Preview

ASEAN Research: Key Investor Debates Likely to Drive Stocks in the Upcoming Year

Satisfactory Essays
Open Document
Open Document
19836 Words
Grammar
Grammar
Plagiarism
Plagiarism
Writing
Writing
Score
Score
ASEAN Research: Key Investor Debates Likely to Drive Stocks in the Upcoming Year
MORGAN STANLEY RESEARCH

December 5, 2012

ASEAN

Big Debates: 2013
Key Investor Debates Likely to Drive Stocks in the Upcoming Year

Although ASEAN's growth story remains resilient, global macro conditions keep generating new debates. Our ASEAN research team has thought through the ASEAN outlook in the context of global growth and policy volatility to bring to you the ASEAN Key Debates for 2013.

Indonesia Economics ........................................

6

Indonesia Equity Strategy .................................

8

In this report, we highlight a selection of the key debates that we think will drive the performance of industries and stocks in 2013. We asked our sector teams to identify industry- and company-specific debates that are likely to matter or that are likely to be settled or significantly advanced in the coming 12 months, and on which we have a view that differs from the current market view.

Indonesia Banks................................................. 16

Our job as securities analysts starts with conversations with leading investors. We look to identify which debates matter today, and more importantly, which will matter tomorrow. Through these conversations, along with an increasing array of analytics, we seek to understand what is currently in the price, and where investment opportunities can be found.

Singapore Equity Strategy ................................ 10
Thailand Equity Strategy ................................... 12
ASEAN Plantations ............................................ 14
Indonesia Telecoms........................................... 18
Singapore Banks................................................ 20
Singapore Industrials ........................................ 22
Singapore Property............................................ 24
Singapore Reits.................................................. 26
Singapore Telecoms .......................................... 28

You May Also Find These Documents Helpful

  • Good Essays

    The US was the slowest because any countries were invested more than U.S by average percentage of GDP in 1960 to 2000.…

    • 546 Words
    • 3 Pages
    Good Essays
  • Powerful Essays

    The main concept of the article is to explain why the New International Financial Architecture (NIFA) was created and who is being benefited from this approach. The discussion begins with an examination of the power structures of the global political economy by focusing on the continued dominance of the USA. The article presents the contradictory relations between USA and global finance will be explored so as to shed more critical light on the NIFA. This article critically examines the NIFA by linking its institutional components to the larger contradictions of the capitalist inter-state system. A contradiction is the constant promotion of financial liberalization in emerging markets by US-led international financial institutions (IFIs), and the frequency of financial crises in the developing world, on the other. The article suggests that the NIFA is an attempt to stabilize and legitimate the scaffolding of the existing imperative of free capital mobility.…

    • 1391 Words
    • 5 Pages
    Powerful Essays
  • Satisfactory Essays

    The international bond market consists of all bonds sold by issuing companies, governments, or other organizations outside their own countries. Interest rates contribute to its expansion. Low rates in developed nations means investors earn relatively little interest in bonds in those markets. As result, banks pension funds and, mutual funds are seeking higher returns in emerging markets, where higher interest payments reflect the greater risk of bonds. Simultaneously, corporate and government borrowers in emerging markets desperately need capital to invest in expansion plans and public works projects.…

    • 562 Words
    • 2 Pages
    Satisfactory Essays
  • Good Essays

    Critically evaluate the effects that Washington Consensus had upon emerging financial markets in terms of their economic growth and volatility of their stock markets? How should the IMF and World Bank conduct policy in the future in developing countries?…

    • 1123 Words
    • 5 Pages
    Good Essays
  • Best Essays

    China over the last decade has experienced high levels of economic growth and consequently there has been an explosion of growth in the Smartphone mobile Industry with China becoming the largest smartphone mobile market in the world and recently the largest producer of smartphones, producing 224 million smartphone units in 2012. This essay aims to examine how China has become an important player in the Smartphone Market. In the context of this essay it is important to define innovation and globalisation as these two words have helped to shape the Chinese smartphone industry, turning China into a serious competitive player in this growing industry. Innovation is defined as “the process of making changes to something established by introducing something new that adds value to customers and contributes to the knowledge store of the organization” Whilst Globalisation in the context of innovation is defined as “the increased international integration of economic activities and the raising importance of knowledge in economic processes”. It is clear that Chinese companies have been able to develop an established idea such as the Smartphone and make themselves leaders in the production of the hardware. The smartphone industry has become an important engine of growth for the economy, with the smartphone users in China set to double by the end of 2013 to 500million. Leading Chinese Mobile Phone makers such as ZTE and Huawei are making inroads into the mature Western markets at the same time cementing their position as some of the largest players in the Chinese Smartphone market, occupying three out of the top five slots for Smartphone manufacturers. It is clear Chinese Smartphone makers are able to produce their phones at a much cheaper cost than foreign companies, with the cost of processor chips falling greatly in price helping to reduce production costs. This essay examines how China has become a competitive and innovative global player in Smartphone production, examines…

    • 4055 Words
    • 17 Pages
    Best Essays
  • Powerful Essays

    Hutchings, K. & Weir, D. (2006). Understanding networking in China and the Arab World; Lessons for international managers. Journal of European Industrial Training, 30(8). Retrieved February 5, 2008 from PROQUEST database.…

