Preview

Asset Pricing Model Study

Powerful Essays
Open Document
Open Document
16249 Words
Grammar
Grammar
Plagiarism
Plagiarism
Writing
Writing
Score
Score
Asset Pricing Model Study
Table of Contents
Introduction 5
1.1 Research Background .6
1.2 Research Aim 6
1.3 Research Objective 7
1.4 Research Questions 8 Literature Review 9
2.1 Prior Evidence of the Four-Factor Model in the UK 13
2.2 Hypotheses 15
Data and Methodology 17
3.1 Research Data 17
3.2 Research Methodology 18
Empirical Results and Discussion 21
4.1 Summary Statistics 21
4.2 Data Analysis 27 4.2.1 Full Sample Regression 27 4.2.1.1 Full Sample Analysis 28 4.2.1.2 Graph of the Full Sample Analysis 30 4.2.2 Bull Market Regression 34 4.2.2.1 Bull Market Analysis 35 4.2.3 Bear Market Regression 38 4.2.3.1 Bear Market Analysis 39 4.2.4 Behavior Finance Arguments 40 Summary and Conclusion 42
5.1 Recommendations 43
References 44
Appendices 49

Table 1 : Summary Statistics 21 Table 2(a): Excess Returns on the six portfolios (Full Sample) 24 Table 2(b): Excess Returns on the six portfolios (Bear Market) 25 Table 2(c): Excess Returns on the six portfolios (Bull Market) 26 Table 3 : Regression on the six portfolios (Full Sample) 27 Table 4 : Regression on the six portfolios (Bull Market) 34 Table 5 : Regression on the six portfolios (Bear Market) 38 Figure 1 : Market Factor 30 Figure 2 : Size Factor 31 Figure 3 : Book-to-market Factor 32 Figure 4 : Momentum Factor 33 Picture 1 : Market Return 49 Picture 2 : SMB Return 49 Picture 3 : HML Return 50 Picture 4 : WML Return 50

Acknowledgement

Abstract
This paper, we study the significance of the four-factor asset pricing model (market factor, size factor, book-to-market factor and momentum factor) in explaining the cross-sectional variation in average stock returns in the United Kingdom. Our findings show that the four-factor model does work well and significant to explain the



