How Does National Intelligence Determine Accuracy?

Accuracy is a critical component of evaluating intelligence. Since its inception in the 1950’s, there have been about fifteen hundred National intelligence estimates. The estimative nature of NIE’s makes it almost impossible to measure it accuracy and the Intelligence Council has never established a system for evaluating the estimative accuracy. NIE’s are essentially judged in two ways, if the NIE is proven correct then the NIE is good; if incorrect then the NIE is bad. Checking the validity of NIE’s can be difficult due to the fact that some judgments or key findings cannot be checked. The production of NIE requires distinguishing between estimative Intel and factual Intel that in turn will allow the report to be more concise. In producing
Some of the global threats included cyber, counterintelligence, terrorism, weapons of mass destruction and proliferation, space and counter space, transnational organized crimes, economic, natural resources, and human security. According to the 2015 National intelligence estimate report, there is an ever-increasing cyber threat. Such cyber threats can come in several different forms and can affect American citizens and the economy alike. For example, Attackers successfully compromised U.S. Department of Energy computer systems more than 150 times between 2010 and 2014 (usatoday.com). According to the report, although the cyber threat is imminent, catastrophic cyber attacks against the U.S. is unlikely. Some of the nations that have the highest risks of launching a cyber attack against the U.S. are china, Russia, Iran and North Korea (dni.gov). The U.S. defense system against cyber attack cannot eliminate the threat the systemic interdependencies between different critical infrastructure sectors (dni.gov). The cyber threat actors are motivated by different factors and all pose a different threat to the national security of the United States. According to the national security estimates, Russia military is establishing a cyber security division and its main objective is to implement cyber attacks against other states. Those attacks can include propaganda, and inserting malware into a country command system and network operations (dni.gov). According to the report, Russia’s cyber division has been proven to be successful at implementing malware into other countries website and the likelihood of such attack on the U.S. is coming. Another country that continuously poses a cybersecurity threat is China. The Chinese government has always been trying to get an economic advantage against the U.S. The report assert that in order to