    • 4011 Words
    • 17 Pages
    Powerful Essays
  • Powerful Essays

    Asian Financial Crisis 2

    • 2332 Words
    • 10 Pages

    Until 1997, Asia attracted almost half of the total capital inflow into developing countries. The economies of Southeast Asia in particular maintained high interest rates attractive to foreign investors looking for a high rate of return. As a result the region's economies received a large inflow of money and experienced a dramatic run-up in asset prices. At the same time, the regional economies of Thailand, Malaysia, Indonesia, Singapore, and South Korea experienced high growth rates, 8–12% GDP, in the late 1980s and early 1990s. This achievement was widely acclaimed by financial institutions including the IMF and World Bank, and was known as part of the "Asian economic miracle".…

    • 2332 Words
    • 10 Pages
    Powerful Essays
  • Powerful Essays

    Foreign Market Analysis

    • 7551 Words
    • 22 Pages

    For this report the decision has been made to analyze the opportunities of exporting French luxury cosmetics, whereas the term luxury refers to a certain quality and sense. The product is created, but will also be manufactured, in France. This constitutes the core product and thus the reason for and benefit of the customers purchase. The customer won’t wear any cosmetic, but a French luxury cosmetic – it will make her feel special and desirable. This indicates the typical customer as a woman, and since the price of the products will be above average to confirm its luxury, she has an income above average, or a share of someone else’s income.…

    • 7551 Words
    • 22 Pages
    Powerful Essays
  • Good Essays

    IRACST – International Journal of Commerce, Business and Management (IJCBM), ISSN: 2319–2828 Vol. 2, No.1, February 2013 Rise of BRICS Economy and its Impact on Global Stock Markets Naganathan Venkatesh Research Scholar, NITTTR, Chennai, India Abstract The world is changing and becoming increasingly multipolar due to the emergence of China, India, Russia, Brazil and South Africa forming so called BRICS. The global influence of America is fading out due to the recent decline in their stock market and the emergence of other markets. The framework of the global economy has changed dramatically due to the collapse of Lehman Brothers in 2008.…

    • 9558 Words
    • 39 Pages
    Good Essays
  • Satisfactory Essays

    foreign market analysis

    • 649 Words
    • 3 Pages

    The purpose of this report is to design and examine a marketing plan for Bursagaz in order to internationalize their business operations by penetrating the Egyptian market. As with the expansion of any business, Bursagaz would face many challenges in exporting natural gas to Egyptian households which is their primary target market. In order to ensure a smooth entrance to the business environment of Egypt, Bursagaz would have to adopt a standardized product strategy because of the universal nature and application of natural gas. Secondly standardization would also benefit the company because the resulting economies of scale would reduce costs and the savings can be reinvested into the company’s promotional strategies. Another way for Bursagaz to reduce their costs is by using the existing distribution network of natural gas established in Egypt. The company positions itself in such a way to take advantage of the increased demand for natural gas because of rising consumption in Egyptian households. The pricing strategy that best suits Bursagaz is differentiated pricing, which would effectively hedge risks associated with global shocks to the gas market and various other political tensions.…

    • 649 Words
    • 3 Pages
    Satisfactory Essays
  • Powerful Essays

    In 2008, the world economy saw a large recession on the worldwide scale due to the negative influences on the global financial and economic crisis. In the first few months of 2008, world economies faced sky high price increases, which led to the chain of bankruptcy of financial institutions, frozen credit market. Many investors sold off their stock portfolios and looked for less risky assets. MSCI index, the index of emerging economies stocks fell by 60% relative to its peak in Oct, 2007, of which Ukraine index fell by 80%, Rumanian and Bulgarian indices by 75%, Vietnam, China, and India indices by 60%. Although we saw many involvements of most governments and central banks in the financial systems and the economies ( “ money pump”, “ nationalization”, “rescue package”) in the final months of 2008, we expected to see further difficulties to the world economy in 2009, especially the stock markets.…

    • 1997 Words
    • 8 Pages
    Powerful Essays
  • Powerful Essays

    Thesis Statement: This paper talks about bankruptcy, fraud and uncertainties experienced by investors in the Philippine stock market.…

    • 5462 Words
    • 22 Pages
    Powerful Essays
  • Best Essays

    chapter 3 emerging market

    • 3566 Words
    • 12 Pages

    Even though previous chapter’s discussions on the current trend in emerging markets highlight many good opportunities for Multinational Firms (MNCs) to explore, there are also a risks and challenges that firms will encounter. Among the most significant risks are political volatility, economic policy volatility and also legal risks. Firms entering emerging markets must understand the risks and take necessary action to mitigate the effect of those particular risks.…

    • 3566 Words
    • 12 Pages
    Best Essays
  • Good Essays

    The Association of South East Asian Nations or ASEAN was founded on August 8, 1967 to promote regional, political and economic corporation for its member countries. Founder states included Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore and Thailand. Brunei, Cambodia, Laos, Myanmar and Vietnam joined during the 1990’s. In fact, Cambodia became a member of ASEAN on April 30th, 1999. Cambodia had requested to enter ASEAN so far, but the process was blocked by the civil war in the country which lasted for nearly 30 years. Following the end of the civil war and the election of a new government in 1993, Cambodia officially applied to join ASEAN after hosting a meeting of directors-general from ASEAN countries in Phnom Penh. Cambodia is the tenth member that has weak economy. Over ten years ago, Cambodia made the politics and economics prosperous and since we are a part of this association. There are several benefits that Cambodia obtains from ASEAN.…

    • 1111 Words
    • 5 Pages
    Good Essays
  • Good Essays

    If they buy into the ASEAN story, private equity firms looking for scale opportunities in Asia suddenly have an alternative to China and India. But do they buy into it? It comes down to assessing where the marketing campaign stops and reality begins. And establishing whether, even with the support of greater economic integration, private equity firms are able to build cross-border businesses within the region.…

    • 1965 Words
    • 8 Pages
    Good Essays