Production Planning

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PRODUCTION PLANNING TERM PROJECT | | | Course Lecturer:
Prof.Dr.Selim Zaim
Öğr.Gör.Dr.Hüseyin Selçuk Kılıç | | | | |
Project Members:
Elif Duygu Bağatırlar 150308045
Merve Ağaoğlu 150308026
İbrahim Ahıskalı 150308006

QUESTION 1 * Moving Average Method

| | MA(2) | MA(3) | MA(4) | MA(5) | MA(6) | MA(2) | MA(3) | MA(4) | MA(5) | Month | Demand | one-step ahead | one-step ahead | one-step ahead | one-step ahead | one-step ahead | two step ahead | two step ahead | two step ahead | two step ahead | July | 125 | 102,5 | 113,3333 | 122,5 | 127 | 125,8333 | 117,5 | 128,3333 | 132,5 | 130 | August | 150 | 115 | 110 | 116,25 | 123 | 126,6667 | 102,5 | 113,3333 | 122,5 | 127 | September | 175 | 137,5 | 126,6667 | 120 | 123 | 127,5 | 115 | 110 | 116,25 | 123 | October | 120 | 162,5 | 150 | 138,75 | 131 | 131,6667 | 137,5 | 126,6667 | 120 | 123 | November | 145 | 147,5 | 148,3333 | 142,5 | 135 | 129,1667 | 162,5 | 150 | 138,75 | 131 | December | 90 | 132,5 | 146,6667 | 147,5 | 143 | 136,6667 | 147,5 | 148,3333 | 142,5 | 135 |

Month | Demand | Error | Error | Error | Error | Error | Error | Error | Error | Error | July | 125 | 22,5 | 11,66667 | 2,5 | 2 | 0,833333 | 7,5 | 3,333333 | 7,5 | 5 | August | 150 | 35 | 40 | 33,75 | 27 | 23,33333 | 47,5 | 36,66667 | 27,5 | 23 | September | 175 | 37,5 | 48,33333 | 55 | 52 | 47,5 | 60 | 65 | 58,75 | 52 | October | 120 | 42,5 | 30 | 18,75 | 11 | 11,66667 | 17,5 | 6,666667 | 0 | 3 | November | 145 | 2,5 | 3,333333 | 2,5 | 10 | 15,83333 | 17,5 | 5 | 6,25 | 14 | December | 90 | 42,5 | 56,66667 | 57,5 | 53 | 46,66667 | 57,5 | 58,33333 | 52,5 | 45 | | MAD | 30,41667 | 31,66667 | 28,33333 | 25,83333 | 24,30556 | 34,58333 | 29,16667 | 25,41667 | 23,66667 |

Month | Demand | e^2 | e^2 | e^2 | e^2 | e^2 | e^2 | e^2 | e^2 | e^2 | July | 125 | 506,25 | 136,1111 | 6,25 | 4 | 0,694444 | 56,25 | 11,11111 | 56,25 | 25 | August | 150 | 1225 | 1600 |

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