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Penal Reform Paper

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Penal Reform Paper
CONTENT
2 INTRODUCTION What’s the problem? 2 MODEL How are we going to approach it? 4 DATA Observations. 5 RESULTS What did we find? 6 EXTENSIONS Quadratic and interactive relationships. 7 CONCLUSION What does it all mean? In Depth Statistical Analysis

Violent Crime Rates Across the United States

Matt Ziglar October 14th, 2010

SANDY CAMEL CONSULTING

1

VIOLENT CRIME

FALL 2010

“No crime is so great as daring to excel.”
Winston Churchill

Introduction
Sandy Camel Consulting understands the need for investigating relationships between violent crime rates and the possible underlying causes. As a policy maker who wishes to promote rehabilitation (for nonviolent offenders) while effectively reducing the number of prisons and penitentiaries , it is essential to understand what possible factors influence violent crimes. Before you take steps to reduce prison funding and attempt to eliminate higher security facilities, it is absolutely necessary to ensure that the population within the surrounding city is not at risk for high violent crime rates. Before we
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The variations within conditions that we chose to analyze (unemployment rate, mobile home percentage, percentage of population over 65 living in poverty, percent white, median age, percentage of development and location) account for about 60% of the variation that we see among violent crime rates. As seen below in Table 2, statistical evidence suggests that for every 0.4% increase in the unemployment rate, we see an additional violent crime per 1,000 people. This is exactly what we expected to see from the results. Likewise, we see that for every 1% increase in population over 65 living below the poverty level, there is an increase of 4 violent crimes per 1,000

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