Preview

An Analysis of the Financial Crisis of 2008: Causes and Solutions

Powerful Essays
Open Document
Open Document
7399 Words
Grammar
Grammar
Plagiarism
Plagiarism
Writing
Writing
Score
Score
An Analysis of the Financial Crisis of 2008: Causes and Solutions
An Analysis of the Financial Crisis of 2008: Causes and Solutions

By Austin Murphy*

________________________________________________________________________
*by Austin Murphy, Professor of Finance, Oakland University, SBA, Rochester, MI
48309-4493 (248-370-2125; jamurphy@oakland.edu).

Electronic copy available at: http://ssrn.com/abstract=1295344

Abstract
This research evaluates the fundamental causes of the current financial crisis. Close financial analysis indicates that theoretical modeling based on unrealistic assumptions led to serious problems in mispricing in the massive unregulated market for credit default swaps that exploded upon catalytic rises in residential mortgage defaults. Recent academic research implies solutions to the crisis that are appraised to be far less costly than a bailout of investors who made poor financial decisions with respect to credit analysis. JEL: G11, G12, G13, G14

1
Electronic copy available at: http://ssrn.com/abstract=1295344

An Analysis of the Financial Crisis of 2008: Causes and Solutions

The financial crisis in 2008 is of such epic proportions that even astronomical amounts spent to address the problem have so far been insufficient to resolve the it.
Besides the well-publicized $700 billion approved by Congress, the Federal Reserve has attempted to bail out institutions and markets with about $1.3 trillion in investments in various risky assets, including loans to otherwise bankrupt institutions and collateralized debt obligations like those backed by subprime mortgages that are defaulting at rapid rates (Morris, 2008). A further $900 billion is being proposed in lending to large corporations (Aversa, 2008), making a total of nearly $3 trillion in bailout money so far, without even counting the massive sum of corporate debts guaranteed by the U.S. government in the last year. An analysis of the fundamental causes of this “colossal failure” that has put “the entire financial



References: E. Altman. “Financial Ratios, Discriminant Analysis and the Prediction of Corporate Bankruptcy.” Journal of Finance 23 (1968), 589-609. J. Aversa. “Fed Eyes Plan to Fund Short-Term Business Loans.” Associated Press (October 7, 2008). Boni, L., 2006. Strategic Delivery Failures in U.S. Equity Markets. Journal of Financial Markets 9, 1-26. M. Buchanan. “Crazy Money.” NewScientist (July 19, 2008), 32-35. J. Burns. “Former Ratings-Firm Officials Blame Conflicts for Rosy Views.” Wall Street Journal (October 23, 2008), A4. J. Callaghan and A. Murphy. "An Empirical Test of a Stochastic Cash Flow Theory of Evaluating Credit." Advances in Financial Planning and Forecasting 8 (1998), 31-51. F. Duffee. “Estimating the Price of Default Risk.” Review of Financial Studies 12 (1999), 197-226. E. Elton, M. Gruber, D. Agrawal, and C. Mann. “Explaining the Rate Spread on Corporate Bonds.” Journal of Finance 56 (2001), 247-277. G. Favel. “Sold Short.” Futures (November 2008), 32. FinancialWire. “StockGate: The Tune May Have Changed, But the Song is the Same.” Investors Business Daily (June 25, 2004). FinancialWire, 2005. “Regulation SHO Gets Confuser and Confuser as Listing ‘Disappear’.” Investors Business Daily (January 28, 2005). G. Gigerenzer. Gut Feelings: The Intelligence of the Unconscious. Viking: New York (2007). M. Glantz and J. Mun. The Banker’s Handbook on Credit Risk. Elsevier: Burlington (2008). B. Jameson. “The Blunders that Led to Catastrophe.” NewScientist (September 27, 2008), 8-9. C. Jones and O. Lamont. “Short-sales Constraints and Stock Returns.” Journal of Financial Economics 66 (2002), 207-239. R. Merton. “On the Pricing of Corporate Debt: A Further Note.” Journal of Finance 29 (1974), 449-470. G. Morgenson. “Behind Insurer’s Crisis: Blind Eye to a Web of Risk.” New York Times (September 28, 2008). C. Morris. “Fed 's $1.6 Trillon Bet: The $700-Billion Wall Street Bailout Was Only the Half of It.” Washington Independent (October 14, 2008). A. Moses and S. Harrington. “Company Bond Risk Surges on Argentina Default Concerns.”Bloomberg (October 23, 2008). A. Murphy. “A Discounted Cash-Flow Model of Fixed-Income Securities Subject to Multiple Calls." Southern Economic Journal 55 (1988), 21-36. A. Murphy. Scientific Investment Analysis. Quorum Books: Westport (2000). NewScientist. “Crunchonomics.” July 19 (2008a), 5. NewScientist. “Blinded by Science.” September 27 (2008b), 5. PIA Connection. “Congress Exempted Credit Default Swaps from State Gaming Laws in 2000.” October 15 (2008). R. Shiller. “Homes are a Risky Long-Term Investment.” TIAA-CREF (Summer 2005), 19-22. E. Simon. “Meltdown 101: What are Credit Default Swaps?” Kansas City Star (October 26, 2008). Weiss, G. “The Mob is Busier than the Feds Think.” Business Week (December 15, 1997), 130. 22, 2008), Yost. “AP IMPACT: Mortgage Firm Arranged Stealth Impact.” Associated Press (October 20, 2008).

