assignment 2

Topics: Future, Forecasting, Soft energy path Pages: 1 (378 words) Published: May 27, 2015
What are the underlying assumptions in projections versus forecasts? Are the extension of past trends into the future. They identify trend lines and simply extend them to the future regarless of constraints or changes. Forecast are the prediction of future conditions based on projection modified by expected assumptions of driving forces, constraints, and opportunites.

What are the benefits of a multitude of solution wedges to fill a DFC gap? The benefits are that (DFC) desired future condition it breaks it down into multiple steps in order to achieve the required goal, By exploring multiple options and quantifying what each could achieve in terms of the solution wedges.

What defines the axes in a scenario matrix? its a cross to the right is succes moving forward like the example with China 1) empereror of buisness 2) emperor's new clothes which means going broke. So the goal is to get high economic influence followed by resolving conflicts diplomatically by not doing this China will be stuck with bad economy and not getting ahead of its peers.

What differentiates a soft energy path from a hard energy path? Soft energy path is consider alternative energy such as wind, solar etc... Hard path energy are non-renewable resources, such as coal, oil and natural gas What is low quality energy? low quality energy is dispersed and disorganized and has little ability to work, usually very disorder which makes it less useful The energy source that dominated the EIA projections its the amount of oil that is been used up so they come up with this graph that has been very inaccurate not taking into account renewable energy which theycould not anyhow back in 1980. So i dont really see the point of trying to come up with an energy forecast because technology changes everything. There are four generation in the nuclear road map, the first generation started back in the 1950s. Then the second generation came through in the 80s it was named as commercial power reactors,...
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