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Vietnam Tourism Report Q1 2011

Business Environment Outlook
Table: Asia Travel And Tourism Business Environment Ratings

Limits of Potential Returns Tourism Market Hong Kong India Malaysia Singapore Japan China Thailand Australia New Zealand Indonesia Vietnam Sri Lanka Cambodia 86 82 82 64 66 64 64 44 36 42 46 17 64 Country Structure 77 64 52 68 71 75 59 64 60 62 52 46 60 Limits 82.8 75.6 71.6 65.3 67.6 67.9 62.3 51.0 44.5 49.2 48.0 26.8 62.6

Risks to Realisation of Returns Market Risks 51 48 48 55 48 48 65 65 65 55 48 58 48 Country Risk 73 40 57 75 66 49 52 68 72 38 46 51 na Risks 64.4 43.2 53.1 67.0 59.0 48.5 57.2 66.7 69.2 44.8 46.7 53.9 na Tourism Rating 77 66 66 66 65 62 61 56 52 48 48 35 na Regional Rank 1 2= 2= 2= 5 6 7 8 9 10= 10= 12 na

Scores out of 100, with 100 highest. Source: BMI

© Business Monitor International Ltd

Page 29

Vietnam Tourism Report Q1 2011

BMI’s Security Ratings
Table: Asia Pacific Regional Security Ratings

State Japan Singapore Australia South Korea Taiwan North Korea Vietnam China Thailand Malaysia Indonesia Philippines India Pakistan

Interstate 93 90 98 70 71 48 63 81 87 66 80 87 68 48

Terrorism 92 87 83 90 95 98 98 85 68 85 68 48 47 27

Criminal 87 96 87 88 75 88 71 60 71 65 53 43 53 37

Composite domestic risk 90 92 85 87 85 93 85 73 69 75 61 45 50 32

Regional rank 3 2 5= 4 5= 1 5= 9 10 8 11 13 12 14

Composite security risk 91 91 89 81 80 78 77 75 75 72 67 59 56 37 1= 1= 3 4 5 6 7 8= 8= 10 11 12 13 14

Scores out of 100, with 100 the highest. The ‘Composite security risk’ is the principal rating. It comprises ‘Inter-state’ risk – the risk of becoming a primary party to an inter-state conflict that threatens significant damage to homeland; ‘Terrorism’ risk – the risk of terrorist groups (domestic or international) being able to launch a major attack/sustained campaign; and ‘Criminal’ risk – the risk of (politically motivated) violence against expatriate workers. Each of the three risks is given equal weighting. The ‘Composite domestic risk’ rating comprises ‘Terrorism’ and ‘Criminal’ risk, each of which is given equal weighting. Each rating (State, Terrorism, Criminal) is assessed subjectively by our analysts within a clearly defined methodology, incorporating a minimum of six conceptually distinct elements. Source: BMI

BMI’s Security Ratings service, which integrates closely with our Country Risk service, offers a comprehensive comparative analysis of security risk in three key areas – interstate conflict, terrorism and physical safety for expatriate workers – across major states in each region. The ratings are combined to form a composite security rating to provide an overall guide to long-term trends and risks. We integrate our short-term political and economic ratings with the terrorism rating, to indicate a state’s vulnerability to a sustained terrorist campaign or major terrorist attack. In all instances, the rated period is two years, with each country assigned a score out of 100, with a low score indicating a high level of risk.

© Business Monitor International Ltd

Page 30

Vietnam Tourism Report Q1 2011

Table: Asia Pacific State Vulnerability To Terrorism Index

State

Terrorism

Short-term political

Short-term economic

Composite

Regional rank

Trend

Danger rating

Taiwan China Singapore Japan South Korea Australia Malaysia Vietnam Indonesia Thailand India Philippines Pakistan North Korea

97.5 87.5 87.5 92.5 90.0 87.5 85.0 97.5 70.0 68.0 47.5 50.0 35.0 71.0

84.0 84.0 98.0 93.0 81.0 89.0 79.0 78.0 73.0 63.0 74.0 66.0 42.0 75.0

81.0 92.0 76.0 61.0 74.0 62.0 74.0 44.0 66.0 70.0 64.0 63.0 45.0 na

90.0 88.0 87.0 85.0 84.0 81.0 81.0 79.0 70.0 67.0 58.0 57.0 39.0 na

1 2 3 4 5 6= 6= 8 9 10 11 12 13 14

= = = = = = = = = = = = = =

Amber Green Green Green Green Green Green Amber Amber Amber Green Amber Red Red

Scores out of 100, with 100 the highest. The ‘State vulnerability to terrorism...
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