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Consumption Pattern of Tamilnadu with Reference to Permanent Income Hypothesis

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Consumption Pattern of Tamilnadu with Reference to Permanent Income Hypothesis
CONSUMPTION PATTERN IN TAMILNADU A.KASIRAJAN(Asst.Prof)
WITH REFERANCE TO PERMANENT INCOME Department of Economics
HYPOTHESIS R.K.M.VivekanandaCollege, Mylapore,Chennai600004.
_______________________________________________________________________________
Introduction The central idea of the permanent income hypothesis, proposed by Milton Friedman in 1957, is that people base consumption on what they consider their “normal income”. In doing this, they attempts to maintain a fairly constants standard of living even thought their incomes may vary considerably from month to month or from year to year. As a result, increase and decrease in income that people see as temporary have little effect on their consumption spending. Friedman asserts that consumption is determined by long term expected income rather than current level of income. It is this long-term expected income which is called by Friedman as permanent income on the basis of which people make their consumption plans. To make this point clear, Friedman gives an example which is worth quoting.

“An individual who is paid or receives income only once a week, say on Friday, he would not concentrate his consumption on one day with zero consumption on all other days of the week. He argues than an individual would prefer a smooth consumption flow per day rather than plenty of consumption today and little consumption tomorrow. Thus consumption in one day is not determined by income received on that particular day. Instead, it is determined by average daily income received for a period. Thus, according to him, people plan their consumption on the basis of expected average income over a long period which Friedman calls permanent income”[1].

It may be noted that permanent income or expected long-term average income is a long run



References: 2. BRANSON H. WILLIAM, 2005 Macro Economic Theory And Policy, Affiliated East-West Press Private Limited, New Delhi 3 5. GUPTA G S, 2004 macro Economics Theory and Application, Tata McGraw- Hill Publishing Company Limited, New Delhi. 6. HECKMAN, J.J.H. (1974) “Life Cycle Consumption and Labour Supply: An Explanation of the Relationship between Income and Consumption over the Life Cycle”, the American Economic Review, Vol. 64, No. 1. (Mar., 1974), pp. 188-19 7 9. JEFFREY C. FUHRER April, 2000 Habit Formation in Consumption and Its Implications for Monetary Policy Models, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston 10 MUELLBAUER, JOHN AND RALPH LATTIMORE 13. M.L.Jhingan; Macro Economic Theory, 9th Revised Edition, Konark Publishers Pvt Ltd. 1996 14 15.RANA AND VARMA, The Macro Economic Analysis; ; Vishal Publications, 2003 16 19.A Retrospective on Friedman’s Theory of Permanent Income, Costas Meghir, University College London and Institute for Fiscal Studies, 2004. ARTICLES ATTANASIO AND DAVIS (1996) COCHRANE (1991) “A Simple Test of Consumption Insurance” and “Relative wage movements and the distribution of consumption” The Journal of Political Economy, Vol ATTANASIO O. AND G. WEBER (1995) “Is Consumption Growth Consistent with Intertemporal Optimization? Evidence form the Consumer Expenditure Survey”, The Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 103, No. 6. (Dec., 1995), pp. 1121-1157 CARROLL, CHRISTOPHER D., AND MILES S Future Income, the Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 89, No. 5. (Oct., 1981), pp. 974- 1009 Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 86, No. 6. (Dec., 1978), pp. 971-987. MISTRA, B A Study of Distribution of Income in Some Villages in Orissa, Indian Journal of Agricultural Economics, pp. 198- 206 ZELDES (1989) Consumption and Liquidity Constraints: An Empirical Investigation The Journal of Political Economy, Vol REPORTS The Federal Reserve Board (1967) Reports Economic Development of Tamil Nadu in Perspective, Manickam S. 2006.

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