"2 explain the differences between decision making under certainty uncertainty and risk" Essays and Research Papers

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    Short-Run Decision Making

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    Short-Run Decision Making Short-run decision consists of choosing among alternatives with an immediate or limited end in view. Accepting a special order for less than the normal selling price to utilize idle capacity and to increase this year’s profits is an example. Thus‚ some decisions tend to be short run in nature and sometimes are referred to as tactical decisions; however‚ it should be emphasized that short-run decisions often have long-run consequences. Consider a second example. Suppose

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    Certainty and Doubt

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    William Lyon Phelps stated an absolute certainty will make anything possible‚ but Bertrand Russell believed that our opinions should always have some sort of doubt. This conflict between optimism and doubt is most importantly meant to be kept balanced. This balance of doubt and optimism can be seen in the real world in many ways such as in sports or school. When Phelps said that we need to have an “absolute sense of certainty‚” he meant a setting your mind to it mentality. If you can imagine it

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    Evaluation of Ethical Decision-Making Models In today’s time‚ it is wise to have ethical principles in the counseling fields due to working with people who ethics are not of standards. There action may range from improper verbiage to the extreme of improper physical contact. In this review‚ we have two distinctive views to demonstrate models of effective decision-making. Corey’s and his team of authors have adapted two dimension of decision-making models based on ethical principles. The goals

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    1. Identify the possible heuristics and/or biases that may have influenced your co-worker ’s opinion. There are three items I see that may have influenced the other senior manager ’s opinion: 1) The candidate is female 2) The candidate is Hispanic 3) The candidate has been working at a competitor The representativeness heuristic may be applicable for item one and two. Perhaps the senior manager has a personal judgment (bias) toward a Hispanic woman ’s ’ ability to be successful as a marketing

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    without doing evil‚" "you can be serious without a suit‚" and "work should be challenging and the challenge should be fun." 2) How is the firm organised ? Google’s culture is informal‚ equal‚ involvement‚ and empowerment and it has an aversion to bureaucracy. # The “70-20-10 rule” represents a managerial guideline‚ but it also authorizes the employees to take risks. Google executives encourage employees and managers to work directly with each other‚ instead of through more formal channels

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    Decision-Making Approaches Name Institution Decision-Making Approaches Describe two decision-making approaches managers can use to make the decision for the scenario you selected. There are many decision-making approaches and they all depend on the situation that the decision maker(s) is in. In the second case where there are infection cases in a certain hospital‚ the duty of the administration is to make a decision that makes sure the problem subsides. One of the main approaches that the management

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    Running Head: Decision-Making Model Decision-Making Model Analysis Paper Anonymous University of Phoenix This was posted on 8/9/05 There are several decision-making models to choose from in any given situation. Some of these models available on the Internet are the Responsible Decision-Making Model‚ the Ethical Decision-Making Model‚ the Ethics Toolkit PLUS Model‚ the Vigilant Decision-Maker Process‚ and some basic ones as well. In general‚ all decision-making models are the processes

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    vehicle which included the five stages of consumer decision making process such as Need Recognition‚ Information Search‚ Evaluation on Alternative‚ Purchase Decision‚ and Post-purchase decision. Lastly‚ the five different concepts which made up by social cultural factors and individual factors. 2.0 Five Stages of Consumer Decision Making Process 2.1 Need Recognition A problem is recognized when consumer found out a difference between the actual state and a desired state (Consumer Behave

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    A Decison Making Model There is a tendancy to make decisions automatically rather than taking a systematic approach. It is still important to monitor yourself‚ and when possible follow this decision making model (Smith‚ 2002[2]): Detect - Detect that a change has occured Estimate - Estimate the need for action to adapt to the change Choose - Choose the most desirable outcome Identify - Identification of actions which will successfully control the change Do - Carry out the chosen actions

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    1 Problem Statement 3.0 Identifying Decision Criteria 4.0 Allocating Weights to Each Criteria 5.0 Developing/Generating Alternatives 6.0 Evaluating Alternatives 6.1 Potential Solution Evaluation Checklist: 6.2 When should you evaluate potential solutions? 6.3 Criterion – weight matrix 7.0 Selecting the Optimal Decision/Alternatives 7.1 Selection of alternatives 7.2 Pros and Cons 8.0 Implementing the Alternatives 9.0 Evaluation the Decision Effectiveness ABSTRACT This report will

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