The Hidden Traps In Decision Making Hammond‚ John S.‚ Ralph L. Keeney‚ and Howard Raiffa. Harvard Business Review January 2006‚ Vol. 84 Issue 1‚ p. 118-126 Decision-making is apart of our every day routine. Making the right or wrong decisions can have a significant impact on our careers‚ health‚ education and almost all aspects of life. Before devising a strategic course of action‚ wise managers evaluate the situation confronting them. Making the right decisions is the most important
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THINKING ABOUT... I In making decisions‚ your own mind may be your worst enemy. most important job of any executive. It’s also t h e toughest and the riskiest. Bad decisions can damage a business and a career‚ sometimes irreparably. So where do bad decisions come from? In many cases‚ they can be traced back to the way the decisions were m a d e - t b e alternatives were not clearly defined‚ the right information was not collected‚ the costs and benefits were not accurately weighed. But sometimes
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Part 1 The Hidden Traps in Decision Making The higher the stakes of your decision‚ the higher the risk of getting caught in a thinking trap. When these traps work in concert‚ they can amplify one another. In this article‚ the author introduced 5 kinds of psychological traps. First and foremost‚ the anchoring trap means giving disproportionate weight to the first information received‚ which needs us to view a problem from different perspectives. The second one is the status-quo trap‚ favoring alternatives
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The Hidden Traps of Decision Making Essay We naturally use unconscious routines to face the decision making‚ whatever the topic we are dealing with. These routines are based on experimentation‚ trial and error methods‚ and are proved to be potential psycological traps that may blind the dicision makers and undermine their decisions. Some traps identified and detailed in this case are: ° Anchoring ° Framing ° Status Quo ° Estimating and Forecasting ° Sunk Cost ° Over-confidence
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Summary of “The hidden traps in decision making” This article is written by John S. Hammond‚ Ralph L. Keeney‚ and Howard Raiffa in 1998. The article talks about many manager were cheated by the presentational right decision and they already fall into the traps. Many Executives likely made the right decision‚ in fact this is sensory misperception. There are various traps that discussed in article: the anchoring trap‚ the status-quo trap‚ the sunk-cost trap‚ the confirming
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The theory of decision traps outlines the problems managers can face when trying to make a decision for the business. In order to be able to analyse the theory of decision‚ they must first be defined‚ to do this effectively this essay will look at the work of Russo and Schoemaker and other theorist who have researched the traps. This essay will then go on to give real life examples of a decision traps to exemplify them effectively. Making decisions are an everyday occurrence‚ especially in the
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Chapter 11 – Decision Making What is Decision Making? * Decision making – the process of developing a commitment to some course of action * Can also be described as a process of problem solving * Problem – a perceived gap between an existing state and a desired state Well-Structured Problems * Well-structured problems – a problem for which the existing state is clear‚ the desired state is clear‚ and how to get from one state to the other is fairly obvious * Decision making takes time
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Contents INTRODUCTION 4 DECISION MAKING 4 Programmed Decisions 4 Non-Programmed Decisions 5 THE RESPONSIBILITY FOR MAKING DECISIONS 5 ELEMENTS OF THE DECISION SITUATION 6 - The Decision Maker 6 - Goals to be Served 6 - Relevant Alternatives 6 - Ordering of Alternatives 6 - Choice of Alternatives. 6 THE RATIONAL MODEL OF DECISION MAKING 8 Steps in the Decision Making process 8 Identifying an Existing Problem 9 Listing Alternative Solutions 10 Select the Most Beneficial Of These
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The Decision Making Process Of Leaders Tony D. Bridgewater Webster Universitry The Decision Making Process Of Leaders Introduction We human being daily make the decision and when it comes to business organization‚ the process of decision making become more complicated ‚ and it involves the stakes of different groups. Therefore‚ the decision making process needs to be free from errors. The basic structure of decision making involves the identification of purpose and then to
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1. What is Decision Making? Decision-making is an essential aspect of modern management. It is a primary function of management. A manager’s major job is sound/rational decision-making. He takes hundreds of decisions consciously and subconsciously. Decision-making is the key part of manager’s activities. Decisions are important as they determine both managerial and organizational actions. A decision may be defined as "a course of action which is consciously chosen from among a set of alternatives
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