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Regional Disparity in India

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Regional Disparity in India
REGIONAL GROWTH AND DISPARITY IN INDIA: A COMPARISON OF PRE AND POST-REFORM DECADES
Abstract
Has the regional disparity widened in the post-reform period? This study attempts to probe into this by analysing growth rates of aggregate and sectoral domestic product of major states in the pre (1980s) and post-reform (1990s) decades. Our results indicate that while the growth rate of gross domestic product has improved only marginally in the post-reform decade, the regional disparity in state domestic product has widened much more drastically. Industrial states are now growing much faster than the backward states, and there is no evidence of convergence of growth rates among states. Even more disturbing is that there is now an inverse relationship between population growth and SDP growth. The inverse relationship is stronger for the per capita income growth among states. This has a very serious implication for employment and the political economy of India.

B.B. BHATTACHARYA And S. SAKTHIVEL

INSTITUTE OF ECONOMIC GROWTH UNIVERSITY OF DELHI ENCLAVE NORTH CAMPUS DELHI – 110 007 e-mail: bbb@ieg.ernet.in; sakthivel@ieg.ernet.in

REGIONAL GROWTH AND DISPARITY IN INDIA: A COMPARISON OF PRE AND POST-REFORM DECADES
B. B. Bhattacharya and Sakthivel I. Introduction The regional disparity in India is now a matter of serious concern. It is well known that in a large economy, different regions with different resource bases and endowments would have a dissimilar growth path over time. One of the reasons why centralised planning was advocated earlier was that it could restrain the regional disparity. In spite of planning, however, the regional disparity remained a serious problem in India. A new controversy in this respect is whether growth rates and standard of living in different regions would eventually converge or not. The convergence theorem (Barro, 1991) postulates that when the growth rate of an economy accelerates, initially some regions with better resources would



References: Ahluwalia, Montek S. (2002), “State Level Performance Under Economic Reforms in India”, in Economic Policy Reforms and the Indian Economy, ed. by Anne O. Krueger, Oxford University Press, New Delhi, pp 91-125. Ahluwalia, Montek S. (2000), “Economic Performance of States in Post-Reforms Period”, Economic and Political Weekly, May 6, pp. 1637-1648. Barro, Robert J. (1991), “Economic Growth in a Cross Section of Countries”, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 106, 2 (May), pp, 407-443. Bhattacharya, B.B. (1984), Public Expenditure, Inflation and Growth: A MacroEconometric Analysis for India, Oxford University Press, Delhi. Bhattacharya, B.B. and Arup Mitra (1990), “Excess Growth of Tertiary Sector in Indian Economy: Issues and Implications”, Economic and Political Weekly, Nov. 3. Cashin, Paul and Ratna Sahay (1996), “Internal Migration, Centre-State Grants, and Economic Growth in the States of India”, IMF Staff Papers, Vol. 43, No.1, March, pp. 123-171. Deaton, Angus and Dreze, Jean (2002), “Poverty and Inequality in India – A ReExamination”, Economic and Political Weekly, September 7, pp. 3729-3748. Dreze, Jean and Sen, Amartya (2002), India: Development and Participation, Oxford University Press, New Delhi. Nagaraj, R, Aristomene Varoudakis and Marie-Ange Veganzones (1998), “Long-Run Growth Trends and Convergence Across Indian States”, OECD Technical Papers, No. 131, January, pp. 1-58. Rao, C.H. Hanumantha and S. Mahendra Dev (2003), “Economic Reforms and Challenges Ahead – An Overview”, Economic and Political Weekly, Special Issue on Andhra Pradesh, March 22-29, pp. 1130-41. Rao, M. Govinda, R.T. Shand and K.P. Kalirajan (1999), “Convergence of Incomes Across Indian States – A Divergent View”, Economic and Political Weekly, March 27, Shand, Ric and S. Bhide (2000), “Sources of Economic Growth – Regional Dimensions of Reforms”, Economic and Political Weekly, October 14, pp. 3747-3757. 18

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