References: Arshanapali, B., Coggin, D. and Doukas, J. (1998) 'Multifactor Asset Pricing Analysis of International Value Investment Strategies. ' Journal of Portfolio Management 24, (4) 10-23 Banz, R Black, F. (1972) 'Capital Market Equilibrium with Restricted Borrowing. ' journal of Business Finance & Accounting 45, (3) 444-455 Black, F Boasson, E., Boasson, V. and Cheng, J. (2006) 'Investment Principles and Strategies of Faith-Based Funds. ' Managerial Finance 32, (10) 837-845 Campbell, J., Lo, A Carhart, M. M. (1997) 'On Persistence in Mutual Fund Performance. ' Journal of Finance 52, (1) 57-82 Chan, A Chan, K. C. and Chen, N.-F. (1991) 'Structural and Return Characteristics of Small and Large Firms. ' Journal of Finance 46, (4) 1467-1484 Chan, K Chan, K. C., Hamao, Y. and Lakonishok, J. (1991) 'Fundamentals and Stock Returns in Japan. ' Journal of Finance 46, (5) 1739-1789 Chan, L Chan, L. K. C., Karceski, J. and Lakonishok, J. (1998) 'The Risk and Return from Factors. ' JOURNAL OF FINANCIAL AND QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS 33, (2) 159-187 Chordia, T Clare, A., Morgan, G. and Thomas , S. (2002) 'Direct Evidence of Non-Trading on the London Stock Exchange. ' journal of Business Finance & Accounting 29, 29-53 Daniel, K Davis, J. L., Fama, E. F. and French, K. R. (2000) 'Characteristics, Covariances, and Average Returns: 1929 to 1997. ' Journal of Finance 55, (1) 389-406 DeBondt, W Durand, R. B., Limkriangkrai, M. and Smith, G. (2006) 'In America 's Thrall: The Effects of the Us Market and Us Security Characteristics on Australian Stock Returns ' Accounting and Finance 46, (4) 577-604 Fama, E Fama, E. F. and French, K. R. (1993) 'Common Risk Factors in the Returns on Stocks and Bonds ' Journal of Financial Economics 33, (1) 3-56 Fama, E Fama, E. F. and French, K. R. (1996) 'Multifactor Explanations of Asset Pricing Anomalies. ' Journal of Finance 51, (1) 55-84 Fama, E Fletcher, J. (1997) 'An Examination of the Cross-Sectional Relationship of Beta and Return: Uk Evidence. ' Journal of Economics and Business 49, (3) 211-221 Gregory, A Jegadeesh, N. and Titman, S. (1993) 'Returns to Buying Winners and Selling Losers: Implications for Stock Market Efficiency. ' Journal of Finance 48, (1) 65-91 Jegadeesh, N Jensen, G., Johnson, R. and Mercer, J. (1998) 'New Evidence on Size and Price-to-Book Effects in Stock Returns. ' Financial Analysts Journal 53, 34-42 Kothari, S L 'Her, J.-F., Masmoudi, T. and Suret, J.-M. (2004) 'Evidence to Support the Four-Factor Pricing Model from the Canadian Stock Market. ' Journal International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money 14, (4) 313-328 La Portal, R Lakonishok, J., Vishny, R. W. and Shleifer, A. (1994) 'Contrarian Investment, Extrapolation, and Risk. ' Journal of Finance 49, (5) 1541-1578 Lam, K., Li, F Levis, M. (1985) 'Are Small Firms Big Performers. ' Investment Analyst 76, 21-26 Levis, M Liew, J. and Vassalou, M. (2000) 'Can Book-to-Market, Size and Momentum Be Risk Factors That Predict Economic Growth? ' Journal of Financial Economics 57, (2) 221-245 Lintner, J Liu, W. (2006) 'A Liquidity-Augmented Capital Asset Pricing Model. ' Journal of Financial and Economics 82, (3) 631-671 Liu, W., Strong, N MacKinlay, A. C. (1995) 'Multifactor Models Do Not Explain Deviations from the Capm. ' Journal of Financial Economics 38, (1) 3-28 Maroney, N Morelli, D. (2007) 'Beta, Size, Book-to-Market Equity and Returns: A Study Based on Uk Data. ' Journal of Multinational Financial Management 17, (3) 257-272 Pettengill, G Richards, A. J. (1997) 'Winner-Loser Reversals in National Stock Market Indices: Can They Be Explained? ' Journal of Finance 52, (5) 2129-2144 Rosenberg, B., Reid, K Sharpe, W. (1964) 'Capital Asset Prices: A Theory of Market Equilibrium under Conditions of Risk. ' Journal of Finance 19, (3) 425-442 Sharpe, W Shum, W. C. and Tang, Y. N. (2005) 'Common Risk Factors in Returns in Asian Emerging Stock Markets. ' International Business Review 14, (6) 695-717

You May Also Find These Documents Helpful

  • Powerful Essays

    Jegadeesh, Narasimhan , “Evidence of predictable behavior of security returns,” Journal of Finance 45, 881-898., 1990…

    • 4112 Words
    • 31 Pages
    Powerful Essays
  • Powerful Essays

    Eugene F, F. & Kenneth R, F., 1992. The Cross-Section of Expected Stock Return. The Journal…

    • 2606 Words
    • 11 Pages
    Powerful Essays
  • Satisfactory Essays

    Finance Case 2

    • 557 Words
    • 2 Pages

    In order to explain further on the excess return from market risk, we applied the past data to Fama-French MOM Four Factors Model to consider not just market factor (RM - Rf), but also size factor (SMB), value factor (HML), and momentum (UMD). The high βu (1.43) indicates the premium we could get from momentum factor. And the high excess return (α = 3.24) suggests the high return we could benefit additional from the risk premium. And therefore, we can expect a significantly greater than zero return the next decade with L/S (10‐1) strategy.…

    • 557 Words
    • 2 Pages
    Satisfactory Essays
  • Powerful Essays

    Friend, Irwin; Westerfield, Randolph; Granito, Michael. New Evidence On The Capital Asset Pricing Model. Journal of Finance, June 1978, Vol. 33 Issue 3, p903-917, 15p.…

    • 1780 Words
    • 8 Pages
    Powerful Essays
  • Good Essays

    FINC5001_Major_Assignment

    • 679 Words
    • 4 Pages

    We first discuss about Mean-Variance Analysis and how it is concerned with evaluating the mean, standard deviation and covariance of individual stocks (Markowitz 1952). Next, we discuss Capital Asset Pricing Model and how it is concerned with determining the market risk premium associated with higher expected return for individual stocks (Sharpe 1964).…

