Why Do Weather Predictions May Be Inaccurate
Weather predictions are sometimes inaccurate. There are different reasons why weather predictions may be inaccurate. First, weather can change very drastically in a very small matter of time. At 1430 hours, the weather was pretty much clear. It was only partly cloudy and there was no precipitation. There was little to no precipitation in the eastern Nebraska area. 20 minutes later, there was a thunderstorm with hail at Beatrice, a city in eastern Nebraska, not far from Omaha. Another 20 minutes later, at 1510 hours, there was a tornado right around the Beatrice area. In 40 minutes, the weather went from no precipitation to a tornado touchdown. It shows how quick a drastic weather change can occur. These drastic weather changes are
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It would be impossible to predict the exact times and the exact areas of the possible eight tornadoes in the eastern Nebraska/western Iowa area in a time span of 4 hours and 50 minutes because nature is uncontrollable. There are more variables to predicting weather than humans know. A change in weather patterns is a very big reason on why weather predictions may be inaccurate. When predicting future weather, you use information based on weather in the past across other areas to create a weather “pattern.” However, nobody knows when that pattern may end or when a new one begins. If weather predictions are based off of present patterns, there are bound to be mistakes because if a weather event clears up before it reaches an area it was expected to make it to, the prediction will be wrong because the prediction was based off of past events and the possible assumption that the event will continue. During the project, the half-hour radars started to show heavy precipitation, and as the hours passed, the storms got more severe. However, the 2000 hour radar was different. At 1930 hours, there was the potential of very heavy rain, lightning, heavy winds, and hail in the Omaha radar reading. Only 30 minutes later, however, the weather in the Omaha area nearly
It would be impossible to predict the exact times and the exact areas of the possible eight tornadoes in the eastern Nebraska/western Iowa area in a time span of 4 hours and 50 minutes because nature is uncontrollable. There are more variables to predicting weather than humans know. A change in weather patterns is a very big reason on why weather predictions may be inaccurate. When predicting future weather, you use information based on weather in the past across other areas to create a weather “pattern.” However, nobody knows when that pattern may end or when a new one begins. If weather predictions are based off of present patterns, there are bound to be mistakes because if a weather event clears up before it reaches an area it was expected to make it to, the prediction will be wrong because the prediction was based off of past events and the possible assumption that the event will continue. During the project, the half-hour radars started to show heavy precipitation, and as the hours passed, the storms got more severe. However, the 2000 hour radar was different. At 1930 hours, there was the potential of very heavy rain, lightning, heavy winds, and hail in the Omaha radar reading. Only 30 minutes later, however, the weather in the Omaha area nearly