Preview

Mitigating Bubbles and Crises

Good Essays
Open Document
Open Document
6602 Words
Grammar
Grammar
Plagiarism
Plagiarism
Writing
Writing
Score
Score
Mitigating Bubbles and Crises
Mitigating Bubbles and Crises

A Written Report Presented to
Neil Angelo C. Halcon
College of Business, De La Salle University

In Partial Fulfillment of the Requirements in
Introduction to Macroeconomics
ECONTWO C31

By:
Dan Kervin Aquino
Celine Grace Chomi
Roxanne Alyssa Chua
Frances Therese Garay
Margaret Stefanie Arielle Gecana

March 26, 2014

Introduction What is an economic bubble? An economic bubble is an economic cycle characterized by rapid expansion followed by a contraction. It is a surge in equity prices, often more than warranted by the fundamentals and usually in a particular sector, followed by a drastic drop in prices as a massive selloff occurs and a theory that security prices rise above their true value and will continue to do so until prices go into free-fall and the bubble bursts. (Investopedia, n.d.) An economic bubble is also known as speculative bubble, market bubble, price bubble, financial bubble, etc. Where did the term “bubble” originate? The term “bubble” is used as a metaphor to indicate its sudden burst or quick eruption. Its abruptness is like a bubble bursting without any further ado, without a first and all at once. It will just burst all of a sudden. Its effects, though it is abrupt, are massive and alarming to the economy. This drastic change is not desirable to happen in any economy. There are many negative implications when a bubble occurs. In simpler definition, a bubble is caused by a wrong speculation, which results to vast changes in prices. When the sudden increase of inflation occurs that is when a bubble is formed. Since it is caused by a wrong speculation, and resulted to over inflation, the prices are not sustainable. Thus, it will soon be followed by a sudden crash in prices. What forms a bubble? Every economic bubble in history started with reckless expansion of money supply and credit, reckless manipulation of interest rates, or government promotions of "low-risk" something for



References: The Next Economic Bubble. (2013, August 27). Retrieved March 21, 2014, from http://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/139871/william-h-janeway/the-next-economic-bubble Understanding Economic Bubbles Stock Market Bubble. (n.d.). Retrieved March 20, 2014 from http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stock_market_bubble Wealth Effect Economic Bubble [Def. 1, 2, 3]. (n.d.). In Investopedia, Retrieved March 21, 2014, from http://www.investopedia.com/terms/b/bubble.asp Economic Bubble (n.d.) Fontinelle A. (2011, September 28). What Causes Bubbles?. Investopedia. Retrieved March 22, 2014 from http://www.investopedia.com/financial-edge/0911/what-causes-bubbles.aspx Fox Business Garber, Peter M. (1990). "Famous First Bubbles". The Journal of Economic Perspectives 4 (2): 35–54. doi:10.1257/jep.4.2.35 NIMA (2007, October 17) Subjectmoney. (2012, March 2). Financial Liberalization - What is the definition? - Financial Dictionary - Subjectmoney.com [Video file]. Retrieved from http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kaF54Iqe5Mo Shedlock, M Initial Public Offering. (n.d.). Retrieved March 21, 2014 from http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Initial_public_offering Real Estate Bubble Economic Bubble [Def. 1]. (n.d.). In Business Dictionary, Retrieved March 21, 2014, from http://www.businessdictionary.com/definition/economic-bubble.html Stock Valuation Froot, Kenneth A.; Obstfeld, Maurice (1991). "Intrinsic Bubbles: The Case of Stock Prices". American Economic Review 81: 1189–1214. Topol, R. (n.d.). Bubbles and Volatility of Stock Prices: Effect of Mimetic Contagion. Ideas.repec.org. Retrieved March 21, 2014, from http://ideas.repec.org/a/ecj/econjl/v101y1991i407p786-800.html

You May Also Find These Documents Helpful

  • Good Essays

    On account of the housing bubble formation, it was believed by investors and lenders that property value/housing was a good investment. Interest rates were low so property value was high due to buyers being able to afford to buy a house. Bankers developed a mortgage program known as subprime mortgages geared towards borrowers that had no credit history or that had bad credit (inability to pay back) to take out loans. The more affordable the loans were, the more people borrowed money. Banks began to lower their standards and allow borrowers with poor credit to get approved for loans that only prime borrowers would qualify for. Banks also took larger risks by collaborating with investors. During the time of the housing bubble, many people became…

    • 146 Words
    • 1 Page
    Good Essays
  • Good Essays

    punctured credit bubbles where money and credit was too easy for too long; the severe credit and…

    • 448 Words
    • 2 Pages
    Good Essays
  • Good Essays

    Next Asset Bubble Burst

    • 773 Words
    • 4 Pages

    I believe that the next asset bubble burst will be the higher education industry pertaining to student loans. As college tuition continues to increase at an exponentially faster rate than inflation, many potential students are left with two possible options, to take out student loans or not go to college at all. Even though student loans are supposed to be worth it because of the high paying jobs that students will get after they graduate will pay off the debt, however due to the recent economic downturn, it is difficult for recent college grads to get a job. Because of all of these conditions, student loan default rates will continue to rise, eventually creating this bubble burst, which can possibly have a worse effect than the recent 2008 global recession.…

    • 773 Words
    • 4 Pages
    Good Essays
  • Best Essays

    Marketing Plan for Kickstart

    • 3527 Words
    • 15 Pages

    Watling, J. (1992, September). Tiny Bubbles = Big $$$: Costs Are Under Control and the…

