Thesis Concept Paper Proposed Title: ‘Modelling and Forecasting Electricity Consumption of the Philippines’ Researcher: Alejon P. Padriganda Degree Program: Bachelor of Science in Applied Mathematics Adviser: Dennis A. Tarepe Ph.D Introduction Backgorund of the Study In the Philippines‚ electric power is becoming the main energy form relied upon in all economic sectors of the country. As time goes by‚ while different establishments and properties were built and developed‚ the demand
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undergoes study of the entire business. Efficient and effective decisions in business are needed to implement every day. The business manager has the responsibility to make decisions for the improvement of the company. To make this be possible‚ forecasting of sales is necessary. Sales forecast is a prediction based on past sales performance and an analysis of expected market conditions (Evetts‚ 1990). It can help the marketer develop marketing strategies such as in territorial set-up‚ target market
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Tiffany Henault March 3rd‚ 2015 Quan901-CH2 Forecasting Lost Sales Case Study Section I: Summary Carlson Department store suffered heavy damage from a hurricane on August 31. As a result the store was closed for four months‚ September through December. Carlson is in dispute with its insurance company regarding the lost sales for the length of time the store was closed. Section II: Problem Identification Two issues to address are the amount of sales Carlson department store would have made if there
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The current demand forecasting method is based on qualitative techniques more than quantitative ones. If the forecast is not accurate‚ the company would carry both inventory and stock out costs. It might lose customers due to shortage of supply or carry additional holding costs due to excess production. If the actual demand doesn’t match the forecast ones‚ and the forecast was too high‚ this will result in high inventories‚ obsolescence‚ asset disposals‚ and increased carrying costs. When a forecast
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FORECASTING AT HARD ROCK CAFÉ* MGMT 6130 Spring Quarter 2014 Contents Questions 1 Describe three forecasting applications at Hard Rock. Name other areas in which you think Hard Rock could use forecasting models. The Hard Rock Café uses forecasting models in a variety of areas. These areas include an earnings forecast‚ human resources forecast‚ and a placement forecast. The earnings forecast are present to set a long-term capacity plan. Hard Rock Cafe
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Demand Forecasting Problems Simple Regression a) RCB manufacturers black & white television sets for overseas markets. Annual exports in thousands of units are tabulated below for the past 6 years. Given the long term decline in exports‚ forecast the expected number of units to be exported next year. |Year |Exports |Year |Exports | |1 |33 |4 |26
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ESM’s responsibilities included accomplishing and balancing the following factors: * forecasting future demand and container usage * managing inventory and tracking the flow of containers * planning distribution capacity * creating the shipping schedule * managing supply chains ESM managers can enhance forecast accuracy by integrating the variable causal factors in the operational forecasting. Collaboration and accurate data collection is a must in current chemical industry for
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Forecasting Models: Associative and Time Series Forecasting involves using past data to generate a number‚ set of numbers‚ or scenario that corresponds to a future occurrence. It is absolutely essential to short-range and long-range planning. Time Series and Associative models are both quantitative forecast techniques are more objective than qualitative techniques such as the Delphi Technique and market research. Time Series Models Based on the assumption that history will repeat itself‚
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Harper Chemical Jeffrey Gomez February 5‚ 2013 Introduction Harper Chemical’s forecasting for its new project called Domanite was very inaccurate. Expenses were estimated with a failure to account for unexpected expenditures‚ and spending was not regulated well. Sales figure estimates were inflated‚ and did not account for the difficulty of opening a new market. Unexpected Losses It was originally estimated that the sales volume of Domanite would hit 55‚000 tons per year by 1983.
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Choose one of the forecasting methods and explain the rationale behind using it in real life. I would choose to use the exponential smoothing forecast method. Exponential smoothing method is an average method that reacts more strongly to recent changes in demand than to more distant past data. Using this data will show how the forecast will react more strongly to immediate changes in the data. This is good to examine when dealing with seasonal patterns and trends that may be taking place. I would
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