Exchange rate movement has been an important subject of macroeconomic analysis and market surveillance. Despite its importance‚ forecasting the exchange rate level has been a challenge for academics and market practitioners since the collapse of the Bretton Woods system. Empirical results from many of the exchange rate forecasting models in the literature have not yielded satisfactory results. This paper is constructed for the purpose of comparing the forecast performance of various competing models
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The CFO can forecast exchange rates by using either of two approaches‚ fundamental forecasting or technical forecasting. Fundamental forecasting uses trends in economic variables to predict future rates. The data can be plugged into an econometric model or evaluated on a more subjective basis. Technical forecasting uses past trends in exchange rates themselves to spot future trends in rates. Technical forecasters‚ or chartists‚ assume that if current exchange rates reflect all facts in the market
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com/locate/jempfin Forecasting exchange rate volatility: The superior performance of conditional combinations of time series and option implied forecasts☆ Guillermo Benavides a‚⁎‚ Carlos Capistrán b a b Banco de México‚ Mexico Bank of America Merrill Lynch‚ Mexico article info Article history: Received 26 February 2010 Accepted 5 July 2012 Available online 16 July 2012 Keywords: Composite forecasts Forecast evaluation GARCH Implied volatility Mexican peso–U.S. dollar exchange rate Regime
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BLADES‚ INC. CASE Assessment of Future Exchange Rate Movements As the chief financial officer of Blades‚ Inc.‚ Ben Holt is pleased that his current system of exporting “Speedos” to Thailand seems to be working well. Blades’ primary customer in Thailand‚ a retailer called Entertainment Products‚ has committed itself to purchasing a fixed number of Speedos annually for the next 3 years at a fixed price denominated in baht‚ Thailand’s currency. Furthermore‚ Blades is using a Thai supplier for some
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Case Study BLADE INC. CASE Submitted to Riyashad Ahmed(RyA) FIN-444 Sec-3 Submitted by Antu Biswas 102 0044 030 BLADE INC. CASE 1. What are the advantages Blades could gain from importing from and/or exporting to a foreign country such as Thailand? Ans: The advantages Blades could gain from importing from and/or exporting to Thailand could be Decrease their cost of goods sold‚ and increase Blades’ net income since rubber and plastic are cheaper when imported from a foreign country
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James D’Elia FN 316 International Financial Management Professor Dunbar Case #3 Blades Inc. Chapter 5 1) If Blades used call options to hedge its Yen in payables‚ they are presented with 2 options. They can hedge at a lower exercise price (.00756) with a higher premium (2%); of they can hedge at a higher exercise price (.00792) with a lower premium (1.5%). Traditionally‚ the premiums are normally 1.5%‚ however due to recent uncertainty they have risen. This presents a tradeoff between an exercise
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Overview Blades‚ Inc.‚ is a USA based company that has been in corporate in the United States for three years. Blade relatively is a small Company‚ with total assets of only $200 million. The company produces only a single type of roller blade. Ben Holt the CFO of the Blades Inc. Financial Information Total assets of was only $200 million and first year net income of $3.5 million. Return on asset is 7%. It stock price has fallen from high of $20 per share three years ago to $12
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Abstract Blades‚ Incorporated has been exporting to Thailand since its decision to supplement its declining U.S. sales. This decision seems ideal due to the Southeast Asia fast growing economies. With this in mind‚ this paper will analyze the Blades‚ Inc. case in Chapter 5 of the textbook by discussing the feasibility for Ben Holt‚ the chief financial officer‚ to move forward to hedging Blades’ yen payables position‚ the advantages and disadvantages associated with purchasing derivatives instruments
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Case Study: Blades‚ Inc – Assessment of Purchasing Power Parity Summary: Blades Inc‚ a US based company that manufactures roller blades‚ is currently importing from and exporting to Thailand. The decision to work with Thailand resulted from the realization that there were little to no foreign or Thai competitors and Thailand’s potential growth as a country was on the rise. As a result Blades entered into an agreement with Entertainment Product‚ a Thai retailer‚ for an annual purchase contract
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of a dollar in euros? 4. What is the function of the Eurocurrency market? 5. Why do interest rates vary among countries? Why are interest rates similar for those European countries that use the euro as their currency? Small Business Dilemma Use of the Foreign Exchange Markets by the Sports Exports Company (see textbook‚ 8th edition) Chapter 4 Questions 1. Assume that the U.S. inflation rate becomes high relative to Canadian inflation. Other things being equal‚ how should this affect
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