    • 3527 Words
    • 15 Pages
    Best Essays
  • Good Essays

    Turkish explorers brought tulip bulbs from western china to Europe where Dutch horticulturists had created over a thousand varieties in dozens of colors. Bulb speculation and alcohol quickly drove up the price of tulip bulbs; raising 11 fold in in six weeks. Many of the buyers didn’t have cash and provided IOUs to one another. Suddenly the bottom dropped out of the market, confidence collapsed which led to the world’s first financial bubble.…

    • 567 Words
    • 3 Pages
    Good Essays
  • Good Essays

    The film Boom Bust Boom by film maker Terry Jones basically sums up to a cartoon film explaining how our economy came to be and how the people made it work. In order to explain the correlation between risks and stability, Jones used special animations and puppets to make it more entertaining for viewers to understand the complexity of the economy more easily. Some points discussed in the film, such as the bubble, were similar to the ideas of Adam Smith, because it draws parallels to the idea of the invisible hand in the free market. Just like how the bubble goes through constant cycle because stability leads to instability, optimism leads to increases in prices, the economy is self-regulating. This film emphasizes on the idea of how instability…

    • 330 Words
    • 2 Pages
    Good Essays
  • Powerful Essays

    One of the factors that led to the mortgage crisis was the housing bubble. It started in 2001 and climaxed in 2005. A housing bubble is characterized by rapid increase in the value of real estate properties to an extent that it can no longer be sustained. Prices of real estate property are driven through the roof, well beyond the affordability of the people as their incomes remain fixed.…

    • 1746 Words
    • 7 Pages
    Powerful Essays
  • Better Essays

    A housing bubble is a situation where there is an extremely high demand for housing, but this demand is created through artificial ways, like lowering interest rates. The interest rates are lowered to create a false sense of security for consumers and can lead to economic boom. Also, as we are learning the hard way in the United States, it can end in economic hardships.…

    • 961 Words
    • 4 Pages
    Better Essays
  • Better Essays

    A Modest Proposal Argument

    • 1211 Words
    • 5 Pages

    Swift, Jonathan. "A Modest Proposal, Renascence Editions." University of Oregon. 21 Nov 2009. Web. 20 Sept. 2010.…

    • 1211 Words
    • 5 Pages
    Better Essays
  • Good Essays

    Hot Rods

    • 393 Words
    • 2 Pages

    Asset bubbles are some of the worst types of recessions because they take the longest to unwind. The next couple of years will go much like this….…

    • 393 Words
    • 2 Pages
    Good Essays
  • Best Essays

    Ethics

    • 2384 Words
    • 10 Pages

    Kohn, Jonathan and Bryant, Sarah (n.d.) “Factors leading to the U.S. housing bubble: a structural equation modeling approach”. Research in Business Economics Journal. Retrieved from http://www.aabri.com/manuscripts/10485.pdf…

    • 2384 Words
    • 10 Pages
    Best Essays
  • Better Essays

    To fully understand the Crisis of 2008, it is first important to understand what a housing bubble is. The term comes from a period…

    • 1799 Words
    • 8 Pages
    Better Essays
  • Powerful Essays

    Economics 2302

    • 1838 Words
    • 8 Pages

    The business cycle is characterized by four main phases. During economic growth or expansion there is a “Boom” period of rapid economic growth, prosperity. During this time, the level of aggregate demand for goods and services is very high. Typically, businesses use the opportunity of a boom to raise output and also widen their profit margins. The energy is high and unemployment is low as economy creates new jobs. An economic boom occurs when real GDP grows faster than the trend rate of economic growth. An example of this is the housing market boom earlier this century. As the US shed manufacturing jobs in the 1980s and 1990s, the Federal Government and Federal Reserve tried to compensate by boosting jobs in construction and other…

    • 1838 Words
    • 8 Pages
    Powerful Essays
  • Good Essays

    Housing bubble is an increase in the prices of buying a housing that is caused by increased demand hence speculation by the investors hoping to gain more in return.…

    • 1200 Words
    • 5 Pages
    Good Essays
  • Better Essays

    When President Barack Obama was sworn in on January 20, 2009 he brought with him a plan and an execution of ideas to bring the United States of America out of the Great Recession. This did not take just one or two plans; it took hundreds of acts, reforms, bills, and advice from the Department of Treasury. The American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009 is the umbrella to all of these plans to push the United States of America into the right direction. The American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009 were signed into law by our President on February 17th 2009 and this is when the corrective action officially began. Its plan was to boost our economy to get our country out of the Great Recession. This Recovery Act was implemented by the Department of Treasury; it includes the Economic Recovery Act Payments, Community Development Financial Institutions, New Markets Tax Credit, Health Insurance Tax Credit Administration, Energy Grants in Lieu of Tax Credits, 1602 Program: Payments to States for Low-Income Housing Projects in Lieu of Low-Income Housing, Tax Credits, Native American CDFI Assistance, Tax Provision Oversight, and Tax Relief Programs. President Obama wanted the Department of Treasury to move and implement their programs with the Keynesian theory in mind. The Keynesian theory was used during the Great Depression in the 20th century to pull the United States out of this lowest economic period. The Keynesian theory is from an Economist named John Maynard Keynes; this theory says that if the people of the United States can’t fix itself than the government needs to come in and fix everything in the business cycle. This theory comes in the form of government spending and tax breaks to stimulate the economy, and government spending cuts and tax increase during a good economy, in order to help the inflation. The United States housing market correction and the mortgage crisis is the biggest contribution to the recession.…

    • 1692 Words
    • 7 Pages
    Better Essays