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Question 1: The only way that peace can be maintained between the United States and a rising China is the democratization of the latter.” Do you agree or disagree with this assertion? Explain.

Introduction

I agree that the only way that peace can be maintained between the United States and the United States and a rising China is the democratization of the latter. In this essay, I would provide the two underlying explanations of democracy peace theory along with the statistical regression analysis and empirical evidences. According to democratic peace theory, democracies rarely fight against each other. It is substantiated with Bruce Russett’s plausible empirical study of war between democracies during the period of year 1816 to 1992. No war had been fought between democracies during this period. On top of that, the Kantian Triangle system suggests that democracy, economic interdependence and international institutions have reciprocal and mutually reinforcing effects. In this sense, after the establishment of democracy in China, peace between the two states would be further strengthened, creating a virtuous cycle through enhanced bilateral trade and economic interdependence. Following that, some of the counter argument will be examined. Edward D. Mansfield and Jack Snyder assert that in the transitional phase of democratization, emerging states would become aggressive and war prone, not less, and they do fight wars with democratic states. This danger is greatest when emerging states embark on the transition prematurely when they lack the strong political institutions to make the transition work. As a conclusion, it appears that the assertion of the democratization of China to maintain a peaceful relation with the United States is empirically convincing and evidently justifiable.

The definition of an envisioned democratic China A democratic China can be identified with possessing the principle that freedom of the individual is of paramount importance.



Bibliography: Doyle, Michael. International Politics: Enduring Concepts and Contemporary Issues. 1th ed. Edited by Robert Art and Robert Jervis. Pearson, 2013. Mansfield, Edward D., and Jack Snyder. Leashing the Dogs of War: Conflict Management in a Divided World. Edited by Chester A. Crocker, Fen Osler Hampson and Pamela Hall. United States Institute of Pece Press, 2007. Russett, Bruce. Debating the Democratic Peace: An International Security Reader. Edited by Michael Brown, Sean Lynn-Jones and Steven Miller. MIT Press, 1996. Russett, Bruce, and John Oneal. Triangulating Peace: Democracy, Interdependence, and International Organization. W.W. Norton, 2001.

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