    • 679 Words
    • 4 Pages
    Good Essays
  • Best Essays

    ASX Portfolios

    • 7197 Words
    • 29 Pages

    Fama, EF, and French KR,1992, The Cross-Section of Expected Stock Returns.” Journal of Finance, Vol 47,pp427-465.…

    • 7197 Words
    • 29 Pages
    Best Essays
  • Better Essays

    McClure, B. (2010, November 24). The capital asset pricing model: An overview. Retrieved from http://www.investopedia.com/articles/06/CAPM.asp…

    • 1214 Words
    • 5 Pages
    Better Essays
  • Satisfactory Essays

    Comparison of mutual funds

    • 2266 Words
    • 10 Pages

    The six portfolios meant to minimize underlying risk factor in returns related to size& book-to-market equity. (Fama, et al. 1993)…

    • 2266 Words
    • 10 Pages
    Satisfactory Essays
  • Good Essays

    Student

    • 1266 Words
    • 4 Pages

    Fama and French’s three factor model attempts to explain the variation of stock prices through a multifactor model that includes a size factor, small-minus-big (i.e. small stocks may be more sensitive to changes in business conditions than large stocks) and BE/ME factor, high-minus-low (i.e. high book to market value stocks are more likely to be in financial distress) in addition to the beta risk factor. Fama-French model essentially extended the CAPM by introducing these two additional factors. These two factors are empirically examined that historical average returns on stocks of small firms and on stocks with high ratios of book to market equity are higher than predicted by the security market line of the CAPM. These observations advise that size or the book to market ratio may be proxies of systematic risk not captured by the CAPM beta.…

    • 1266 Words
    • 4 Pages
    Good Essays
  • Better Essays

    References: Bodie, Z., Kane, A., & Marcus, A. J. (2008). Essentials of Investments (7th ed.). New York, NY: McGraw-Hill/Irwin.…

    • 1423 Words
    • 6 Pages
    Better Essays
  • Powerful Essays

    Baker, M. and J. Wurgler, 2000. The equity share in new issues and aggregate stock returns, Journal of…

    • 16925 Words
    • 68 Pages
    Powerful Essays
  • Satisfactory Essays

    We chose assets from the 1990s, which was one of the most prolific decades in market history thanks in large part to the tech bubble. We chose to calculate average returns as 12x the monthly average return. This annualizes our return, which provides a better representation of returns by including more data points to perform analysis. The arithmetic calculation provides an impartial estimate of future return because it is always more than the geometric. All assets classes reported positive returns from 1990 through 1999, while the S&P 500 index had the highest annual average return of 17.7%. The Russell 2000 had the second highest annual return with a standard deviation of 14.1% & 17.2%. Treasuries and bond returns were a poor performer relative to the other assets which were in-line with our group’s anticipations. However, the MSCI Index reported a lower return than the treasuries and bonds along with the second greatest standard deviation. Events such as, Russia’s sovereign debt default in 1998, which ultimately brought down LTCM likely increased the risk profile of the MSCI. Not surprisingly bonds and MSCI Index returned the lowest correlations when paired with other assets classes. This is primarily reflected in lower returns during decade and higher risk from emerging markets in the case of MSCI Index.…

    • 452 Words
    • 2 Pages
    Satisfactory Essays
  • Satisfactory Essays

    In this chapter we will study that how more than one factor which is associated with expected return, are evaluated on capital asset pricing model. We have described earlier that beta specifies the inclination level or slope of characteristic line and this is denoted by βj. Extended capital asset pricing model evaluates many factors other than beta, to calculate the expected return of a security. We can add or include some other factors to the equation of expected return of a security, to gain more information about expected returns and the effects of certain financial institutions on securities.…

    • 484 Words
    • 2 Pages
    Satisfactory Essays
  • Good Essays

    Sadorsky, P. (2001). Risk Factors in Stock Returns of Canadian Oil and Gas Companies. Energy Economics, 23 , 17-28.…

    • 12005 Words
    • 49 Pages
    Good Essays
  • Powerful Essays

    paper

    • 7613 Words
    • 31 Pages

    Lintner, J., 1965. The valuation of risk assets and the selection of risk investments in stock portfolios and capital budgets. Rev. Econ.…

    • 7613 Words
    • 31 Pages
    Powerful Essays

Related Topics