You May Also Find These Documents Helpful

  • Powerful Essays

    Using taxpayer’s money, the bailouts of hundreds of banks and other companies took place in order to save the US economy. In order to prevent the occurrence of these events, in 2010 Congress passed the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act. This act, intended to reduce the risks in the United States financial system, will be further discussed in this paper, as well as what caused the collapse of the economy, how the bailout was implemented, how it affects the accounting profession, and the pros and cons.…

    • 1644 Words
    • 7 Pages
    Powerful Essays
  • Good Essays

    A $180bn bailout; while Bank of America got $45bn as well as JP Morgan Chase…

    • 1667 Words
    • 7 Pages
    Good Essays
  • Best Essays

    According to Thomas Billitteri, a journalist with 30 years in business, before the actual bailout happened, a number of huge events caused the monumental bailout to happen. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac were seized by the federal government, which promised to inject up to $100 billion into each firm as there were concerns about the cash reserves for each firm. The second issue was the biggest bankruptcy in U.S. history with the investment bank of Lehman Brothers collapsing. Merrill Lynch was another issue by being bought out…

    • 3602 Words
    • 15 Pages
    Best Essays
  • Satisfactory Essays

    Opportunistic politicians used the 2008 financial crisis to pass a 2,300-page bill of growth killing regulations, known as Dodd-Frank. Rather than fixing the causes of the crisis helping Main Street families and businesses, Dodd-Frank enshrined “Too Big to Fail” policies and created a regulatory environment in which many of our community financial institutions are finding themselves “Too Small to Succeed.”…

    • 249 Words
    • 1 Page
    Satisfactory Essays
  • Better Essays

    The Troubled Asset Relief Program, also known as TARP, was implemented in 2008 as a reaction to the unprecedented financial crisis that was troubling several Wall Street firms. In order to “relieve” the government-sponsored enterprises Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, in addition to these firms, the bailout was to purchase assets and equity from financial institutions in order to strengthen their financial sector. The bailout was later extended to include the automotive industry. The vast majority of the bailout funds were received by two companies, American International Group (AIG) and Citigroup respectively. AIG was one of the largest insurance companies in the United States and Citigroup was the largest bank in the US. There were many other banks which received funds from TARP in exchange for equity shares (Verret, 2011).…

    • 3094 Words
    • 13 Pages
    Better Essays
  • Powerful Essays

    Federal Reserve System

    • 1519 Words
    • 7 Pages

    As an academic specialist of the Great Depression, Bernanke is aware that the US economy is still vulnerable to a…

    • 1519 Words
    • 7 Pages
    Powerful Essays
  • Good Essays

    2008 Financial Crisis

    • 2289 Words
    • 10 Pages

    As Secretary of Treasury, Hank Paulson’s lax supervision let too many subprime mortgage bonds get into the market. The investment banks purchased this big short, which was like a time bomb. This was the environment, which Mr. Paulson created to lead up to the financial crisis. In March 2008, the Wall Street fifth investment bank, Bear Sterns, got trouble, as it set foot in subprime mortgage market and the real estate bubble began to burst. Because of the ability to figure out the problem, Bear Sterns was the first one to have the liquidity crisis so that the whole market panic. Fed reserve and DOF decided to let J.P. Morgan purchased Bear Sterns, and Fed Reserve paid more on the loss, which we call the government gave Wall Street the bailout. And then, as the collateral economy, the third and fourth investment banks, Lehman Brothers and Merrill Lynch, got trouble some days later. As government was facing serious pubic duties for the bailout last time, they decided not to help Lehman Brothers and Merrill Lynch and gave a hand to the other Wall Street financial companies to merge them to ride out this financial storm. Unfortunately, BOA was more interested in Merrill Lynch. Lehman Brothers had to seek the other company to get help. Barclays tried to merge Lehman Brothers, but British decided to give up this deal at the last critical moment so that Lehman Brothers had no choice to apply for bankruptcy before the stock market opened on Monday.…

