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Statistical Analysis of the Daily Performance of the Nigerian Stock Exchange (July 2006 - June 2007)

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Statistical Analysis of the Daily Performance of the Nigerian Stock Exchange (July 2006 - June 2007)
STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF THE DAILY PERFORMANCE OF THE NIGERIAN STOCK EXCHANGE (JULY 2006 – JUNE 2007)

BY
IKEGWU EMMANUEL M.
F/HD/04/3740001

BEING A PROJECT PRESENTED AS A REQUIREMENT FOR THE AWARD OF HIGHER NATIONAL DIPLOMA IN STATISTICS

PRESENTED TO
THE DEPARTMENT OF STATISTICS, YABA COLLEGE OF TECHNOLOGY, YABA LAGOS.

NOVEMBER 2007.

CHAPTER ONE

1.0 INTRODUCTION

Mobilisation of resources for national development has been the central focus of development economists. As a result of this, the centrality of savings and investment in economic growth has been given considerable attention in various literatures.
According to Ekpo and Umoh (2007), for sustainable growth and development, funds must be effectively mobilized and allocated to enable businesses and the economy harness their human, material and management resources for optimum output.

The stock market therefore is an economic institution which promotes efficiency in capital formation and allocation. The stock market enables government and industries to raise long-term capital for financing new projects, and expanding and modernizing industrial/commercial concerns. It should be noted that if capital resources are not provided to these economic areas, especially industries where demand is growing and which are capable of increasing production and productivity, the rate of the expansion of the economy often suffers. Hence Ekpo and Udoh opined that a unique benefit of the stock market to corporate entities is the provision of long-term, non-debt financial capital. Through the issuance of equity securities, companies acquire perpetual capital for development. Through the provision of equity capital, the market also enables companies to avoid over-reliance on debt financing, thus developing and improving debt - to – equity ratio.

The stock market is a market for the trading of company stock and the derivatives of the same which are securities listed on a stock exchange and those traded



References: 1. Aronson R. David (2006), Evidence-Based Technical Analysis, New Jersey, John Wiley and Sons. 2. Brock W., Lakonishok J., and Blake L. (1992), Simple Technical Trading Rules and the Stochastic Properties of Stock Returns, Journal of Finance Vol. 47(5) 3 4. Clarke J., Jandik T. and Gershon M. (2001), The ‘Efficient Market Hypothesis’, Expert Financial Planning Advice for Industry Leaders, New York, John Wiley and Sons. 5. Cohen J., Cohen P., West S.G. and Aiken L.S. (2003), Applied Multiple Regression/Correlation Analysis for the Behavioural Sciences, 2nd Edition, New Jersey, Lawrence Erlbaum Associates. 6. Draper N.R and Smith H. (1998), Applied Regression Analysis, Wiley Series in Probability and Statistics, New York, John Wiley and Sons. 7. Ekpo A.H. and Umoh O.J. (2007), An Overview of the Nigerian Economic Growth and Development, A Seminar Paper. 8. Eugene Fama (1970), Efficient Capital Market: A Review of Theory and Empirical Work, Journal of Finance Vol. 25. 9. Galton Francis (1886), “Regression Toward Mediocrity in Hereditary Stature”, Journal of the Anthropological Institute. 11. Hurst J.M (1972), The Profit Magic of Stock Transaction Timing, London, Prentice Hall. 12. Murphy J. John (1999), Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets, New York, Institute of Finance. 13. Olorunleke A. Oluwatoyin (2005), Investment in Shares and Stocks: The Professional Perspective, A Seminar Paper. 14. Roberts D. Edwards, John M. and Bassetti W.H.C (2001), Technical Analysis of Stock Trends, 8th Edition, American Management Association. 15. Schwagger d. Jack (1999), Getting Started in Technical Analysis, New York, John Wiley and Sons.

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