Dollar Versus Euro
INDEX
1. INTRODUCTION...................................................................................................................
2. DOLLAR ANALYSIS
3. EURO EVOLUTION .
3.1 Euro Depreciation 1999 2002 .
3.2 Euro Appreciation 2002 2004
4. SHORT TERM FORECASTING .
5. LONG TERM . FORECASTING .
5.1
5.2
6. HEDGING EXERCISE ..
7. CONCLUSION ..
8. REFERENCES ..
1. INTRODUCTION
On January 1, 1999 Euro became the currency for 11 member states of the European Union. Since then the Dollar-Euro exchange rate has completed a full turning. Euro depreciated since its introduction steadily and without any major interruption until February 2002. Then it began to rise against Dollar smoothly and reached a height of 0.74 Euros to 1 US$ in December 2004.
Three years of depreciation of the Euro followed by three years of appreciation without wild fluctuations asks for an explanation which would adequately account for the position of the Euro as an emerging international currency.
Dollar replaced its predecessor sterling already in the immediate post-war years as the dominant world money and is today the leading international currency with vast scale economies and externalities due to its long standing international monetary functions. The common European currency Euro is in the process of assuming an important role as an international currency.
This paperwork will explain you the evolution of the Euro, the impact on the exchange rate versus the US Dollar, the interest of keeping a low exchange rate in the US today, and also the short term and long term of the exchange rate forecasting.
2. US DOLLAR ANALYSIS
The dollar has shown weakness against other currencies as well, including
1. INTRODUCTION...................................................................................................................
2. DOLLAR ANALYSIS
3. EURO EVOLUTION .
3.1 Euro Depreciation 1999 2002 .
3.2 Euro Appreciation 2002 2004
4. SHORT TERM FORECASTING .
5. LONG TERM . FORECASTING .
5.1
5.2
6. HEDGING EXERCISE ..
7. CONCLUSION ..
8. REFERENCES ..
1. INTRODUCTION
On January 1, 1999 Euro became the currency for 11 member states of the European Union. Since then the Dollar-Euro exchange rate has completed a full turning. Euro depreciated since its introduction steadily and without any major interruption until February 2002. Then it began to rise against Dollar smoothly and reached a height of 0.74 Euros to 1 US$ in December 2004.
Three years of depreciation of the Euro followed by three years of appreciation without wild fluctuations asks for an explanation which would adequately account for the position of the Euro as an emerging international currency.
Dollar replaced its predecessor sterling already in the immediate post-war years as the dominant world money and is today the leading international currency with vast scale economies and externalities due to its long standing international monetary functions. The common European currency Euro is in the process of assuming an important role as an international currency.
This paperwork will explain you the evolution of the Euro, the impact on the exchange rate versus the US Dollar, the interest of keeping a low exchange rate in the US today, and also the short term and long term of the exchange rate forecasting.
2. US DOLLAR ANALYSIS
The dollar has shown weakness against other currencies as well, including
References: 1. INTRODUCTION On January 1, 1999 Euro became the currency for 11 member states of the European Union 3.2 Euro Appreciation 2002-2004 On February 28, 2002 national banknotes and coins were finally withdrawn from use.