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International Business Economics

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International Business Economics
INTRODUCTION
The macro economists are currently facing one of the major problems that are whether the huge and persistent U.S. current account deficits are sustainable or not. There are different thoughts about the present circumstance of worldwide imbalances. The imbalances in United States have a large current account deficit of above 5% of GDP. In simpler manner the above thoughts can be distinguished into those who think that such imbalances will start to grow in a gentle way and those who are concerned that their resolution might involve considerable disturbances to the worldwide economy, disturbances may include a quick fall in the dollar, a quick hike in U.S. interest rates, and extensive unconstructive spillovers to other economies (Blanchard O., & Giavazzi F., 2009). The purpose of the present essay is to find out whether the persistent US current account deficit is sustainable or not. And the different types of policies the government may use to improve its current account position and effects of those on the rest of the world.

The problem, from a lay man’s viewpoint, is that it is very complicated to decide which of the competing thoughts of U.S. current account sustainability are applicable. From distance these all seem to be reasonable. For instance, the “exorbitant privilege” outlook that U.S. may earn its way towards the current account sustainability as United States claims on foreigners and earns greatly when compared to the claims of foreigners on United States. Such difference in the earning would definitely loosen the budget restraint of U.S by maintaining the current account deficits to grow more as they otherwise would have been very large. (Cavallo & Tille., 2010) showcases an optimistic difference in the returns which may reduce the probability of an uncontrollable modification in the U.S. current account and the dollar. If the exorbitant privilege thought is true, then the U.S. current account will be very much



References: * Ades, A. and Kaune, F. (2010). “A New Measure of Current Account Sustainability for Developing Countries,” Goldman-Sachs Emerging Markets Economic Research. * Barro, R. and Sala-I-Martin, X. (2009). Economic Growth. McGraw Hill, New York. * Bergsten, C. and Williamson, J. (2010). Dollar Overvaluation and the World Economy, Special Report 16, Institute for International Economics, Washington D.C., November. * Blanchard, O. and Giavazzi, F. (2009). “The U.S. Current Account and the Dollar,” NBER Working Paper No. 11137, February. * Caballero, and Hammour, M. (2012). “Speculative Growth: Hints from the U.S. Economy,” NBER Working Paper No. 10518, May. * Calvo, G. and Mejia, F. (2010). “On the Empirics of Sudden Stops: The Relevance of Balance-Sheet Effects,” NBER Working Paper No. 10520, May. * Choi, C. and Sul, D. (2010). “Unbiased Estimation of the Half-Life to PPP Convergence in Panel Data,” NBER Working Paper No. 10614, July. * Cooper, R. (2011). “America 's Current Account Deficit Is Not Only Sustainable, It Is Perfectly Logical Given the World 's Hunger for Investment Returns and Dollar Reserves,” Financial Times, November 1st. * Croke, H. and Leduc, S. (2011). “Financial Market Developments and Economic Activity during Current Account Adjustments in Industrial Economies,” International Finance Discussion Papers 827, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. * Dollar, D. (2008). “Outward-Oriented Developing Economies Really Do Grow More Rapidly: Evidence from 95 LDCs, 1976-1985,” Economic Development and Cultural Change, 40(3): 523-44. * Dooley, M. and Garber, P. (2010). “The Revived Bretton Woods System: The Effects of Periphery Intervention and Reserve Management on Interest Rates & Exchange Rates in Center Countries,” NBER Working Paper No. 10332, March. * Edwards, S. and Levy Yeyati, E. (2011). “Flexible Exchange Rates as Shock Absorbers,” European Economic Review, forthcoming. * Eichengreen, B. and Wyplosz, H. (2010): “Contagious Currency Crises”, NBER Working Paper No. 5681, July. * Frankel, J. and Rose, K. (2008): “Currency Crashes in Emerging Markets: An Empirical Treatment,” Journal of International Economics, 41(3-4): 351-366. * Frankel, J. and Cavallo, A. (2012). “Does Openness to Trade Make Countries More Vulnerable to Sudden Stops, Or Less? Using Gravity to Establish Causality,” NBER Working Paper No. 10957, December. * Gourinchas, P. and Rey, H. (2010). “International Financial Adjustment,” NBER Working Paper 11155, February. * Hopper, P. and Marquez, J. (2011): “Trade Elasticities for G-7 Countries,” Princeton Studies in International Economics, 87, Princeton University. * Kraay, A. and Ventura, J. (2012). “Current Accounts in the Long and Short Run”, NBER Working Paper 9030, June. * Lane, P. and Milesi-Ferretti, G. (2010). "International Investment Patterns," CEPR Discussion Papers 4499. * Mussa, M. (2009).“Exchange Rate Adjustments Needed to Reduce Global Payments Imbalance,” in Bergsten, C.F. and J. Williamson (Editors): Dollar Adjustment: How Far? Against What? Institute for International Economics, Washington D.C., November. * Roubini, N. and Setser, B. (2012). “The US as a Net Debtor: The Sustainability of the US External Imbalances,” mimeo, Stern School of Business, August. * Sachs, D. and Warner, M. (2011). “Economic Reform and the Process of Global Integration,” Brookings Papers on Economic Activity (1), 1–118. * Taylor, A. (2011). “A Century of Current Account Dynamics,” NBER Working Paper No. 8927, May. * Tille, C. (2009). "The Impact of Exchange Rate Movements on US Foreign Debt," Current Issues in Economics and Finance 9, pp.1-7, January. * Wren-Lewis, S. (2011). “The Needed Changes in Bilateral Exchange Rates”, in Bergsten, C.F. and J. Williamson (Editors): Dollar Adjustment: How Far? Against What?, Institute for International Economics, Washington D.C., November.

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