Telkom Investment Analysis

Topics: Asset, Balance sheet, Generally Accepted Accounting Principles Pages: 159 (6646 words) Published: May 25, 2014
INVESTMENT PORTFOLIO REPORT
PT TELEKOMUNIKASI INDONESIA TBK (TLKM)

FINANCE FOR EXECUTIVE
IPMI EXECUTIVE MBA NOVEMBER 2013 - YOHANES BUDI
LELONO
Lecturer: Prof. Roy Sembel, Ph.D

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Stock is one of investment media that has the potential gains and losses greater than other investment media. The goal of this report, is to give an insight of learning process, as well as progress of having deeper understanding of investment in stocks. One billion dollars are given for the investment simulation to each group, during period November 8, 2013 until December 13, 2013. Each person in the group is incharge for one stock and has a full responsibility to monitor the stock movement, as well as giving analysis for the stock price movement.

Mini research have been done in this learning process, to experience directly and identify the reason behind the stock movement. The way to understand the factors of market fluctuation is by understanding the macro and micro economy, together with social, politics, and any issues that impact to the market and business of the company, Fundamental analysis is necessary to pick the right stock at the right price, while technical analysis is required to buy or sell the stock at the right time by understanding the psychology of the market.

This report is focusing on fundamental analysis of PT Telkom Indonesia together with technical analysis for stock price movement. In the last part of the report there is conclusion and recommendation for TLKM investment portfolio based on analysts that has been conducted.

1 Investment Portfolio Analysis TLKM – Yohanes Budi Lelono

TABLE OF CONTENTS

Executive Summary

1

Table of Contents

2

Chapter 1 Introduction

3

Chapter 2 Companies at Glance

5

Chapter 3 ?????
Chapter 4 Fundamental Analysis

8

Chapter 5 Technical Analysis

14

Chapter 6 Conclusion and Recommendation

18

References

20

Appendix

21

2 Investment Portfolio Analysis TLKM – Yohanes Budi Lelono

Chapter 1
INTRODUCTION

1.1. Portfolio Overview
In the stock investment business, picking the right portfolio is an important part of the success in the future. Below is showing overall Stochastic group portfolio, and each person in the group is responsible for one stock portfolio. This report is only focusing on TLKM portfolio.

Stock #Shares Price/Share Market Value
BSDE 119400 Rp1.675
Rp199.995.000
JSMR 34200
Rp5.825
Rp199.215.000
BUDI 1923800 Rp 104
Rp200.075.200
BBTN 159400 Rp1.255
Rp200.047.000
TLKM 92900
Rp2.160
Rp200.664.000
Rp999.996.200

20,00%

20,07%

BSDE
JSMR
BUDI

19,92%

20,00%

BBTN
TLKM

20,01%

Stochastic Group Stock Investment Portfolio

3 Investment Portfolio Analysis TLKM – Yohanes Budi Lelono

In accordance with our goal and strategies, the reason to choose TLKM as one of our portfolio is as below:
1.

By Peter Lynch on his book of One Up on Wall Street, company like Telkom is categorize as "Stalwart" company - a companies that have large capitalizations and provide investors with slow but steady and dependable growth prospects. The annual gain that would be viewed as the norm for investing in stalwarts is about 10% to 12%. Stalwarts will by no means become tenbaggers (a stock that grows in value ten-fold) overnight, mainly because of their large capitalization, but they are usually a good source of fairly

predictable

returns.

Peter Lynch popularized this term in his book "One Up on Wall Street," where he shows that the price chart of a stalwart compares neither to a topographic map of Delaware nor to one of Mount Everest, but assumes a place somewhere in the middle. This is related with the uncertainty (tend to negative) market condition when this portfolio investment is started, investors are still waiting the final decision from the FED regarding tapering off policy.

2.

IT/Telecommunication Industry is still potential to grow. More and more people are...
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