Ocean Carriers Objectives • Forecast pro-forma cash flows for a project • Estimate project values using Net Present Value (NPV) • Conduct sensitivity analysis for the forecast inputs Setting • January 2001 • Customer offering attractive terms on 3-year lease for a capesize carrier • Would require purchase of new carrier since existing fleet does not fulfill customer needs • Should it be purchased? Industry Dynamics • Revenue Drivers • Outlook in the: –
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Ocean Carriers Inc. A Case Study By ab Introduction • Ocean Carriers Inc. owned and operated cape-size dry bulk carriers worldwide. • Major Cargo type : Iron ore. • Vessel sizes : 80000 DWT to 210000 DWT. • Cape-size carriers travel around Cape Horn rather than the Panama Canal due to size constraints. Operations Maintenance Maintaining Supplies And on board Stores Supply of Lubricants Cargo Operations Repairs Insurance Business Model • Mostly chartered
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FIN 555 CASE 1 Q3 Ms.Linn should not purchase the capsize carrier because the NPV is negative. a. Incremental earning forecast 1. Operating Revenue From the following Exhibit‚ We can see that from year 2003 to year 2007‚ from year 2008 to year 2012‚ and from year 2013 to year 2017‚ 8 days‚ 12 days and 16days is separately used to repair. The annual operating revenue = expected daily hire rate * (365- numbers of days for repair) 2. Operating Cost The annual operating cost
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Financial Management Read ‘Ocean Carriers’ and answer the following questions: Ocean Carriers uses a 9% discount rate. 1. Do you expect daily spot rate to increase or decrease next year? - The expected daily hire rates drives the daily spot rates higher. So we are expecting the higher daily spot rates under higher expected daily hire rates. 2. What factors drive average daily hire rates? - Demand in iron ore shipments‚ - World economy‚ strong economy in western countries will raise
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Ocean Carriers Assumptions and Methodology Based on an NPV analysis considering multiple scenarios‚ Ocean Carriers should commission the construction of a new capesize carrier in the event they are operating with no corporate tax and chartering the ship for its entire 25 year life. Such is the recommendation assuming the forecasted hire rates and estimated costs are accurate over the long-term. However‚ if Ocean Carriers chooses to adhere to their policy of selling ships at market value
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(a) Statement of Problem. Ocean Carriers is evaluating a proposed three year lease of a ship. Currently‚ no ships in Ocean Carrier’s fleet meet the requirements of the customer. Since the new ship requires an investment of $39 million‚ Mary Linn‚ the Vice President of Finance for Ocean Carriers‚ needs to evaluate the proposal’s NPV and determine whether or not to accept the proposal by considering expected cash flows‚ tax implications‚ and future market conditions. (b) Statement
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iron ore shipments. They claim demand in iron ore shipments has historically shown a strong correlation with charter rates‚ and we believe this makes sense. Vessel size‚ distance of route‚ and demand for ore/coal are drivers of daily rates. Per the case‚ technological developments in ship construction play a role in capacity‚ as newer ships are bigger‚ faster‚ and more fuel efficient‚ increasing the overall shipping capacity of a fleet. Accordingly the long-term decline in daily hire rates makes sense
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Ocean Carrier Case Study INDEX Case Background··························3 Dilemma································3 Scenarios under different tax rates and years ····························3 Alternative································5 Decision summary··························5 Appendix Ocean Carrier Case Study * Case Background Mary Linn of Ocean Carriers is evaluating the purchase of a new capesize carrier for a 3-year lease proposed by a motivated customer
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Background Ocean Carriers Inc. is a shipping company specializing in the operation of capsizes bulk dry carriers. In January 2001‚ Mary Linn‚ the vice President of Finance for Ocean Carriers was evaluating the purchase of a new capsize carrier for a three years lease proposed by a motivated customer. The leasing contract offers very attractive terms‚ but no ship in Ocean Carrier’s current fleet met the customer’s requirements. In addition‚ this proposed contract is only for three years. Therefore
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Ocean Carriers Case Report Executive Summary Ocean Carriers is evaluating a proposed lease for a ship over three years starting in 2003. Currently‚ Ocean Carriers does not have any ships that are available to meet this customer demand. This report will assist VP of Finance Mary Lynn to make a decision on whether or not to commission a new carrier and how long to hold on to this asset. Based off a financial analysis using the data Ocean Carriers has provided‚ the final recommendation is that
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