present value (PV) of a time series of cash flows. It is a standard method for using the time value of money to appraise long-term projects. The method is used for capital budgeting‚ and widely throughout economics‚ it measures the excess or shortfall of cash flows‚ in present value terms‚ once financing charges are met. OPTION PRICING: The
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REAL OPTIONS: STATE OF THE PRACTICE by Alex Triantis‚ University of Maryland‚ and Adam Borison‚ Applied Decision Analysis/ PricewaterhouseCoopers1 n an economic environment characterized by rapid change‚ great uncertainty‚ and the need for flexibility‚ it has become increasingly important for corporate managers to use investment evaluation tools and processes that properly account for both uncertainty and the company’s ability to react to new information. Real options has emerged as an approach
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Introduction: Real option analysis (ROA) is a decision-making structure that basically calculates the value of a future business decision. ROA borrows from financial options theory. A financial option gives the buyer of a financial asset the right‚ but not the obligation‚ to buy a stock or bond‚ for example‚ at a predetermined price at a future date. By analogy‚ a real option is a managerial decision-making tool that calculates the value of a business decision that a manager has an option‚ or right‚
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St. Petersburg University Graduate School of Management SAMSUNG GALAXY INVESTMENT PROJECT VALUATION USING REAL OPTIONS APPROACH Project by the 1nd year students: Dudnik Maxim Fomin Maxim Fakhritdinova Dilyara Sinyakin Anton Tkachenko Nikolay St. Petersburg 2013 Content Galaxy Investment Project Valuation Company Description Samsung Group is a South Korea is an international conglomerate company. It was founded by Lee Byung-chul in 1938 and
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