The following appeared in a letter to the editor of the Balmer Island Gazette. "On Balmer Island, where mopeds serve as a popular form of transportation, the population increases to 100,000 during the summer months. To reduce the number of accidents involving mopeds and pedestrians, the town council of Balmer Island should limit the number of mopeds rented by the island's moped rental companies from 50 per day to 25 per day during the summer season. By limiting the number of rentals, the town council will attain the 50 percent annual reduction in moped accidents that was achieved last year on the neighboring island of Seaville, when Seaville's town council enforced similar limits on moped rentals." Write a response in which you discuss what questions would need to be answered in order to decide whether the recommendation is likely to have the predicted result. Be sure to explain how the answers to these questions would help to evaluate the recommendation
It has been stated that summer in Balmer island sees an increase of 100000 people. Even if the figures stated are true, there cannot be an exponential increase in the number of people over one summer week or so. Hence it can be safely stated that the increase in foot traffic is gradual and not abrupt. So abruptly dropping the rentals of mopeds by half would mean a drastic fall in sales by moped rental companies, yet there may not be any marked or significant change in the frequency of accidents from mopeds. It has been indicated here that there is a direct correlation between the number of paedestrian accidents and the number of mopeds rented. In this extrac,t mentions of the ratio of the number of mopeds owned by people to the number of mopeds rented hasn’t been brought forth. If the ratio is quite high then it would indicate that the significant amount of mopeds are owned and not rented, hence no considerable change or decrease in the number of road accidents can be brought about with reduction in the...
Please join StudyMode to read the full document