    • 2289 Words
    • 10 Pages
    Good Essays
  • Powerful Essays

    The problem with bailout is that it must be done promptly, correctly, and without any injustice or unfairness. Moreover, allocation of sufficient resources and setting of proper goals of policies are demanded. A bailout that the U.S. government issues through this subprime loan was criticized by people for caring more about saving banks and bankers than helping regular people. Although the bailout done by the government to save failing companies from this crisis was criticized by many people, some of the bailouts were necessary to protect the economy. Otherwise, it would destroy public confidence and possibly lead to systematic failure (Page…

    • 4798 Words
    • 20 Pages
    Powerful Essays
  • Good Essays

    Financial Crisis of 2008

    • 358 Words
    • 2 Pages

    There is not one specific reason for the financial crisis, but rather a combination of many events that caused the unusual market collapse of 2008. One explanation can be traced back to 1995 when the Clinton administration attempted to improve the Community Reinvestment Act, which required banks to distribute more loans in lower income areas. If the banks failed to abide by this new law, they would face harsh penalties, such as receiving limits on approvals for mergers and could even be hit with lawsuits. To avoid such severe consequences, banks began to lower their standards for issuing loans and required little documentation of the borrower’s information. These loans were mostly given out in the form of mortgage backed assets and the brokers who approved these loans would bundle the new, risky subprime loans with other prime loans and resell them as investments to other institutions. Most individuals would use one of these new loans to buy a house they could not afford in hopes of refinancing later at a lower rate. It sounded like a good idea at the time, until it eventually caught up with our economy and had a part in the market crash of 2008. (O’Neil)…

    • 358 Words
    • 2 Pages
    Good Essays
  • Powerful Essays

    Cited: "Adding Up the Government’s Total Bailout Tab." The New York Times. The New York Times, 24 July 2011. Web. 06 May 2012. . Sources: Treasury; Federal Reserve; Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation…

    • 1246 Words
    • 5 Pages
    Powerful Essays
  • Powerful Essays

    Advocacy And Lobbying

    • 2879 Words
    • 12 Pages

    Eye on the Bailout | ProPublica. (2013, July 2). Retrieved July 2, 2013, from http://projects.propublica.org/bailout/list/simple…

    • 2879 Words
    • 12 Pages
    Powerful Essays
  • Good Essays

    wealth gap

    • 901 Words
    • 4 Pages

    During the 2008 crisis Buffet’s investment portfolio was full of wobbly financial companies like GE and Wells Fargo. In the span of 2 months Berkshire stock – and Mr. Buffets net worth – lost half their value. In response, Buffet invested more in collapsing financial companies like Goldman Sachs, then went public demanding a bailout. The Treasury Department and Federal Reserve responded with program after program to keep troubled financial entities alive, some of them invented specifically for Buffet holdings like GE. Just two years later, thanks to the impact of the bailouts and the Fed’s programs, Berkshire stock rebounded sharply. Mr. Buffet’s investment in Goldman Sachs, which he himself admitted was a bet on the bailouts, made billions and continues to earn him a profit years later.…

    • 901 Words
    • 4 Pages
    Good Essays
  • Good Essays

    Sony

    • 495 Words
    • 2 Pages

    The global financial crisis of 2008 is a major ongoing financial crisis, the worst of its kind since the Great Depression. It became prominently visible in September, 2008 with the failure, merger or conservatorship of several large United States-based financial firms. The underlying causes leading to the crisis had been reported in business journals for many months before September, with commentary about the financial stability of leading U.S. and European investment banks, insurance firms and mortgage banks consequent to the sub-prime mortgage crisis.…

    • 495 Words
    • 2 Pages
    Good Essays
  • Powerful Essays

    ITCM Crisis

    • 6760 Words
    • 28 Pages

    Bibliography: financial institutions participating in the bailout dropped by over 21% from the time of LTCM’s…

    • 6760 Words
    • 28 Pages
    Powerful Essays
  • Good Essays

    5. Reinhart, Carmen M. and Rogoff, Kenneth S., This Time is Different: A Panoramic View of Eight Centuries of Financial Crises (March 2008). NBER Working Paper Series, Vol. w13882, pp. -, 2008. Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=1106608…

    • 386 Words
    • 2 Pages
    Good Essays