Instructor: B. Hariprasad
Assignment #1: Goldman, Sachs & Co. Nikkei Put Warrants – 1989
What should be the right pricing strategy for Nikkei Put Warrants (NPWs)?
Structure of Nikkei-Linked Euro-Yen Transactions
1. The European bank sold a bond that promised to make annual interest payments in yen at a fixed interest rate. However, through a set of swaps, the issuer transformed its annual fixed-rate yen payments into dollar-denominated LIBOR-bases payments. This is represented by the left side transaction of the above figure.
2. At maturity, the issuer would redeem the bonds from the investor at a price tied to the Nikkei. If the Nikkei fell since the bonds were issued, the issuer would pay less than par to redeem the bonds. Thus, it would be as if the issuer sold bonds with the final principal payments at par but also bought a put option on the Nikkei maturing in the same year as the bond. If the Nikkei fell, the put would rise in value benefiting the issuer. This reflects the embedded nature of the put option.
3. The issuer had no interest in holding this put. It often resold the embedded put options to financial intermediaries like Goldman Sachs by promising to deliver, at maturity, the difference between the bond’s par value and its Nikkei-linked redemption price. In exchange for promising to make this payment, which equaled the intrinsic value of the embedded put, the bond issuer would be paid an up-front put premium. This is represented by the right side transaction in the above figure.
4. Goldman Sachs then could sell these puts to institutional customers. Not all of these puts were sold to institutional customers. As of December 1989, Goldman Sachs had a significant inventory of European-style puts on Nikkei and it was offsetting the risk on these puts through the futures offered by Singapore, Tokyo and Osaka stock exchanges.
5. The sales force of Goldman Sachs gave an extremely positive feedback on the embedded put options and it was decided that exchange traded put warrants would be a good product offering from company’s point of view.
Role of Kingdom of Denmark
1. Goldman Sachs was a private partnership and non-SEC registrant and hence could not issue the warrants publicly without making material public disclosures. Therefore it was necessary for it to work with an issuer registered with the SEC. The issuer would sell the warrants to the public but simultaneously enter into private contract with Goldman Sachs that exactly offset the obligation under the warrant contract. In return, it would receive a fee from Goldman Sachs without effectively having any exposure on Nikkei.
2. In addition to above argument, the issuer should be highly credit worthy and non US sovereign entity due to adverse reporting implications for a US corporate issuer.
3. Based on the above criteria, Goldman Sachs entered into an agreement with Kingdom of Denmark, which would get a fee of $1.3 million from these transactions.
Risks exposure for Goldman Sachs
1. Risk of bearing the unsold inventory of NPWs
If the investors find prices too high then much of the inventory would remain unsold and GS will have to bear the costs of unsold warrants.
GS would offset its risk through futures position in the Nikkei offered by the Singapore, Osaka & Tokyo stock exchanges
2. Exchange Rate Risks
Considering preference of U.S investors, GS would bear the exchange rate risks for its investors. This implies that GS has to sell NPWs in terms of dollars whereas the same has been purchased by it in terms of yen. Also, in the 1980s, the Nikkei and the yen/dollar exchange rate were moving in opposite direction which further increased its exposure to exchange rate risk....