Tanglewood Case 2

Transition probability matrix

Current Year
Job

(1)
(2)
(3)
(4)
(5)
Exit
(1) Store associate

0.53
0.06
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.41
(2) Shift leader

0.00
0.50
0.16
0.00
0.00
0.34
(3) Department manager

0.00
0.00
0.58
0.12
0.00
0.30
(4) Assistant store manager

0.00
0.00
0.06
0.46
0.08
0.40
(5) Store manager

0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.66
0.34

Forecast of availabilities

Job Category
Current
(1)
(2)
(3)
(4)
(5)
Exit
(1) Store associate
8500
4505
510
0
0
0
3485
(2) Shift leader
1200
0
600
192
0
0
408
(3) Department manager
850
0
0
493
0
0
255
(4) Assistant store manager
150
0
0
9
69
12
60
(5) Store manager
50
0
0
0
0
33
17

4505
1110
685
69
45
4225

Gap Analysis

Next year (projected)

(1)
(2)
(3)
(4)
(5) Year end total

4505
1110
685
69
45 External hires needed

3995
90
165
81
5

Environmental Scan
Washington State is experiencing high unemployment rates. Washington State Department of Transportation (2011) found “the unemployment rate for Washington State (9.2 percent) was higher than the national unemployment rate of 8.9 percent. Twenty-five of Washington's 39 counties had unemployment rates at or above the national rate”. Due to the high unemployment rate in the state, Tanglewood will be able to attract new employees for open positions that cannot be filled internally. Although the company would like to hire internally over externally, the large numbers of employees that will be needed in the projected five years is too large to fill internally. Another environmental concern for Tanglewood is maintaining compliance; the organization needs to be aware of new and current hires and disparate impact that may arise. The majority of population in Washington is White, the available