Preview

crude oil price on the economic growth of India

Powerful Essays
Open Document
Open Document
4009 Words
Grammar
Grammar
Plagiarism
Plagiarism
Writing
Writing
Score
Score
crude oil price on the economic growth of India
Abstract:

This paper analyzes empirically the effect of crude oil price on the economic growth of India.

Submitted By:

1. D13011 Joseph J Manavalan
2. D13021 Sayed Sameem
3. D13029 Surat Dayal
4. D13 Biju EXEC-PGP, DUBAI(2013-2016)

Table of Contents:

1. Introduction------------------------------------------------------------------ 3
2. Oil crisis and Indian Economy-------------------------------------------- 4
a. Balance of Payment
3. CAD and Import Bill-------------------------------------------------------- 5
a. Inflation
4. Solution----------------------------------------------------------------------- 9
i. Increased hydrocarbon production ii. Unconventional resources iii. Foreign acquisitions iv. Deregulation of Oil
v. Solar Power

References------------------------------------------------------------------------- 14
Appendix-------------------------------------------------------------------------- - 15

Introduction
India’s growth engine has been predominantly driven by oil (over two-thirds of which is imported). This situation may not change much over the next few decades.
The government is considering exploration of shale gas but that will take a long time. Thus the oil import bill will remain a function of both quantity imported and the international price of crude.
Despite price increase and volatility, oil imports are a necessity. Further, shortfall in domestic coal production has resulted in increased dependence on imports. Hence reducing CAD through lowering oil and coal imports is not a feasible option.
India is emerging as an industrialized country and the energy requirements are largely fulfilled through crude oil imports. Estimates suggest that energy demand of the region will increase three times in the next fifteen to twenty years (SAARC 2011).
Economists through empirical analysis of different

You May Also Find These Documents Helpful

  • Good Essays

    Oil is a prime example of a product that America imports in surplus. In August of 2011 The Wall Street Journal accurately predicted the United States would experience an oil surplus (Herron, J., 2011). This prediction was accurate because the United States continued to import at the same levels it domestically produced. Because The United States has experienced this surplus it has since began to decrease the amounts of both imported and domestically produced oil. It is easy to assume that since America has a surplus in oil consumers would reap the benefits of lower prices. Unfortunately every time that an individual fills up a vehicle at the gas station they are reminded that this is not an accurate assumption. While the cost of fuel is more complex than the above description the underlining point is that a surplus of an import can cause American businesses and domestic consumers to suffer…

    • 940 Words
    • 4 Pages
    Good Essays
  • Powerful Essays

    The United States is a fossil fuel hungry nation whose economy, markets, and transportation is highly dependent on the abundance of crude oil and petroleum. Although there is roughly 85.9 billion barrels of undiscovered technically recoverable crude oil currently in the form of oil shale located beneath our soil, we still rely on imports from foreign countries. With a crude oil and petroleum product net import of 7,270 thousand barrels per day the United States is one of the top importers of foreign oil (Petroleum & Other Liquids, 2013). According to the U.S. Energy Information Administration, EIA, the United States receives its leading imports of oil from Canada at a rate of 2,815 thousand barrels per day, Saudi…

    • 2767 Words
    • 12 Pages
    Powerful Essays
  • Better Essays

    Discuss how rising oil price might affect the macroeconomic performance of an economy (25 marks)…

    • 1343 Words
    • 4 Pages
    Better Essays
  • Good Essays

    The Crude oil prices have shot up partially because of the political unrest in Egypt. Since the county is not a major producer, but there is, a concern that there may be a serious violence could result in the Suez Canal that is one of the important routes for oil shipping stop from us. If this happens, the effect of investors will unwind the speculative trades in oil and may cause our gas prices to rise up to a higher cost than what it is now. To me this will be hard to grasp since we depend up gas for all our every day use one way or another. (Wrigley, S, Hess A E.M s, and,…

    • 846 Words
    • 4 Pages
    Good Essays
  • Satisfactory Essays

    Products, such as crude oil, experience fluctuations during times of scarcity and oversupply. These swings are the result of various interruptions ranging from oil embargos to foreign crisis. Most recently, there has been a decrease in the production of oil as a result of concerns about inventory, increase of demand in Asia, and civil unrest in Middle Eastern countries and North Africa (Williams, 2011). At present, there is a high - demand for oil and its byproducts in America as well. According to Nationmaster.com (2012), the United States leads in the consumption of crude oil followed closely by China. As of March 30, 2012 this decrease in production and increase in demand has gas and oil prices at around 123.81 per barrel for Brent, the oil used in Europe and 101.12 for West Texas Intermediate (WTI) used in the United States (eia.gov, 2012). Although both are crude, they are not the same. Brent comes from the North Sea, is similar to oil from Saudi Arabia and is used globally (Kleinman, 2011). WTI oil is domestic and is the benchmark for pricing in America (Kleinman, 2011).…

    • 656 Words
    • 3 Pages
    Satisfactory Essays
  • Better Essays

    Oil and gasoline prices follow a trend that sparks mixed reactions from different industry stakeholders in the America’s economy. The trends on oil and gasoline and their stability have immense impact on the performance of the economy based on their primary as energy. The government’s ability to ensure stability in price movement is seen as a key step towards fostering steady economic growth. A variety of factors are at play in the determination of these trends exhibited by the oil prices in America. Some of these factors are attributable to the market forces and understanding them would be instrumental in resolving economic problems resulting from the surging oil prices.…

