Wide Receiver Player B Case Study

Imagine that through some instance of clairvoyance, you have the foresight to see the outcome of this week’s upcoming Football games. You have the option to choose between 2 players to start at Wide Receiver. The first player is the quintessential “matchup proof” WR1 and the other one is a de facto starter of a far lower pedigree. The Wide Receivers score 18 and 21 fantasy points respectively. When given the option between Player A’s 18 points and Player B’s 21 Points, most, if not all owners would choose to start Player B. There’s no trick here, with the information provided so far this should be a straightforward decision.
Let’s take into consideration some tidbits of information that may make this seemly easy decision more nebulous. Would it affect your decision if Player A was your first round draft selection and Player B was a recent Free Agent pickup? Yet even with the previous knowledge that Player B should start and Player A left on the bench, the decision making becomes slightly clouded. Despite the obvious fact that starting Player A is the inferior lineup decision, our brains still covet starting Player A over Player B. There’s a psychological bias that exists where you want
Choosing the correct player to start is not always going to be an easy clear cut choice. The examples herein are a bit dramatic in comparison to what owners might encounter, but it does raise questions about our ability to make rational decisions. The main take away from this law is that you need to be okay with making an unconventional lineup decision when there is enough subtle details pointing you in that direction. It’s crucial that you cease taking the “he should be fine this week” approach to your starting lineup. When we create a hypothesis about a player’s value we are quick to find unrelated evidence to support our