UNIVERSIDAD TÉCNOLOGICA CENTROAMERICANA FACULTAD DE POSTGRADO MAESTRIA EN ADMINISTRACIÓN DE PROYECTOS GESTIÓN DE RIESGOS E INTEGRACIÓN DE PROYECTOS CASO No. 3 FREEMARK ABBEY WINERY PRESENTADO POR KARLA ALVARENGA – 10943107 ING. NANCY M. PEREZ DE PINEDA TEGUCIGALPA‚ M.D.C. 02 DE JUNIO DEL 2010. 1. ARBOLES DE DECISIÓN Gran parte del proceso de gestionar riesgos tiene que ver con mirar al futuro e intentar
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Freemark Abbey Winery Group ZZZ 1. Construct the decision tree for William Jaeger. 2. What should he do? Jaeger should choose to harvest later and wait for the storm. If the storm does come but destroys the grapes‚ he can decide whether to bottle wine or not to protect winery’s reputation. In either way‚ he will gain higher revenues from harvesting later than harvesting immediately: EV of “Do not harvest & Bottling”: $39240 EV of “Do not harvest & Not bottling”: $39240-$12000*0.6*0.5=$35640
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Nicholas Scelzi Mrs. Pinto English 10H Period 2 April 14‚ 2013 Jane Eyre as a Bildungsroman Jane Eyre‚ written by Charlotte Brontë‚ is a Bildungsroman. A Bildungsroman is a novel in which the protagonist engages in a moral and psychological growth. A Bildungsroman generally exhibits the growth and development of a particular individual within a confined social order. The character‚ to travel on this road to adulthood and development‚ must have some sort of loss or discontent. The path that the character
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options for Mr. Jaeger. Option 1 is to harvest immediately. If Mr. Jaeger does decide to harvest immediately‚ his per bottle revenue will come out to $2.85 wholesale. With 12‚000 bottles sold‚ Mr. Jaeger will generate a revenue of $34‚200 to Freemark Abbey Winery. Option 2‚ is much more
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Decision Analysis Case Study FREEMARK ABBEY WINERY Khurram Masood’s section HLCC Consulting Inc. Julian Hong Nicolas Liao Alan Chen Cheng-Chieh Chao Decision Basis Information Probability of rain‚ mold formation‚ acidity‚ sugar level‚ wine price‚ reputation value‚ detector accuracy‚ spores effectiveness‚ immigration law Mr. Jaeger’s Alternatives Harvest now or later Use detector or not Buy spores or not Sell in bottle or bulk Mr. Jaeger’s Preferences Prefers more money than less
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Jem’s Bildungsroman in the story To Kill A Mockingbird by Harper Lee started off as a young boy who saw his father as a weak‚ feeble‚ old man as stated on page 121 where his father was unable to play sports to become a man who blossoms to a super human in Jem’s perspective. To Kill A Mockingbird is Jem’s bildungsroman because he transitions to becoming a morally changed person when he witnesses Atticus’s bravery. Initially‚ Jem had started off as a trouble making child to a maturing adult‚ for example
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adventurous. Mark Twain examines the influence of adults that Huck experiences during his childhood By Pap teaching him to be self-sufficient‚ the Widow educating him in being "sivilize"‚ and Jim teaching him about humanity‚ it aids him in his bildungsroman‚ his moral education. Huck allows his own logic to realize what is good and bad‚ rather than blindly following his elders’ teachings. At the beginning of the novel‚ Huck shows his skepticism of the values that society imposes when the Widow Douglas
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In literary criticism‚ bildungsroman or coming-of-age story is a literary genre which focuses on the psychological and moral growth of the protagonist from youth to adulthood (coming of age)‚[2] and in which character change is thus extremely important.[3] The term was coined in 1819 by philologist Karl Morgenstern in his university lectures‚ and later famously reprised by Wilhelm Dilthey‚ who legitimized it in 1870 and popularized it in 1905.[1][4] The genre is further characterized by a number
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HMariam grew up a torn girl. She was torn between her mother and father and had trouble picking who to believe. At the same time‚ she was a good‚ smart‚ and innocent girl. “A Thousand Splendid Suns” is a bildungsroman. A bildungsroman is “a novel dealing with one person’s formative years or spiritual education.” The author Khaled Hosseini was actually born and raised in Kabul‚ Afghanistan. I will gather the information from the book‚ “How to Read Literature like a Professor” and compare it to‚ “A
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How TINTERN ABBEY evolves from beginning to end is in a truly reflective state upon the five years that had passed since he had last visited the ruins of the abbey. The ruin of the abbey‚ perhaps can be compared to the aging of man and the inevitably of aging‚ however‚ the abbey still stands as does natutre and its eternal splendor. The poem starts immediately with an adjective‚ "rolling" referring to the waters coming down from the mountain springs which do not disturb the "murmur" of the river:
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