October 15, 2001

AIDS and violent conflict in Africa

*   In sub-Saharan Africa there are more than 25 million Africans
    infected with HIV/AIDS (70 percent of the world's cases) and 17
    million dead; on its current trajectory, by 2010 the disease will
    decrease life expectancy on the continent to levels found at the
    beginning of the last century.

*   Many governments, international organizations, and NGOs have joined
    a UN-led movement to address the causes and effects of AIDS in
    Africa. It now appears that the international community is fully
    conscious of the need to commit resources to turn the tide against
    this plague.

*   AIDS most frequently strikes at the most productive members of
    society, those 15-45 years old that are critical to the development
    of the African state and the stability of the African family.

*   As AIDS advances in a society it weakens the state's economic
    capacity, stealing away its human capital, cutting into its tax
    base, and drying up foreign investment Power struggles over the
    state's limited resources increase the likelihood of violent
    conflict.

*   The disease leaves in its wake an explosion of the orphan
    population, thereby increasing the ranks of poverty-stricken
    children in Africa.

*   Warfare is an amplifier of disease, creating ideal conditions for
        its spread, including poverty, famine, destruction of health and
        other vital infrastructure, large population movements, and the
        breakdown of family units and thus protective networks for women.

The December 2000 report "AIDS Epidemic Update" (United Nations AIDS Fund/World Health Organization) described the stark human tragedy caused by the HIV/AIDS pandemic: 36 million people infected worldwide, 22 million dead since the identification of the disease some 20 years ago, indications of exponential growth of HIV infection in the Russian Federation, and an escalating... [continues]

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