Empirical Analysis of

Competition between

Wal-Mart and Other Retail Channels






Lesley Chiou
January 2008



Abstract

This   paper   quantifies   the   degree   of   competition   among   Wal-Mart   and   different   retail channels   by   exploiting   a   unique   dataset   that   describes   a   consumer’s   choice   of   store. Using   a   discrete   choice   model,   I   estimate   a   consumer’s   choice   of   retailer   in   the   sales market for DVDs among online, mass merchant, electronics, video specialty, and music stores. Wal-Mart competes more intensely with other mass merchants, and conditional on price and distance, the average consumer still prefers Wal-Mart over most other stores. I also   consider   a   counterfactual   experiment   regarding   the   entry   of   Wal-Mart   into   15 proposed store sites in California.




JEL classification: C25, L81
Keywords: discrete choice, retail, Wal-Mart, cross-channel competition





* I would like to thank Glenn Ellison, Nancy Rose, Paul Joskow, and Sara Fisher Ellison for advice and helpful
suggestions.   This   paper   has   benefited   from   conversations   with   Emek   Basker,   Melissa   Boyle,   Norma   Coe,   Jerry Hausman,   Joanna   Lahey,   Allison   McKie,   Erich   Muehlegger,   Aviv   Nevo,   Whitney   Newey,   Kenneth   Train,   Joan Walker,   Birger   Wernerfelt,   and   participants   of   several   workshops,   including   the   MIT   Industrial   Organization Workshop and Econometrics Lunch.   I am particularly grateful to Alexander and Associates for allowing me access
to   the   data   used   in   this   study;   I   would   also   like   to   extend   my   thanks   to   Adams   Media   Research   and   Tax   Data
Systems. Financial support for this project was provided by the Shultz Fund.
** Author’s e-mail: lchiou@oxy.edu.



Electronic copy available at: http://ssrn.com/abstract=1261243

1 Introduction


In 2002, the retail sector in the U.S. accumulated $3,173 billion in sales and rivaled the manufacturing sector with a total... [continues]

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