    • 1694 Words
    • 7 Pages
    Better Essays
  • Satisfactory Essays

    To Drill or Not to Drill

    • 550 Words
    • 3 Pages

    Over the past 40 years, investment decisions have been made by the United States based on such events that have affected the oil industry. The recent increase of oil prices has affected the economy negatively. In the 1970’s, oil prices stayed around $20 a barrel. In 1946, the average cost for a barrel of oil was around $1.60 compared to $96.80 in 2008. (Williams, 2008) The change in the US dollar is another cause for the fluctuating prices in oil demand. The need and demand for oil is leaving us dependent on other countries such as Libya, Nigeria, Iran, Iraq, and Venezuela.…

    • 550 Words
    • 3 Pages
    Satisfactory Essays
  • Better Essays

    Addicted to Oil

    • 1208 Words
    • 5 Pages

    The United States’ increasing dependence on oil is a growing problem. Oil demand is increasing at an outstanding rate, not only in the U.S. but also around the world. Consider this, in 2008, “the world produced about 85 million barrels of oil a day, but global demand topped 86 million barrels a day” (Pickens). Just 4 years later the oil consumption rate has increased to 90 million barrels a day (IEA). A major portion of this increase can be attributed to high oil consumption rates in China and India, which now are importing more oil. The graph below from the Energy Information Administration (EIA) illustrates how significantly China’s dependence on world oil has increased over the past 15 years. It isn’t just competition for oil with other countries that is contributing to the problem though. Our usage of oil has to be looked at; especially our vehicles which consume an ever increasing amount of oil. According to the EIA, gas mileage of all types of U.S. made vehicles has leveled off since 1985. While foreign car companies have continued to make more fuel efficient vehicles, U.S. automakers have failed to keep up with innovations to make their vehicles increasingly more energy efficient. Based on the fact that each year more people are driving and people are commuting longer distances, oil consumption will continue to go up.…

    • 1208 Words
    • 5 Pages
    Better Essays
  • Powerful Essays

    Offshore drilling is much related to energy independence, which is an important goal for the United States. The purpose of energy independence is to reduce the U.S imports of oil and other foreign sources of energy. Energy independence is espoused by those who want to leave America unaffected by global energy supply disruptions, and to restrict a reliance upon politically unstable states for its energy purposes. Energy independence is highly concerned with oil, being perhaps the most important imported energy sources for purposes of both transportation and electricity. The United States is the world's third largest producer of oil, but it also relies on imported oil. More oil is imported from Canada than any other country. 19% of imported oil comes from the Middle East. Such resources are finite and decreasing, despite an increase in demand. World-wide demand for oil is projected to grow 60% over the next two decades.…

    • 1336 Words
    • 6 Pages
    Powerful Essays
  • Good Essays

    As more nations move into an industrialized economy, the world demand for oil increases. Other factors which can impact demand are colder than normal seasons, war, industrial growth spurts, and the increase in leisure time and summer travel. The total supply of oil is a comprised of the number of barrels oil producing countries can provide plus the available stocks sitting in storage either on land or at sea in transit. There just as many variables which could…

    • 857 Words
    • 4 Pages
    Good Essays
  • Good Essays

    Consumers have noted that the government should be drilling into our own soil and producing gasoline without importing from other countries thus saving money and lowering gas prices. Dan Pfeiffer of The Whitehouse has reported that we are indeed drilling for oil in the Unites States although not as much as we could. Pfeiffer states that Americans use about twenty percent of the entire amount of oil produced each year and if we tapped into every square inch of land available in the United States we could only produce about two percent of the demand. Therefore, the US will need to always import even if we did drill for oil more in our own country than we do today. But is there another way we could not import and still use our own oil resources? The answer is yes but not an available factor as of this year (Pfeiffer).…

    • 942 Words
    • 4 Pages
    Good Essays
  • Satisfactory Essays

    Petrol is one of the most demanded products on earth. Because of this, not only the petrol prices are…

    • 689 Words
    • 3 Pages
    Satisfactory Essays
  • Good Essays

    Market Structure Cartel

    • 846 Words
    • 4 Pages

    This type of structure has the advantage that while increasing oil prices may shift the demand curve. The model allows backstop technology and tariffs on oil imports; therefore, the imposition of tariffs to importing countries will reduce OPEC prices without affecting domestic prices.…

    • 846 Words
    • 4 Pages
    Good Essays
  • Satisfactory Essays

    Aasdfgh

    • 1010 Words
    • 5 Pages

    s the EU’s oil and gas import dependency is set to increase to more than 80 percent until 2035, the U.S. is on its way to become a net exporter, according to the International Energy Agency.…

    • 1010 Words
    • 5 Pages
    Satisfactory Essays
  • Better Essays

    Solar Power in India

    • 1810 Words
    • 8 Pages

    India's power sector has a total installed capacity of approximately 1,46,753 Megawatt (MW) of which 54% is coal-based, 25% hydro, 8% is renewables and the balance is the gas and nuclear-based. Power shortages are estimated at about 11% of total energy and 15% of peak capacity requirements and are likely to increase in the coming years. In the next 10 years, another 10,000 MW of capacity and investment of about Rs. 24 lakh crore are required.…

    • 1810 Words
    • 8 Pages
    Better Essays

Related Topics