Case Study 1 – Ocean Carriers 1. The Capital Budgeting Decision Should Ms. Linn purchase the Capesize vessel? Assume that Ocean Carriers is a U.S. firm and is subject to 35% taxation. (Please see excel sheets) From our analysis it appears that Ms. Linn should not buy the Capesize vessel. The Net Present Value on the Ocean Carrier is not a positive number‚ a clear indicator that buying the vessels is not a good idea. The tax rate of 35% makes a lot of difference in determining this NPV
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Assignment 1: Ocean Carriers Refer to the HBS case “Ocean Carriers” and answer the questions below. Each student must turn in a hardcopy of her/his solution and answers in class at the start of the week-4 lecture. She/he must also up-load a softcopy of her/his solution spreadsheet on LMES by then‚ too. Note: You should complete the related textbook chapters (RWJJ Chapters 7 & 8) before attempting this case. In particular‚ you need to study the Baldwin Case first (Chapter 8.2 + material on LMES)
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Ocean Carrier Case Study INDEX Case Background··························3 Dilemma································3 Scenarios under different tax rates and years ····························3 Alternative································5 Decision summary··························5 Appendix Ocean Carrier Case Study * Case Background Mary Linn of Ocean Carriers is evaluating the purchase of a new capesize carrier for a 3-year lease proposed by a motivated customer
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should not purchase the capsize carrier because the NPV is negative. a. Incremental earning forecast 1. Operating Revenue From the following Exhibit‚ We can see that from year 2003 to year 2007‚ from year 2008 to year 2012‚ and from year 2013 to year 2017‚ 8 days‚ 12 days and 16days is separately used to repair. The annual operating revenue = expected daily hire rate * (365- numbers of days for repair) 2. Operating Cost The annual operating cost = daily operating cost * 365 Because
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Ocean Carriers Objectives • Forecast pro-forma cash flows for a project • Estimate project values using Net Present Value (NPV) • Conduct sensitivity analysis for the forecast inputs Setting • January 2001 • Customer offering attractive terms on 3-year lease for a capesize carrier • Would require purchase of new carrier since existing fleet does not fulfill customer needs • Should it be purchased? Industry Dynamics • Revenue Drivers • Outlook in the: –
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“Ocean Carriers” case Assume that Ocean Carriers uses a 9% discount rate. 1) Do you expect daily spot hire rates to increase or decrease next year? (5 points) 2) What factors drive daily hire rates? (5 points) 3) How would you characterize the long-term prospects of the capesize dry bulk industry? (10 points) 4) Should Ms Linn purchase the $39M capsize? Make 2 different assumptions. First‚ assume that Ocean Carriers is a US firm subject to 35% taxation. Second‚ assume that
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MODEL 4 3. KEY FINANCIAL ISSUES 4 3.1 Operational Costs: 5 3.2 Market Demand: 5 3.3 Charter Rates: 6 4. ALTERNATIVE INVESTMENTS & RISK MITIGATION STRATEGIES 6 4.1 SWOT Analysis 6 4.2 Alternative 1: Resale of Ship after 15 years of Operation 7 4.3 Alternative 2: Leasing or buying a Second hand Ship and renovate it 7 4.4 Alternative 3: Partnering 8 4.5 Alternative 5: Actively take part in Spot Market trading 8 5. RECOMMENDATIONS 8 5.1 Conclusion 11 6. ANNEXURE 11 7. GLOSSARY 11 8. REFERENCES
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Substantive Issue Ocean Carriers is a shipping company evaluating a proposed lease of a ship for a three-year period to a customer‚ beginning in 2003. The proposed leasing contract offers very attractive terms‚ but no ship in Ocean Carrier’s current fleet meets the customer’s requirements. The firm must decide if future expected cash flows warrant the considerable investment in a new ship. Objective of Case Assignment To provide your team an opportunity to make a capital budgeting decision
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Ocean Carriers HW#7 PRINCIPLES OF MORDERN FINANCE (FALL 2012) JINGYE HAN “Ocean Carriers” case 1) Do you expect daily spot hire rates to increase or decrease next year? I expect daily spot hire rates to decrease next year. Based on Exhibit 3‚ order book in 2002 for dry bulk capsizes decreased‚ indicating a decrease in demand. Meanwhile‚ Based on Exhibit 2‚ the majority of capsize fleets in December 2000 are in the age within 15 years‚ among them‚ the largest portion is of those under
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a more detailed understanding of the various calculations‚ the reader of this analysis is welcome to have a closer look at our model. 1. Do you expect the daily spot hire rates to increase or decrease next year? Although we expect the iron ore exports to take off in the next few years‚ our expectation as to next year`s spot rate is rather pessimistic. This is mainly due to the decrease of the demand in iron ore vessel shipments highlighted in exhibit 5. Meanwhile there will be a delivery
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