research on kimchi

There was a man next to a roulette table. He didn’t seem to be moving for hours. He wasn’t playing roulette, however. He was scribbling down tens of numbers on his notepad, keeping track of the patterns. At first sight, under standard assumptions, he is another fool trying to make sense of what is not there.

However, lets throw the standard assumptions out the window, and see the world as how it actually is. We must keep in mind that the probability is in itself a man-made concept—a tool for making sense of this complex world. We need to use it to be able to account for the “unknown.” Simply, it is a number that keeps track of the unpredictability stemming from our limitations of our mind. Yet, the future is predetermined. Is it not? The strength of the spin, texture of the material, temperature, and so forth are going to determine at what number the roulette ball is going to land on. Isn’t it simply physics that is going to determine the outcome?

Then, is its only our limited mind that we must assign probability, an artificial concept. If we can gain a little more advantage by thinking outside the box, assessing factors that determine the outcome (i.e. rate of spin), can’t we, in effect, turn the odds in our favor? Of course this isn’t possible, but what if?

For instance, if we can get understand the “system” enough to eliminate one number from the 37 roulette numbers, making it 36 numbers, we face a 50-50 odds with the casino. If we eliminate more than one number, we get a positive expected value. So on, if we have perfect understanding of the physics behind roulette, we can predict the right numbers 100 percent of the time.

But this concept may very well extend to any outcome in this world we may attach probabilities to. The future is predetermined. We simply do not have the capacity to take into account the vast array of factors that determine an outcome. Probability helps us take account of this world, but is by no means a perfect guide