Logistics and Trade in the Future in Developing Countries

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2000

2008

Transport flows characterised by a growth rate larger than 20% between 2000 and 2008 are displayed, not by largest dollar volumes. The thickness of the arrows represents the value of exports of manufactures. Analysed regions include: Africa, Asia, Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS), Europe, Middle East, North America and South and Central America.

Singapore Shanghai Hong Kong Shenzhen Busan Dubai Ports Ningbo Guangzhou Rotterdam Qingdao Hamburg Kaohsiung Antwerp Tianjin Port Kelang Los Angeles Long Beach Bremen Tanjung Pelepas New York / New Jersey 0 5 10 15 in million TEU 20 25 30 35 Rest of the World Asia China

Mexico • GDP 2009 US$ 866.3bn • GDP per capita 2009 US$ 8,040 • Merchandise export 2008 US$ 291.7bn • Merchandise import 2008 US$ 323.2bn • Urbanisation 2009 77.5 % • Size of logistics market ('03) US$ 50bn • Logistics Performance Index 3.05 (#50)

Brazil • GDP 2009 US$ 1,481.5bn • GDP per capita 2009 US$ 7,737 • Merchandise export 2008 US$ 197.9bn • Merchandise import 2008 US$ 182.4bn • Urbanisation 2009 85.4 % • Size of logistics market ('10) US$ 150bn • Logistics Performance Index 3.20 (#41)

Russia • GDP 2009 US$ 1,254.7bn • GDP per capita 2009 US$ 8,873.6 • Merchandise export 2008 US$ 471.6bn • Merchandise import 2008 US$ 291.9bn • Urbanisation 2009 73.1 % • Size of logistics market ('09) US$ 49bn • Logistics Performance Index 2.61 (#94)

Turkey
• GDP 2009 US$ 593.5bn • GDP per capita 2009 US$ 8,427 • Merchandise export 2008 US$ 132.0bn • Merchandise import 2008 US$ 202.0bn • Urbanisation 2009 72.9 % • Size of logistics market ('08) US$ 59bn • Logistics Performance Index 3.22 (#39) China • GDP 2009 US$ 4,757.7bn • GDP per capita 2009 US$ 3,566 • Merchandise export 2008 US$ 1,428.3bn • Merchandise import 2008 US$ 1,132.4bn • Urbanisation 2009 46.6 % • Size of logistics market ('08) US$ 506bn • Logistics Performance Index 3.49 (#27)

India • GDP 2009 US$ 1,242.6bn • GDP per capita 2009 US$ 1,033 • Merchandise export 2008 US$ 177.5bn • Merchandise import 2008 US$ 293.4bn • Urbanisation 2009 29.8 % • Size of logistics market ('10) US$ 125bn • Logistics Performance Index 3.12 (#47)

South Africa • GDP 2009 US$ 277.4bn • GDP per capita 2009 US$ 5,635 • Merchandise export 2008 US$ 80.8bn • Merchandise import 2008 US$ 99.5bn • Urbanisation 2009 61.2 % • Size of logistics market ('09) US$ 46bn • Logistics Performance Index 3.46 (#28)

Po

in ion s it

S g&

tr a t e g

y

R es ea

rch &

Ed

uc

Development of rural areas

a ti

Establishment of research cultures

on

ga Or

Se

rvi

Collaboration of logistics service providers to shape new transport corridors CCOO 4PL 2.0 Consolidation scout Barter trade specialist Reverse logistics Online logistics platform Liberalisation advisory Compliance management FTZ logistics E-letters Social network broker

ce s

Cross-border innovators

o ati ni s

s&

Transfer of low-tech technologies Humanitarian logistics

n&

Prod

uc t

Strong cooperation between logistics actors in emerging markets CSR guard Logistics scouts Mobile tracking & tracing

Avatar processing

Pro

ce s s

Pictogram-based logistics language

es

2030

2025

Logistics honey Managerial bee network accounting Diversity 2nd hand technologies management

2020

2015

2015

2020

2025

2030

23
5

2 7

29

56 11
Academics Industry Politics and Associations Logistics 13 Shipping Railways Aviation Other

80% Estimated Probability 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% T1 T2 T3 T4 T5 T6 T7 T8 T9 T10 T11 T12 T13 T14 T15 T16 Developed Countries Emerging Countries

Theses

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