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Inflation

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Inflation
Economic
Survey of
Pakistan
2002-03

An online publication by

Chapter 1. Growth and Investment

1. Growth and Investment
The outgoing fiscal year 2002-03 has

region are expected to be the star performers with

witnessed a sharp recovery in economic growth

growth exceeding 6.0 percent. With the exception

accompanied by equally impressive performance

of Thailand, the other ASEAN countries are

of agriculture and large-scale manufacturing.

projected to grow by less than 5.0 percent. Barring

Other significant achievements have been the

Iran, the other countries in the Middle East are

impressive growth in per capita income, both in

almost stagnating. In Africa, no country could

rupee and dollar terms, and national savings

achieve 5.0 percent growth in 2002-03. In South

reaching

total

Asia, Pakistan is the only country which achieved

investment and suggesting a large surplus in the

more than 5.0 percent growth in 2002-03. Two

current account balance. When viewed at the

points need to be noted as far as Pakistan's

backdrop of inhospitable external environment

growth performance is concerned. Firstly, when

and uncertain geo-political situation Pakistan's

compared with major economies of different parts

growth performance has been impressive in 2002-

of the world, Pakistan’s growth performance has

03. This year has witnessed major corporate

been impressive. Secondly, in a subdued global

scandals and bankruptcies in the United States,

economic environment, an impressive recovery in

resulting in bursting of the equity market bubble;

growth

rising uncertainties in the run up to war in Iraq,

resilience to external shocks.

new

heights



exceeding

simply

displays

Pakistan's

greater

causing oil prices to rise sharply, and recent outbreak of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome

The real GDP at factor cost was originally

business

targeted

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