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Current Research Journal of Social Sciences 4(1): 62-68, 2012 ISSN: 2041-3246 © Maxwell Scientific Organization, 2012 Submitted: November 19, 2011 Accepted: December 20, 2011

Published: January 25, 2012

Impact of Tax Reforms and Economic Growth of Nigeria: A Time Series Analysis
G.N. Ogbonna and 2Appah Ebimobowei Department of Accounting, Faculty of Management Sciences, University of Port Harcourt, Nigeria 2 Department of Accounting, Faculty of Business Education, Bayelsa State College of Education, Okpoama, Brass Island
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Abstract: The study examines the impact of tax reforms on the economic growth of Nigeria from 1994 to 2009. To achieve the objective of the study, relevant secondary data were collected from the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) Statistical Bulletin, Federal Inland Revenue Service (FIRS), Office of the Accountant General of the Federation, and other relevant government agencies. The data collected were analysed using relevant descriptive statistics and econometric models such as White test, Ramsey RESET test, Breusch Godfrey test, Jacque Berra test, Augmented Dickey Fuller test, Johansen test, and Granger Causality test. The results from the various test shows that tax reforms is positively and significantly related to economic growth and that tax reforms granger cause economic growth. On the basis of the findings, the study concluded that tax reforms improves the revenue generating machinery of government to undertake socially desirable expenditure that will translate to economic growth in real output and per capita basis. However, it was recommended that sustainable economic growth cannot be attained with tax reform processes except obsolete tax laws and rates are reviewed in line with macro economic objectives, corrupt-free and efficient tax administrative machinery with personnel’s and accountability and transparency of government officials in the management of tax revenue. Key words: Causality, co-integration, economic growth,



References: Alli, B.D., 2009. Managing the tax reform process in Nigeria. Niger. Account., 42(1): 45-51. Anyanfo, A.M.O., 1996. Public Finance in a Developing Economy: The Nigerian Case. Department of Banking and Finance, University of Nigeria, Enugu Campus. Enugu. Anyanwu, J.C., 1993. Monetary Economics: Theory, Policy and Institutions. Hybrid Publishers, Onitsha. Anyanwu, J.C., 1997. Nigerian Public Finance. Joanne Educational Publishers, Onitsha. Appah, E., 2004. Principles and Practice of Nigerian Taxation, Ezevin Mint Printers and Publishers, Port Harcourt. Appah, E., 2010. The Problems of Tax Planning and Administration in Nigeria: The Federal and State Governments Experience. Int. J. Lab. Organ.. Psychol., 4(1-2): 1-14. Appah, E. and J.K. Oyandonghan, 2011. The challenges of tax mobilization and management in the Nigerian economy. J. Bus. Admin. Manage., 6(2): 128-136. 67 Table 7 shows the error correction estimates with an adjusted R2 of about 54% of the variation of the dependent variable GDP is as a result of change in tax revenue. The independent variables are correctly signed indicating a positive relationship between tax revenue as a result of reforms to economic growth. This is consistent with Ola (2001). The F-statistics confirm the significance of the overall regression equation. CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS The objective of this study is to investigate the relationship between tax reforms and economic growth in Nigeria. It goes further to examine whether tax reforms on petroleum profit tax, companies income tax, value added tax, personal income tax, education tax and customs and excise duties affect the economic growth measured with gross domestic product of Nigeria. To capture this, time series data were culled from 1994-2009. The Johansen Co-integration test confirmed that a long run relationship exists between tax reforms and economic growth and the Granger causality result also shows that tax granger cause economic growth. This goes to show that tax reforms have significantly altered the way the system and their agencies function Curr. Res. J. Soc. Sci., 4(1): 62-68, 2012 Arnold, J.M., 2011. Tax policy for economic recovery and growth. Econ. J., 121: 59-80. Azubike, J.U.B., 2009. Challenges of tax authorities, tax payers in the management of tax reform processes. Niger. Account., 42(2): 36-42. Asterious, D. and S. Hall, 2007. Applied Econometrics: A Modern Approach. Palgrave Macmillan, London. Bhartia, H.L., 2009. Public Finance. 14th Edn., Vikas Publishing House PVT Ltd, New Delhi. Dwivedi, D.N., 2004. Managerial Economics. 6th Edn., Vikas Publishing House PVT Ltd., New Delhi. Engen, E. and J. Skinner, 1996. Taxation and economic growth. Nat. Tax J., 49(4): 617-642. Gujarati, D.N. and D.C. Porter, 2009. Basic Econometrics. 5th Edn., McGraw Hill, New York. Jhingan, M.L., 2004. Money, Banking, International Trade and Public Finance. Vrinda Publications, New Delhi, India. Kiabel, B.D. and N.G. Nwokah, 2009. Boosting revenue generation by state governments in Nigeria: The tax Consultants option revisited. Eur. J. Soc. Sci., 8(4): 532-539. Musgrave, R.A. and P.B. Musgrave, 2004. Public Finance in Theory and Practice. Tata McGraw Hill, New Delhi, India. Nwezeaku, N.C., 2005. Taxation in Nigeria: Principles and Practice. Springfield Publishers, Owerri. Nzotta, S.M., 2007. Tax evasion problems in Nigeria: A critique. Niger. Account., 40(2): 40-43. Odusola, A., 2006. Tax Policy Reforms in Nigeria. Research Paper No. 2006/03 United Nations University-World Institute for Development Economics Research. Ola, C.S., 2001. Income Tax Law and Practice in Nigeria. Heinemann Educational Books (Nigeria) Plc, Ibadan. Osiegbu, P.I., A.C. Onuorah and I. Nnamdi, 2010. Public Finance: Theories and Practices. C.M. Global Company Ltd., Asabi. Tosun, M.S. and S. Abizadeh, 2005. Economic growth and tax components: An analysis of tax change in OECD. Appl. Econ., 37: 2251-2263. Wooldridge, J.M., 2006. Introductory Econometrics: A Modern Approach. 3rd Edn., Thomson Higher Education, Mason. 68

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